It's The Final Round said Jarren Duran is a must-play hit or total-bases prop today against Bailey Ober. Ober leans on his four-seam 46 % of the time and is getting torched on it (.300 AVG, 9-for-30 with a homer). Duran owns a .294 average and two bombs against four-seamers this year. Ober’s change-up (.333 AVG allowed) and slider (.286, 1 HR) are not faring better, while Duran is batting .263 off change-ups and .333 off sliders. The tout highlighted launch-angle sweet-spot data: Duran is at 36.6 % (88th of 262 hitters) while Ober allows a 35.2 % sweet-spot rate (224th of 373 pitchers), meaning the pitcher consistently gives up the 8-32° angles that turn into base knocks. Duran has hits in 16 of his last 17 games, so the analyst expects him to keep raking and likes him for over 1.5 total bases, hits props, and DFS cash-game use.