B Wade likes Jarren Duran over one and a half total bases against Charlie Morton and Baltimore. Duran has started well, hitting this mark in three of six games so far, including two of his last three. Most notably, Duran has excellent recent individual success against Morton, batting .429 (3-for-7) including a home run and two RBIs. Despite weaker overall career numbers against the Orioles, Duran's history with Morton specifically is strong enough for B Wade to confidently recommend this prop.

Brian Howard recommended betting on Jarren Duran's stolen base prop at +300 odds opening day against the Rangers. Highlighting pitcher rustiness, weaker pickoff moves, and general early-season upticks in stolen-base opportunities, Howard expects Duran, a speedy left-handed leadoff hitter, to exploit the Rangers pitcher's slower reactions and the rules limiting pickoff attempts. He noted past seasons' trends where base stealers had significantly higher success rates early on before pitchers improve at controlling runners later in the season.