Polzin recommended the UNDER on Jeff McNeil’s fantasy score for the same Keller matchup. McNeil owns just 2 hits in 12 at-bats versus Keller, good for a .167 average, with 2 strikeouts and a lone homer propping up the tiny sample. Polzin stressed that a .167 AVG paired with minimal power production makes McNeil’s current prop line far too optimistic. Until McNeil shows he can solve Keller’s four-seam/curveball combo, Polzin wants no part of the over.

Brian Howard agreed with the Mets run-line angle but suggested juicing the payout by building a Same Game Parlay. He likes adding Jeff McNeil or Pete Alonso hit/run/RBI props to the –1.5. McNeil is 7-for-16 (.438) with just one strikeout in 20 plate appearances off Eric Fetty, while Alonso is 6-for-16 with two doubles. Combining ‘McNeil 2+ H/R/RBI’ or ‘Alonso 1+ RBI’ with the Mets –1.5 pushes the price north of +300 and leans into the same handicap—New York’s dominance against mediocre right-handed pitching.