Eric Lindquist singled out Jesus Sanchez as his favorite home-run prop in the Astros-Orioles game. Baltimore rookie Brandon Young is giving up a 2.11 expected ISO and striking out only 17 percent of left-handed hitters, a profile Lindquist labeled “home-run-prone.” Houston’s lineup is almost all right-handed, so Sanchez is the lone everyday lefty capable of exploiting that weakness until Yordan Alvarez gets recalled. Lindquist set his break-even price at +360 and advised betting any number above that, expecting the market to open in the low-400s range.

Eric Lindquist called Jesus Sanchez a sneaky buy in hitter props this week, pointing to the outfielder’s .348 expected wOBA and hard-hit profile that outpace his actual results. With Cal Quantrill (10.5 % barrel rate) and Miles Mikolas (12 % barrel rate) headlining opposing rotations during the upcoming series, Lindquist expects plentiful loud contact opportunities. He added that Miami’s front office reportedly plans to build around Sanchez, ensuring an every-day lineup spot. Sanchez also benefits from Xavier Edwards’ 9.2 % walk rate ahead of him, which should boost RBI chances. Lindquist is looking to play Sanchez at plus money for over 1.5 total bases and would sprinkle a homer ticket if books hang anything longer than +475.