Scott Reichel played Jonah Heim over 0.5 singles at –110. Heim has recorded at least one single in nine of his last ten games and owns a 4-for-7 career mark against Boston starter Tanner Houck. Houck is a completely different pitcher outside Fenway: 24 road innings, 34 hits, and a sky-high homer rate. Reichel pointed out that the switch-hitting Heim will stay in the lineup regardless of bullpen moves, especially with backup Kyle Higashioka on the IL. Texas’ bats showed life in their first outing under new hitting coach (and former Mariners slugger) Brett Boone, plating six runs, and rookie Evan Carter’s return adds protection. With Houck’s road ERA pushing double digits and Heim’s recent contact profile, Reichel thinks one knock is the floor and called the near-even money price a gift.

JD Bets singled out Jonah Heim’s home-run prop at +100 as hidden value against Boston right-hander Tanner Houck. Heim has torched Houck in a tiny but loud sample—3 HR and a .571 average in just seven career at-bats, good for a 2.500 OPS. The switch-hitting catcher is also on a heater, logging hits in 9 of his last 10 games while batting fifth in a loaded Rangers order. With Boston’s staff riding a three-game losing skid and Houck showing no real strikeout edge, JD felt the one-swing upside on Heim’s plus-money dinger line outweighed the safer hit prop (+185) and declared, “sometimes the story writes itself.”

Guy Boston also took UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs on Jonah Heim. Although Heim bats from both sides, his left-handed ISO versus sliders sits at just .107, and JP Sears leans on that pitch 42% of the time when facing switch-hitters. Sears has surrendered only one extra-base hit to lefties all season. Boston likes that the market is still pricing Heim off a .286 season average that’s inflated by success against righties. He expects Sears’ slider/fastball sequencing to keep the veteran catcher quiet and is comfortable laying up to –130 juice.