Guy Boston recommended betting Jordan Hicks to allow more than 4.5 hits tonight. Hicks has surrendered at least five knocks in six of eight starts (5.75 average hits), and each time he has gone over he has given up six or more. The last time he faced Arizona (last season) he was tagged for six hits. Arizona’s projected order profiles well against his 32 % slider usage— every hitter grades positive against sliders on Boston’s dashboard— while Hicks’ sinker does little to neutralize them. Provided San Francisco lets him work a typical workload, Boston expects the D-backs to put at least five balls in play safely.

Reichel played the game over 8 runs despite Oracle Park’s pitcher-friendly reputation. Jordan Hicks (6.12 ERA) has surrendered five earned in three of his last four outings, while Karl Feltner owns a 4.75 ERA and has already been tagged for five runs in two of his past three. The Giants’ bullpen remains volatile and Colorado’s relief corps is even worse. Add in a 14-mph wind blowing straight out to center and Reichel projects double-digit scoring even if the Rockies’ punchless road lineup chips in only three or four. He prefers the full-game over to the San Francisco run line because both starters are liabilities.

Greg Peterson said the Giants are worth a play at the current –125 range and paired the wager with the Under 8½. He does not trust Jack Leiter in his first start off the IL after only two big-league outings that featured 4.0 BB/9 and a barrage of hard contact. Texas’ lineup is no help, ranking bottom-six in runs, losing Corey Seager to the IL, and getting sub-.200 averages from Marcus Semien and Jonah Heim. By contrast, San Francisco keeps scoring despite Lamont Wade Jr.’s slump: Mike Yastrzemski owns a .400 OBP, Jung Hoo Lee is north of .375, and Matt Chapman is already providing pop. Peterson conceded Jordan Hicks’ 6.59 ERA looks ugly but pointed out the right-hander has allowed just two homers in 27⅔ innings with nearly 8 K/9; the deeper Giants bullpen (Camilo Doval, Randy Rodriguez, Erik Miller, Ryan Walker) also grades out well ahead of a Rangers relief corps forced to lean on Mark Church, Robert Garcia and Luke Jackson. His model makes San Francisco –127 and projects only 8.3 total runs, so any –125 or better on the money line and the full-game Under 8½ are both green-light bets.

Daniel Vreeland recommended a No-Runs-First-Inning wager (-140) in Rangers–Giants, citing a perfect storm of punchless bats and swing-and-miss stuff. Giants starter Jordan Hicks still flashes an upper-90s heater and racks up strikeouts, and his recent damage came against elite lineups (Phillies, Yankees). The Rangers are the opposite, ranking dead last in MLB at 3.11 runs per game and scraping together just 2.33 over their past three contests. Texas counters with top prospect Jack Leiter, who returns from a finger issue after opening the season with 10 scoreless innings, one total run allowed, and 10 strikeouts. San Francisco has plated only one first-inning run in its last four games and sits league-average in that split overall. Vreeland believes the matchup of two high-strikeout arms versus sputtering first-inning offenses justifies laying the juice on NRFI.

Zola recommended streaming Jordan Hicks despite his ugly 6.59 ERA and 1.54 WHIP through five turns. Underlying numbers paint a kinder picture—ERA estimators sit closer to 4.00—and he’ll work in pitcher-friendly Oracle Park against a Texas offense averaging the fewest runs per game in baseball. The Rangers’ walk rate is second-lowest in MLB and they remain without Corey Seager, limiting their on-base threats. In Zola’s view, those contextual edges turn Hicks into a worthwhile gamble for fantasy managers needing innings and potential win equity on Sunday.

Joe Osbourne advises betting the over 4.5 total hits allowed by Jordan Hicks against the Phillies at odds around -125, highlighting Hicks' struggles as a starter and recent form as key factors. Last season, Hicks allowed more hits than innings pitched, and recently he’s given up 14 hits across his last two starts. Osbourne notes that Hicks is generally least effective in the starting role and faces a strong Philadelphia lineup that produced 25 total hits in the previous three games of this series, presenting a tough challenge for him on the mound.

Cash Out Sports Picks expressed concerns over Giants starter Jordan Hicks, highlighting his consistent stamina problems. Despite impressive velocity, Hicks tends to tire quickly, which recently led to a rough outing where he got hit around significantly. Hicks has only faced the Phillies once in his career and was similarly ineffective. Given this, and considering the Phillies' ability to capitalize, the Giants are not advisable betting options with Hicks on the mound facing a capable Philadelphia offense.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the Giants at plus-money against Yankees starter Will Warren, whom he described as not good in recent fill-in starts. The Giants have started strongly, are 5-1 on the road, and their pitcher Jordan Hicks has turned in steady performances despite limited innings. Warren's ineffectiveness, combined with Giants' early-season form and road resilience, indicate value in San Francisco as short underdogs. Reichel also considered a first-five inning bet but ultimately likes the Giants' full-game moneyline at plus odds.

Bettor Mark enthusiastically identifies the first-five innings under 4 runs (-105) as one of his strongest plays of the day between Mariners and Giants, highlighting the outstanding pitching performances from starters Jordan Hicks (6 innings of standout work) and Bryan Woo (strong first outing). Although the Giants being 7-1 at home slightly concerns him, Mark maintains significant confidence in the pitchers suppressing offense early. He explicitly notes that if the game were in Seattle, this would qualify as a max bet. Nonetheless, even at San Francisco, he strongly endorses the first-five under as his best approach here.

JD Bets endorsed taking the San Francisco Giants moneyline, highlighting pitcher Jordan Hicks' impressive recent performance against the Astros, in which he allowed just one hit and recorded six strikeouts over six innings without giving up any runs. JD considered Hicks' ability to stifle a powerful Houston lineup as a significant indicator of his form and a clear advantage favoring San Francisco in their matchup with Seattle.

Scott Reichel views Jordan Hicks and the Giants negatively in their matchup against Houston. He emphasized Hicks' lack of stamina, typically capped around five innings per outing, creating a tricky bullpen scenario for San Francisco. Moreover, Hicks struggled historically against Houston, posting a concerning 5.79 ERA and allowing the Astros to hit him at a solid .265 clip last year. Given these bullpen challenges plus Houston starter Ronel Blanco's reliable home record and the Astros' sturdy bullpen performance against a stronger Mets lineup, Reichel extensively advocates fading Hicks and the Giants in this spot.

Scott Reichel views Jordan Hicks and the Giants negatively in their matchup against Houston. He emphasized Hicks' lack of stamina, typically capped around five innings per outing, creating a tricky bullpen scenario for San Francisco. Moreover, Hicks struggled historically against Houston, posting a concerning 5.79 ERA and allowing the Astros to hit him at a solid .265 clip last year. Given these bullpen challenges plus Houston starter Ronel Blanco's reliable home record and the Astros' sturdy bullpen performance against a stronger Mets lineup, Reichel extensively advocates fading Hicks and the Giants in this spot.

Scott Reichel sees potential underdog value betting on the Giants behind Jordan Hicks at plus money against Houston. Despite being a slight dog, Hicks represents unexpected upside as he brings his electric stuff to the Giants rotation. The Astros lineup, while dangerous, hasn't totally clicked into gear yet to start this season. Reichel believes Hicks' ground ball heavy approach and velocity give San Francisco a better chance to neutralize Astros hitters than the line implies. With the Astros bullpen still settling in, Scott finds appealing value on San Francisco at slight underdog odds.