Donnie Rightside flagged Jorge Polanco as a plus-money RBI prop tonight. McCullers has surrendered a .235 ISO and .378 wOBA to left-handed hitters in just 45 batters, and Polanco comes in scorching with a .436 wOBA over the past month. With JP Crawford’s .371 wOBA setting the table ahead of him and Minute Maid’s Crawford Boxes in right field, Donnie expects Polanco to cash in at least once, making any number north of +120 worth a swing.

Calling Jorge Polanco’s Hits OVER 0.5 at -200 "as safe as it gets," Data Skrive pointed to the veteran’s scorching .356/.406/.724 line. Polanco has produced 31 hits in 26 games, has at least one knock in 81% of his starts, and draws the same soft matchup with rookie Gunnar Hoglund. Seattle’s projected lineup gives him protection in front of Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh, which should force Hoglund to attack early in counts. Given Polanco’s 45% hard-hit rate and multi-hit upside, Data Skrive endorsed laying the juice on the 0.5-hit threshold rather than chasing a more volatile total-base number.

Lawrence Rupp highlighted Jorge Polanco as a +360 homer play thanks to a torrid two-week stretch (.444/.532/1.122 with six HR and 14 RBI) and a trip to Sutter Health Park, Statcast’s No. 2 run-scoring environment in 2025. Polanco and teammate Cal Raleigh are 7-for-15 with two homers off Monday starter Luis Severino, who has already been tagged for four long balls in four home starts. The combination of elite recent form, a homer-boosting venue, and a familiar, vulnerable pitcher has Rupp locking in Polanco’s HR prop.

It's The Final Round advised backing Jorge Polanco props versus Luis Severino. Severino’s four-seam (28 % usage) is giving up a .333 average while Polanco owns two homers off that pitch this season. The bigger edge is the cutter (24 % usage): Polanco is 5-for-12 (.417) with three homers on cutters, but Severino still allows a .250 average on the offering. The switch-hitter also bats .500 with two homers off changeups, another 19 % of Severino’s repertoire. Historically Polanco is 5-for-11 (.455) with a homer against the righty. He has hits in 12 of 14 games and sports a 47.8 % sweet-spot rate, fourth-best in MLB; Severino sits middle-of-the-pack at 30.4 %. The tout projects multiple hits/extra-base knocks and recommends Polanco for hits, total-bases and DFS lineups.

Kirby declared Jorge Polanco "as close to fully real" as possible after a scorching .384/9/1 start. She highlighted a career-best 11.3% strikeout rate—well below his 19% norm—paired with a 42% hard-hit rate that mirrors his 2021 All-Star peak. Polanco’s expected batting average (.356 xBA) and expected slug (.645 xSLG) support the surface numbers, suggesting health is finally on his side after last year’s nagging hamstring issues. Kirby would trade for Polanco confidently, especially in leagues where he carries multi-position eligibility, viewing him as a top-12 fantasy second baseman and a sneaky buy-high before the wider market catches up.

Lindquist highlighted Jorge Polanco over 1.5 total bases at plus money against Angels rookie Jack Kochanowicz. Kochanowicz has been shelled in his brief MLB sample (48.4 % hard-hit rate, .311 xBA, 11.4 % K-rate) and relies on a mediocre fastball/slider mix. Polanco, now healthy, owns a 54.8 % hard-hit rate, .449 xwOBA and .640 xSLG, numbers that top even teammate Cal Raleigh. Lindquist expects Polanco to hit second and see four or more plate appearances in T-Mobile Park; despite the park’s pitcher-friendly reputation, the matchup and Statcast profile make the plus-money prop a play for him.

Just A Bet Outside slotted Jorge Polanco into the same hitter parlay, banking on the newly crowned AL Player of the Week to notch at least one knock against right-hander Keaton Winn. Polanco is raking at a .377 clip with hits in nine of his last ten games and just six strikeouts all month, so the ball is living on his bat. Winn, meanwhile, is giving up 10.6 H/9, carries an 11.4 % K-rate and bleeds a .321 average to lefties this year after yielding .290 last season. Because Polanco will bat from the left side and Seattle’s offense has suddenly come alive, the tout sees minimal swing-and-miss risk and plenty of chances for a single or better before the Giants bullpen even enters.

Joe O'Rico recommended Jorge Polanco (24 % rostered) as a middle‑infield add in 12‑team leagues, even with T‑Mobile Park muting offense. Polanco owns a 12 % barrel rate, career‑best 41 % hard‑hit rate, and walks at a double‑digit clip, supporting his typical 117‑124 WRC+ range from 2021‑23. Injuries sunk last season, but the underlying batted‑ball profile has rebounded, and his multi‑position eligibility helps patch MI holes while managers wait on names like Zach Neto. O'Rico views him as a steady OBP source with 15‑20 HR upside.

Joe O'Rico recommended Jorge Polanco (24 % rostered) as a middle‑infield add in 12‑team leagues, even with T‑Mobile Park muting offense. Polanco owns a 12 % barrel rate, career‑best 41 % hard‑hit rate, and walks at a double‑digit clip, supporting his typical 117‑124 WRC+ range from 2021‑23. Injuries sunk last season, but the underlying batted‑ball profile has rebounded, and his multi‑position eligibility helps patch MI holes while managers wait on names like Zach Neto. O'Rico views him as a steady OBP source with 15‑20 HR upside.

Joe Osbourne recommends Jorge Polanco over 1.5 total hits, runs, and RBI at -105 odds against Brady Singer and the Cincinnati Reds. Osbourne points to Polanco’s strong start (.366 batting average, .982 OPS in 11 games so far), prior career success against Singer (906 OPS and multiple home runs in 27 career plate appearances), and exceptional performance this season versus right-handed pitchers (OPS over 1,000 and 3 HR in 35 ABs). He also mentioned Polanco as a potential home-run bet at +400 odds, underscoring the potential upside in this matchup.

Kyle Kargel recommends betting Jorge Polanco to hit a home run on April 17 against the Reds. Polanco enjoys favorable success with an 8-27 career batting line and two home runs against Cincinnati's starting pitcher Brady Singer. Polanco has slugged an impressive .889 on the road this season and holds a .615 slugging percentage this month overall. Historically, he has been much better against right-handed pitching, hitting home runs once every 24 at-bats compared to every 31 at-bats against left-handed pitchers last season. Additionally, it's noted that Singer has struggled against left-handed batters, surrendering 15 of his 22 home runs allowed last season to lefties. Given these favorable splits and statistics, Kargel likes Polanco's chances to go deep, available at +420 odds as part of his daily home run prop picks.

Brian Howard targeted Jorge Polanco's total base prop against Astros pitcher Framber Valdez, noting Polanco's previous success against Valdez suggesting strong hitting upside. Howard specifically endorses Polanco's two-plus total base betting market, explicitly citing appealing historical matchup data as the rationale. Though he praises Valdez as elite, the specific matchup history indicates Polanco has a favorable hitter-pitcher dynamic that offers bettors valuable potential profits.

Just a Bet Outside liked the matchup for Jorge Polanco against Detroit's Casey Mize, emphasizing Polanco's past success with two home runs and a 5-for-14 record against Mize. Despite noting Mariners hitters typically haven't had strong matchups recently, this particular one stood out positively enough for consideration today in DFS and prop bets.