Austin Swaim’s favorite HR prop is Jorge Soler to go deep at +430. In 147 ABs versus righties, Soler owns a .761 OPS, .197 ISO, 42.2% fly-ball rate, and 82.4% medium-plus contact, and he homered last night. Cal Quantrill sits in the 30th percentile or worse for hard-hit rate (44.7%) and barrel rate (10.6%) while allowing 38.9% fly balls, explaining a 1.32 HR/9. Soler’s career 17.8% HR/FB rate (16.3% this year) hints at positive regression, and Angel Stadium is MLB’s fourth-best park for home runs. FanDuel Research projects 0.29 HRs for Soler, making fair odds roughly +297, so Swaim loves the +430 ticket.

Polzin recommended fading Jorge Soler against Dylan Cease. In 20 prior at-bats versus Cease, Soler is 0-for-20 with a staggering 12 strikeouts and 4 walks. That means Soler has put the ball in play only 4 times in the matchup. Cease’s high-spin slider and four-seamer both sit in Soler’s cold zones, leading Polzin to project another multi-strikeout night and an UNDER on Soler fantasy points.

It's The Final Round likes Jorge Soler as a plus-money home-run sprinkle and a hits prop play versus Carmen Mlodzinski in the same matchup. Mlodzinski’s two most-used pitches to right-handed hitters are the four-seam (31 %, .400 BAA) and slider (30 %, .385 BAA). Soler owns a .273 average with two bombs on sliders (6-for-22) and a .250 mark with a homer on sinkers, giving him plenty of barrel potential against this profile. He has collected at least one hit in 17 of his last 21 games, so the host expects the power bat to take advantage of Pittsburgh’s vulnerable bullpen and projects 2+ total bases with long-ball upside.

B Wade favors Jorge Soler to record at least one hit, emphasizing Soler's recent hitting streak of six consecutive games and hits in 9 out of his 11 games this season. Soler also has performed well against Zach Little historically, going 3-for-5 with one home run. Soler's consistency and a favorable matchup against Little, albeit in a small sample, make him a safe pick according to B Wade.

Just a Bet Outside advised caution with Jorge Soler given his historically poor performance against Miles Mikolas. He is just 1-for-13 (.077) with five strikeouts, indicating Mikolas has consistently had his number. Soler is likely a DFS and betting fade in today's matchup due to past difficulties.