Beermakersfan plugged Josh Naylor at first base, pointing out that he has four multi‑hit games and three home runs in his last seven. Against right‑handers this year Naylor sports a gaudy .475 wOBA and .293 ISO, and he now catches Zach Littell at exactly the wrong time. Littell has been tattooed by left‑handed bats for a .441 wOBA, .265 ISO, and a jaw‑dropping 69 % hard‑contact rate. The park boost in Tampa is minimal, so raw matchup quality drives the play—Naylor owns the platoon edge, brings current form, and faces one of the slate’s most attackable splits pitchers, making him a top value/power target in tournaments.

It's The Final Round suggested looking at Josh Naylor’s hit prop against Jameson Taillon. Naylor is 4‑for‑12 (.333) in the head‑to‑head and has logged at least one hit in 10 of his last 12 outings. Given Taillon’s early‑season volatility, the tout believes Naylor’s combination of recent form and solid historical success makes the Guardians slugger an attractive Over 0.5 hits or 1+ total bases ticket.

THE BAT X lists Josh Naylor OVER 0.5 HR at +375 with a 27% success rate, generating a $27.02 expected value per $100 bet. The game carries the slate’s 3rd‑worst pitching conditions, including a 14‑mph jet stream to right, inflating home‑run potential for the left‑handed slugger.

Guy Boston recommended betting the over on 1.5 hits, runs, RBIs prop for Josh Naylor against the Miami Marlins today. Josh Naylor has exceeded this prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), averaging 2.7 hits, runs, RBIs per game during that stretch. For the 2025 season overall, he's 13 for 18 (72%) in cashing this over, with an average of 2.5 hits, runs, RBIs per game. Against Miami specifically, Naylor hit the over 3 of his last 5 times (60%), averaging 2.6 hits, runs, RBIs per matchup, and notably had back-to-back games recently with 4 hits, runs, RBIs each. The matchup with Miami RHP Edward Cabrera is particularly appealing. Although Cabrera has decent overall early stats (3.18 ERA, .190 batting average allowed), he notably struggles versus left-handed batters, allowing a .250 batting average, 6.00 ERA, and 3 home runs per 9 innings. Meanwhile, Naylor has been demolishing right-handed pitching so far with a .400 batting average and stellar 219.6 wRC+ in 2025, creating an excellent matchup for the over bet at -110 odds.