Greg Peterson recommends betting against Angels starter Jose Soriano, pointing to Soriano already allowing two home runs early this season after only surrendering eight throughout the entirety of 2024. Soriano has historically struggled with command, demonstrated by a career 3.87 FIP and consistently high walk rate (three walks per nine innings). Peterson highlights that Tampa Bay starter Zack Littell excels at limiting free passes (1.5 walks per nine innings), despite a tendency for allowing home runs (1.3 HR/9 since 2023). Additionally, Tampa Bay's bullpen has been solid, ranked eighth in MLB with a 3.25 ERA, whereas the Angels' bullpen has struggled significantly, ranking 25th with a 5.58 ERA. With these factors, Peterson sees clear value in taking the Rays moneyline at -128 and also the under at 8.5 runs (his line is closer to Rays -144 and total 7.9 runs).