Guy Boston recommended playing Jose Tena under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs in the opener against Bryce Elder. Boston expects Elder to feature his slider 35-40 % of the time— the pitch has limited right-handers to a .191 expected batting average with a 35 % whiff rate this season. Tena carries a −3 run value versus sliders and is slugging just .286 against pitches that break glove-side at 85 mph or harder. Boston added that Atlanta’s bullpen owns a top-three xFIP the past two weeks, so even if Tena avoids Elder a second time, he will still be staring at premium relief arms. With Boston already on the first-five under in this contest, he doubts Tena will collect the two counting stats needed to bust the prop.