Cash Out Sports Picks urged DFS players to build Seattle stacks around Julio Rodriguez when the Mariners face MacKenzie Gore in the second game of the series. He noted Seattle owns the league’s 11th-best OPS despite the pitcher-friendly backdrop of T-Mobile Park, and the total has gone over in 10 of their last 12 home games—evidence that park factors are being outweighed by the offense’s current form. Gore has already been singled out as a vulnerable matchup, and with Seattle’s lineup continuing to mash, Rodriguez sits in prime position to capitalize on elevated run-scoring expectations. The tout expects the posted total to be about a half-run too low and likes Mariners bats to outpace salary-based projections, making them a high-upside DFS core.

Guy Boston doubled down on his earlier fade of Julio Rodriguez, reiterating the under 1.5 total bases at ‑135 after digging into fresh matchup data. Since 2018, J-Rod is 0-for-6 with a .167 OBP against Luis Severino, giving bettors a clean goose-egg in the hits column. Rodriguez is batting just .209 overall this season and, while his average and BABIP tick up slightly versus right-handed pitching, his ISO and extra-base-hit rate both drop—problematic for a prop that requires either an XBH or multiple knocks. Severino is holding right-handed hitters to a .205 average, .318 slugging, and 33.3% XBH rate despite an inflated ERA, suggesting luck issues rather than hard contact. Rodriguez has still failed to clear 1.5 TB in 19 of 33 games (58%) and in three of four meetings with Oakland this year. Boston believes the combination of Rodriguez’s cold bat, zero track record against Severino, and the pitcher’s stingy splits make the under a strong value play yet again.

Guy Boston recommended the under on Julio Rodriguez’s 1.5 total bases at ‑135. J-Rod has finished below this line in 19 of 33 games on the year (58%) and 5 of his last 10 contests (1.8 TB average). Versus division-rival Oakland he is 11-for-17 to the under since 2024 (65%, 1.59 TB average) and 3-for-4 to the under in 2025 meetings. Boston noted that Rodriguez’s only over versus the A’s came back on March 30 when he collected four bases, but Oakland has otherwise limited his power. Given the Mariners’ early-season offensive struggles and a matchup with right-hander Luis Severino, Boston expects Rodriguez to be held to a single or less, making the under a worthwhile wager.

JD Bets targeted Julio Rodriguez OVER 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs for Friday in Arlington. Seattle’s offense is erupting—first in RBIs, walks, and home runs, third in hits, fifth in average, and second in runs over the last two weeks while riding a four-game win streak. Rodriguez has a tiny but loud sample versus Jack Leiter: two homers and five RBIs in just five career at-bats (.400 AVG, .800 SLG). Leiter’s outs prop looks playable because Texas needs length, yet the rookie has struggled to miss bats and is allowing a .300 average to right-handed hitters. JD thinks Julio’s boom-or-bust profile actually helps the over here—either he leaves the yard again or keeps rallies moving for an easy two counting stats. He called the 1.5 H+R+RBI line "too low for the way Seattle is swinging it."

Julio Rodriguez owns a 2-for-5 (.400) mark against Jack Leiter and has recorded a hit in seven of his last eight games. The tout likes him as a late-slate prop if the price is reasonable.

Chris Welsh said fantasy managers should aggressively trade for Julio Rodriguez now while panic sets in after his yearly April slump. Although Rodriguez is batting just .196 with four homers and 13 RBI, his hard-hit rate (48 %) and 92 mph average exit velocity are identical to last season. He is actually striking out less (career-low 23.8 % K-rate) and walking more. Welsh blamed the slow start on a career-low pulled-fly-ball rate and launch-angle funk plus temporary under-performance against four-seamers (.250 AVG vs .290 xAVG). The outfielder has still swiped five bags, and expected metrics point to an imminent rebound, making him an ideal buy-low before he’s re-priced as a top-15 hitter.

Zachary Roberts suggested Julio Rodriguez at +340 as a buy-low homer prop despite the star outfielder’s sluggish opening month (4 HR, .684 OPS). Roberts trusts the former All-Star’s track record and underlines an encouraging matchup versus Angels lefty Tyler Anderson, whose 2.60 ERA is backed by an uninspiring 18% strikeout rate. Rodriguez historically punishes contact pitchers and owns elite hard-hit metrics even during the current slump. Roberts expects Seattle’s righty-heavy lineup to force Anderson into the zone, giving Rodriguez a prime chance to launch his fifth homer and signal the start of his inevitable offensive surge.

For a plus-money player prop, Kingpin circled Julio Rodriguez to hit a home run against Miami spot-starter Connor Gillispie. Gillispie compiled a 5.18 ERA and 1.6 HR/9 in Triple-A before a surprise call-up, and his sinker tops out at 92 mph—right in Rodriguez’s wheelhouse (J-Rod owns a .342 ISO versus pitches 93 mph and below). Seattle’s star outfielder has heated up with three bombs and a .667 SLG in his last seven games, and T-Mobile Park’s humidity forecast (60%) typically adds a bit of carry. With Luis Castillo expected to give the Mariners a lead, Rodriguez should see a full four to five plate appearances. Kingpin noted that sportsbooks were hanging +365 on the HR prop Friday night and expects that number to close closer to +320, urging bettors to grab the favorable price early.

In his rapid-fire list of hot batter matchups, It's The Final Round highlighted Julio Rodriguez versus Cal Quantrill. Rodriguez is 6-for-11 with two homers (.545 AVG) off Quantrill and has recorded a hit in six of his last seven games, meeting his criteria of a .300+ BvP and current hot streak. He advised considering J-Rod for simple hit props or as a parlay piece.

Kingpin took Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases. Julio owns a .410 xwOBA in his last 40 batted balls and feasts on sinkers—Berrios’ most‑used pitch—which he’s slugging .720 against. With hard contact climbing and Berrios giving up a 46% hard‑hit rate, Kingpin expects at least a double or multi‑hit day from the 2022 ROY.

Richard Louis spotlights Julio Rodriguez as a hitter likely to be productive given his developing bat control and improving contact ability. Thus far, Rodriguez has accumulated three home runs, seven RBI, and two triples, in addition to multiple hits in two of his last four games. Louis specifically highlights Rodriguez's recent successful outing against Texas (April 13), where he secured multiple hits and drove in a run. Facing Cincinnati's Brady Singer, Louis indicates Rodriguez is primed for another strong offensive performance, recommending Rodriguez as a solid DFS target.

Kingpin’s analysis points to Julio Rodriguez hitting a home run in Cincinnati’s offensive-friendly Great American Ball Park. Rodriguez’s elite bat speed and significant power complement a likely high-scoring environment, particularly against Brady Singer, who may offer hittable pitches given the Reds' pitcher-friendly park profile. Rodriguez is a high-value home run prop pick with elevated upside.

Kingpin predicts Julio Rodriguez will tally over 1.5 total bases facing Reds pitcher Nick Martinez at the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. Rodriguez, already proven as a multi-talented offensive threat, is matched against Martinez's less-than-overpowering pitching style. Kingpin expects Rodriguez to break out of any recent slump with multiple hits or an extra-base knock.

Mo Nuwwarah sees Julio Rodriguez as a prime home run bet at MLB's top-ranked stadium for home runs in Cincinnati, further helped by favorable 15 mph outfield wind. Rodriguez is currently showcasing strong early-season form with a 55.8% hard-hit rate. While Reds starter Nick Lodolo is talented and not easy to homer off, he historically hasn't pitched particularly deep into games. Nuwwarah underscores Cincinnati's bullpen struggles—ranking bottom 10 in key metrics such as xFIP, SIERA, and strikeout-to-walk ratio—as offering a significant opportunity for Rodriguez to exploit easier matchups later in the game. Fantasy players and bettors seeking home run upside should strongly consider Rodriguez in this context.

OddsTrader recommends backing Julio Rodriguez over 0.5 total bases against Nathan Eovaldi and the Rangers. Despite facing an effective veteran in Eovaldi, Rodriguez is projected at 1.6 total bases and continues to produce solid underlying metrics including a .243 ISO, .333 wOBA, and impressive 65.4% hard-contact rate. He's also hitting 30.8% fly balls and holds a 7.7% barrel rate, but a low .208 BABIP indicates he's due for positive regression. Given these numbers, even if Eovaldi suppresses Rodriguez early, he is expected to capitalize on subsequent plate appearances against the bullpen, comfortably achieving at least one total base.

Data Skrive recommends Julio Rodriguez's prop bet of over 1.5 total bases against the Rangers at +120 odds. Rodriguez has showcased power even though his batting average (.190) has started slow, compiling 25 total bases and three home runs through 15 games in 2025. Facing Nathan Eovaldi, who tends to allow hard contact, gives Rodriguez an appealing matchup for this player prop, making it a potentially lucrative bet.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Julio Rodriguez's and several Mariners hitters' historical struggles against Justin Verlander, cautioning bettors and DFS players. Rodriguez and his Seattle teammates Jorge Polanco, Mitch Garver, and Cal Raleigh have collectively struggled significantly, with the channel humorously acknowledging Verlander has historically dominated the Mariners hitters ("he is our daddy"). Although Verlander isn't the exact pitcher he once was, there remains strong historical precedence for Mariners to continue struggling against him in current betting or fantasy matchups.

Bill Harrelson favors Julio Rodriguez going over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs combined on MLB opening day against the Athletics. He pointed out Rodriguez's history against Oakland, hitting the over in 8 of his last 13 games (62%) versus them. Additionally, Rodriguez hit this mark in 8 of his last 10 overall games and 13 of 20 when extending the timeframe. Harrelson emphasized betting market sentiment strongly supports the over in this prop, making it a confident pick from multiple bookmaker perspectives and highlighting his belief that superstars typically excel in big moments like opening day.