Andrew Geller argues fantasy managers were overly cautious about drafting Kodai Senga due to his injury history, but local reports indicated he was fully healthy entering the season. Despite concerns around workload management, Geller believes that the team may periodically use a six-man rotation to help manage Senga's innings, preserving his health and effectiveness. Early-season results have shown Senga returning to the dominant form he displayed two years prior. Geller saw other managers' aversion to drafting injured players as an exploitable inefficiency and expects to continue benefiting from Senga significantly outperforming his deflated draft costs.

OddsTrader advises taking the under on 4.5 hits allowed by Kodai Senga in his matchup against the Athletics. They highlight Oakland's struggles against right-handed pitching, evidenced by their modest .147 ISO and .313 wOBA from the projected lineup. Although Senga has shown a tendency to allow hard contact to lefties (.238 ISO, .455 wOBA), Oakland has only one dangerous left-handed hitter, Tyler Soderstrom. Additionally, Senga boasts excellent peripherals with a 62.5% ground ball rate, low line-drive and fly-ball rates (both at 16.7%), and a robust 30% strikeout rate through his initial 40-batter sample. This matchup profile positions Senga to keep hits below the posted line.

Kenny G recommended backing the Mets against Oakland, citing Kodai Senga's great early-season form (1.80 ERA through two starts) and strong Mets bullpen (2.03 ERA). The Athletics' starter Luis Severino has struggled deeply this year (0-2, 4.74 ERA), allowing five earned runs in each of his last two outings and two home runs per game. Kenny dismissed the possible narrative of Severino looking for revenge against his former team as a valid concern here, clearly believing the pitching discrepancy favors taking the Mets as betting value at -140.

Dana Lane recommended betting the Mets at -1.5 run line specifically due to the matchup with Marlins pitcher Connor Gillespie and the recent performance of Kodai Senga. Lane highlighted Senga’s impressive debut where he only allowed 3 hits over 5 innings despite poor run support and defensive miscues from Francisco Lindor, which caused the Mets' loss in his start. Lane pointed out Senga's dominant ability to generate strikeouts, mentioning his notable 43% strikeout rate over his previous 10.1 innings including last year's results. Dana also noted positivity around Senga's signature pitch, the "Ghost Fork", being extremely effective, suggesting a strong performance against the Marlins lineup. Considering Miami's struggles supporting Gillespie, who lost his only start against Pittsburgh and has not secured a team victory in his outings yet, Dana concludes the Mets should comfortably win and cover the -1.5 run line at a reasonable price of -115.

Guy Boston sees opportunity backing Kodai Senga today in the matchup against the Marlins. While acknowledging Senga hasn't consistently been outstanding this year, he feels Miami's offense lacks firepower and will likely struggle against Senga's pitching. He cautioned against large spreads (-250 full game moneyline) and even indicated some worry about the Mets' own offensive reliability early in games. Due to concerns such as weather factors—rain and wind blowing in—and Miami's subpar lineup, Guy Boston specifically suggested targeting the Marlins' team total under rather than relying on Mets' offense or a higher total.

Adam Rosenberg backed the under 6.5 Ks prop on Kodai Senga facing the Marlins, despite the pitcher recording 8 strikeouts against them in a previous start. Adam expects regression since Miami's hitters have recently seen Senga and could benefit from familiarity. Adam also noted Miami had an additional day to prepare due to a recent rain-out, potentially aiding their approach. Considering seven strikeouts is a high threshold, he believes the number presents good value at plus money odds.

Eric Lindquist expressed enthusiasm regarding Kodai Senga's strikeout potential against a Miami Marlins lineup prone to high strikeout rates. He explained that although Miami has shown periodic offensive strength with hitters like Griffin Conine and Matt Mervis, their collective contact issues (highlighted by a 41% strikeout rate for Mervis and elevated strikeout numbers for others in the lineup) would play right into Senga's high-K 'ghost forkball' pitch. Lindquist specifically called it one of his favorite pitches in MLB besides Shohei Ohtani's splitter, implying strong DFS appeal and potential betting volume on overs for Senga's strikeout props against the Marlins.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the under in the Marlins-Mets matchup, driven by consistent under trends: the Mets went under in seven of nine games this season and the Marlins posted a highly profitable 6-19-1 record to the under visiting NL East opponents last year. Kodai Senga has posted excellent results versus Miami historically (2.63 ERA, 33 strikeouts in five games). Given New York's pitching proficiency and Miami's shaky offensive showing, betting the under is firmly encouraged.

Cash Out Sports Picks is bullish on the Mets as favorites against Miami, mainly thanks to Kodai Senga, who boasts a 2.63 ERA and 1.13 WHIP across five career appearances against the Marlins and recently limited them to just two earned runs. Miami struggles when visiting NL East teams, going 8-18 as road underdogs in those matchups last season. The Mets' pitching staff currently posts the lowest ERA in MLB, and Miami, forced into starting a fill-in pitcher, faces a tough matchup. Taking these factors into account, the Mets are the choice to win comfortably.

Malcolm Bamford favors the under in Miami versus New York, anchored in the Mets’ ongoing struggle to generate offense. Through nine games, the Mets have produced just 33 runs despite six wins, pointing directly to their ongoing issue of batting poorly with runners in scoring position. Bamford specifically recalls Kodai Senga effectively limiting Miami to two earned runs through eight strikeouts previously, alongside Connor Gillespie's similarly solid performance against the same opponent recently. Noting repeated low-scoring affairs between these teams, he foresees another tight, low-scoring contest, likely around 4-2, driven by solid starting pitching and continued Mets scoring inefficiencies.