Derek Carty highlighted Cleveland Guardians hitter Kyle Manzardo as a strong home run prop play, with a projection giving him approximately a 15% chance of hitting a home run, providing excellent value at +700 odds. Manzardo's improved barrel rate is the primary driving factor, jumping dramatically from 21.2% season-wide up to 44.4% over the past week, suggesting he's catching fire at the ideal time for bettors.

Kyle Manzardo's sneakily strong power start includes 4 HRs in 13 games (30.8%). Data Skrive recommends considering Manzardo for home run prop betting against Kansas City Royals, noting his generous odds at +680 that create an undervalued betting scenario.