Derek Carty’s THE BAT X model flagged LaMonte Wade Jr OVER 0.5 HR at +1200 as Monday’s top value play. The projection gives Wade a 10% chance to leave the yard, translating to a $27.27 expected profit per $1 wagered. Carty cited Wade’s 33.8% pulled-flyball rate (79th percentile) and the fact he’ll be aiming at Oracle Park’s second-shallowest right-field fence in this matchup.