Lonte Smith also backed Cleveland at –125. He acknowledged Allen’s elevated walk rate but pointed out the Brewers slug just .333 versus southpaws, limiting the damage those free passes can create. Priester has issued 3+ walks in three straight and is coming off his worst start of the year versus St. Louis. Smith added that the Guardians’ bullpen—shaky in April—is ‘rounding back into form,’ giving them a decisive late-inning edge. With Cleveland’s lineup far more competent against right-handers than Milwaukee’s is against left-handers, Smith called the price ‘cheap.’

Malcolm Bamford laid the –125 with Cleveland. His case: Quinn Priester owns a 5.08 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and has been pounded in two straight road outings, while Logan Allen’s ugly surface line is inflated by a single blow-up; remove that clunker and his ERA drops below 3.50. Cleveland is 12-7 at home, wins 64% of its games versus right-handed pitching, and Milwaukee ranks bottom-10 in wRC+ against lefties. Bamford trusts Allen’s deeper arsenal and likes the Guardians’ strong bullpen to slam the door once Priester inevitably puts traffic on the bases.

Guy Boston leaned to the full-game Over in Washington–Cleveland, explaining that both clubs just cleared yesterday’s totals twice and the ingredients are still there for runs. He noted Cleveland’s offense is "clearly rolling" after posting nine runs in each leg of the doubleheader, while Washington handles left-handed pitching well enough to trouble Logan Allen, whose 2025 numbers lag behind expectations. On the flip side, Michael Soroka has only one start, owns a 7.20 ERA, and now draws a contact-heavy Guardians lineup that punishes mistakes. Boston trusts Cleveland’s superior bullpen and marginally better starter enough to pair the total lean with a Guardians money-line play, but the actionable piece he likes most is the Over 8.5/9 because both pens were stretched yesterday and neither starter profiles as a stopper.