Chris Welsh highlighted Logan Gilbert as a compelling value pick at +1400 odds for AL Cy Young based on his exceptional durability and inning-eating capability. Gilbert is projected to push between 180 and 200 innings, showcasing increased strikeout potential thanks to an improving splitter. Welsh noted prominent baseball analyst Derek Carty's preseason bet on Gilbert to be the MLB wins leader at 35-to-1, citing this endorsement as evidence of Gilbert's strong context for Cy Young contention. Considering Seattle's elite rotation, improved offense, and strong bullpen anchored by Andres Munoz, Welsh sees Gilbert as an under-priced Cy Young frontrunner.

Sean Zerillo suggests betting Logan Gilbert for AL Cy Young as an under-the-radar candidate. Gilbert notably led MLB pitchers in strikeout-minus-walk rate during the second half of last season. Zerillo emphasizes key improvements—Gilbert saw increased velocity and notably altered his pitch mix, giving him further upside entering this season. His growth trajectory makes him a value Cy Young candidate, offering bettors hidden potential in the markets.

Kenny G recommended comfortably backing the Mariners at -135 with Logan Gilbert pitching, thanks to Gilbert's strong early-season performances. Gilbert owns a solid 2.55 ERA despite being winless, and recently dominated the Astros with five and two-thirds innings of one-run ball while limiting them to a single hit. Additionally, Seattle's bullpen is excellent (3.20 ERA) and their offense is improving significantly, having scored consistently well in recent contests (9, 5, and 7 runs in multiple recent outings). Kenny sees strong betting value on Seattle against a fading Nathan Eovaldi and the struggling Rangers offense and bullpen.

JD Bets strongly advised against betting Logan Gilbert over 18.5 pitching outs, reasoning the line was excessive, expecting him to complete more than six innings is unrealistic despite Gilbert's recent high strikeout performances. While acknowledging Gilbert recently found success, JD specifically indicated skepticism about Gilbert lasting into the seventh inning and preferred sticking exclusively to the strikeout prop rather than pitching outs, warning there's too much risk involved in that high of an innings expectation.

JD Bets recommends Logan Gilbert's strikeout prop over 6.5 Ks against Houston. Gilbert has been exceptional recently, posting impressive strikeout totals early this season (8 vs Oakland, 10 vs Detroit, teams JD identified as striking out frequently). Although historically against Houston he hasn't surpassed seven strikeouts, JD believes Gilbert has significantly improved his strikeout approach, as seen by recent results averaging over 8 Ks per outing. JD trusts Gilbert has genuinely figured something out, leading to continued strong strikeout performance even against tougher competition.

Adam Rosenberg strongly recommended Logan Gilbert over 6.5 strikeouts at minus 105, emphasizing Gilbert's strong strikeout upside against Houston's struggling offense. The Astros are currently striking out at a high 28% rate against right-handed pitchers, the third-worst mark in MLB. Gilbert, despite not pitching his best recently, still recorded 8 strikeouts last start and consistently shows exceptional swing-and-miss stuff. With this game at home in Seattle, Adam sees Gilbert in an ideal scenario to exceed his strikeout props comfortably and even mentioned potential ladder opportunities for higher strikeout totals.

Mark Zinno strongly recommends betting Logan Gilbert in the first five innings against the Astros, citing Gilbert's excellent performances at home this year. Through two home starts, Gilbert has struck out 18 batters in 12 innings, with opponents hitting just .163 against him and a strong whip of only 0.67. He emphasized that Gilbert's current form makes him highly backable at home. Additionally, he highlighted the Astros' offensive struggles, particularly against left-handers. The Astros currently possess the second-lowest batting average against LHP in MLB, rank second-to-last in OPS and wRC+ versus left-handed pitching, and hold the fourth-highest strikeout rate against lefties. Zinno concludes these factors strongly favor taking Gilbert and the Mariners' first five inning run line at -118.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the over on Logan Gilbert's strikeouts (6.5) against the Astros on April 7. Gilbert has started the season very strong, posting a 3.00 ERA and a spectacular 1.42 FIP through two outings, while striking out 18 hitters. His Statcast profile underscores elite swing-and-miss ability, ranking 94th percentile in whiff percentage, 92nd percentile in strikeout percentage, and 75th percentile in chase percentage. Facing Houston, who rank 24th in MLB with 9.78 strikeouts per game, Gilbert has a favorable matchup. He has struck out eight-plus batters in each of his first two appearances, so the over at 6.5 strikeouts is highly attractive.

Kenny G anticipates strong pitching from Mariners starter Logan Gilbert in his matchup against the struggling Astros lineup. Gilbert dominated Oakland in his first start (seven innings, two hits, one earned run) and despite a less impressive outing against Detroit (five innings, three earned), he still struck out 10 hitters, demonstrating impressive swing-and-miss ability. Houston enters this game with severe offensive issues, sitting second-worst overall in runs scored and dead last in slugging percentage. Kenny expects Gilbert to exploit these offensive problems effectively, reinforcing his recommendation to consider betting the under total of 7 in this matchup as the strongest play, with Seattle possibly a solid but less valued choice at -165.

Just A Bet Outside strongly backs Logan Gilbert’s strikeout prop (over 6.5 Ks) highlighting the matchup opportunity against the Astros. Contrary to their historically low strikeout reputation, Houston now ranks third highest among MLB teams in strikeout rate versus right-handers at 27.9%, after losing key low-strikeout batters like Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker. With five right-handed starters already tallying six or more Ks versus the Astros this season, and Gilbert being characterized as the strongest strikeout pitcher the Astros have encountered this year, JABO expects Gilbert to surpass 6.5 Ks comfortably. Gilbert also excels at pitching deep into games, with a projected outs line of 18.5 (six-plus innings), enhancing his strikeout opportunity significantly. Lastly, Gilbert’s self-proclaimed affection for The Office humorously boosts JABO's confidence in backing this bet.

Previously highlighting Logan Gilbert's dominant strikeout form, Just A Bet Outside doubles down by recommending his strikeout prop (over 6.5 Ks) tonight against the Astros. Gilbert's first two outings showcased potent swing-and-miss ability (8 Ks vs Athletics on 16 whiffs; 10Ks vs Tigers on massive 22 whiffs), demonstrating elite velocity (96 mph fastball) and an outstanding splitter. Gilbert performs particularly well at home (29.8% K-rate, 2.49 ERA last year at T-Mobile Park). The historically contact-oriented Astros lineup now features new strikeout-prone hitters following the departure of low-strikeout guys like Bregman and Tucker, pushing Houston's K-rate versus righties to third-highest in MLB (27.9%). Given Gilbert's tremendous strikeout track record, ideal home venue, and favorable matchup, Just A Bet Outside strongly recommends this prop.

Just A Bet Outside is backing Logan Gilbert based on his impressive early-season strikeout numbers. Gilbert has allowed just four earned runs in his first 12 innings while striking out 18 batters. This strong start, combined with his swing-and-miss ability shown this year and last, positions Gilbert as a strong pitching play and attractive DFS target against the Astros today.

Data Skrive sees Logan Gilbert surpassing a manageable strikeout prop of 6.5 against the Astros, priced at -106 for the over. Gilbert has had an exceptional start to 2025, averaging 9 strikeouts per outing in two starts. Given his current form and strikeout ability, taking the over at nearly even money offers clear value despite facing Houston's typically disciplined lineup.

Scott Reichel identified value betting on Seattle's first five innings against Houston, largely due to his preference for Logan Gilbert over Hayden Wesneski. Reichel respects Gilbert's skill set despite minimal run support, noting he has pitched effectively this season despite an unfavorable win-loss record. Meanwhile, Houston's Wesneski is someone Scott doesn't trust to provide extended innings, creating uncertainty for the Astros early on. Given Wesneski's inconsistencies and the stress placed on Houston's bullpen by Blanco's short previous outing, Reichel endorses backing Gilbert and Seattle early in this matchup.

Kyle Purviance discussed Logan Gilbert’s potential to hit his strikeout over prop against the Tigers, emphasizing Detroit's early season struggles with strikeouts (recently averaging 12 per game). While he praised Gilbert's stuff, Purviance set a cap on what he would comfortably bet, suggesting seven and a half strikeouts as his sweet spot. He mentioned he would be cautious and likely avoid betting if the line moves to eight and a half or higher, citing the difficulty pitchers face going long enough early in the season to reliably attain high strikeout numbers.