Guy Boston played Lourdes Gurriel over 0.5 strikeouts at -145 on DraftKings for the afternoon in San Francisco. Recent form is driving the pick: Gurriel has struck out in 8 of his last 10 games (1.0 K per game) and in 5 of his last 6 road contests. Against the Giants he has an 8-for-11 hit rate to this over (73%), cashing in seven of the last eight meetings and both encounters this season. Even in a tiny head-to-head sample (two plate appearances) Gurriel has fanned twice versus today’s starter Jordan Hicks, who owns a 22% K-rate against right-handed hitters. Gurriel’s own strikeout rate versus righties sits at 14.3% but his batting average plummets to .207 in the split, adding more swing-and-miss risk. With a friendly price and multiple corroborating trends from Outlier, Boston expects at least one K for the Arizona outfielder.