It's The Final Round recommended backing Luis Arraez to record a hit (or stack total bases) against Bailey Falter. Falter’s four-seam is his primary pitch (31 %) and it has been crushed (.455, 5-for-11, 2 HR). Every secondary pitch is equally shaky: the change-up (.375) and sweeper (.800!) are liabilities, and Arraez grades well versus each (.350 on four-seamers, .364 on change-ups, .750 on sweepers). Launch-angle sweet-spot numbers back it up: Arraez sits at 39.6 % (57th/262 hitters) while Falter limits it to only 29.5 % (104th/373), still above average but not enough to scare the league’s best contact bat. Arraez owns hits in eight of his last ten, plus a career 1-for-2 mark against Falter. The tout thinks Arraez is a high-floor over 1.5 hits/total bases option and a safe anchor for parlays.