Lindquist wants to bet Luis Gil over 2.5 walks at plus-money. Gil issued four free passes to Miami in his season debut and, while trimming it to two against Houston (91 pitches in 5.1 IP), still showed the same scatter-shot command that has plagued him throughout the minors. St. Louis is a disciplined offense featuring Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson, hitters who rarely chase. That patience, combined with Gil’s career-long walk rate, makes the over a playable quarter-unit prop in Lindquist’s eyes.

Guy Boston Sports advised fading Luis Gil and backing the Astros team-total OVER. Gil’s first start back from the IL was a mess—3.1 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, only 3 K—showing the same spotty command that plagued him pre-injury. Houston’s lineup already saw the Yankees empty their high-leverage trio (Hader, Abreu, Sousa) on Friday, so softer bullpen innings could follow. The tout likes targeting Gil’s fastball/slider mix because Houston’s top six hitters all carry .340+ wOBA versus four-seamers, and Alex Bregman, Kyle Tucker, and Yordan Alvarez own a collective 15% walk rate, increasing blow-up potential when Gil loses the zone. He prefers Astros TT OVER 3.5/4 runs to avoid any late-inning weirdness.

Mike Maher highlighted Luis Gil beginning a rehab assignment this weekend and recommended stashing him wherever possible. Maher admitted he viewed Gil’s 2023 breakout (3.63 ERA, 27% K-rate) as a bit of smoke-and-mirrors, but he still prefers Gil’s strikeout upside to several arms currently occupying both fantasy lineups and the back of the Yankees’ rotation. With Clarke Schmidt likely done for the year, New York has innings available, and Maher believes Gil could provide mid-rotation ratios plus double-digit strikeout potential every turn if his fastball-slider combo looks anything like last season.