Guy Boston sees value betting Max Meyer over 4.5 hits allowed versus Arizona. Despite acknowledging Meyer's solid start to the season, even in those strong performances, Meyer has frequently allowed multiple hits over long outings of five to six innings per game. Arizona's potent offense ranks near the top of MLB in most categories against right-handed pitching, including batting average (.270), OPS (.852), ISO (.226), and slugging percentage (nearly .500). Though cautious about Meyer's effective slider potentially neutralizing some Arizona hitters, Boston expects enough baserunners given Meyer's consistent innings workload and Arizona's combination of strong hitter profiles.

Just A Bet Outside expects Max Meyer to regress against Arizona, despite a promising start to his season. Meyer has faced weaker offenses like Pittsburgh, the struggling Mets, and Braves. Arizona is a major step up, ranking third best in wRC+ and fifth best batting average against righties, along with the lowest K rate. The Diamondbacks were also the highest scoring team in the league last year and remain top-tier offensively. Just A Bet Outside believes Meyer will give up several runs and face reality against this potent lineup in a hitter-friendly Miami environment.

Despite Max Meyer's impressive start to the year (2.00 ERA with strong performances against the Mets, Braves, Pirates), Kenny G expresses skepticism about Meyer's potential success against the potent Diamondbacks lineup. While acknowledging Meyer's talent and early form, Kenny highlights that Arizona's offense could be much tougher than Miami's previous opponents. Ultimately, he doubts Meyer's ability to maintain his form in this matchup, leaning towards a Diamondbacks win despite hesitating due to the price.

Mike Maher strongly endorsed picking up Max Meyer off of waivers, highlighting his impressive early-season strikeout totals and excellent prospect pedigree. Meyer, available in over 70% of Yahoo leagues and 85% of ESPN leagues, has posted 19 strikeouts with a 2.00 ERA across just 18 innings to start the season. Maher was especially encouraged by Meyer's solid underlying numbers supporting the hot start, noting that while playing for Miami may limit wins, Meyer's individual talent and strikeout upside make him a valuable addition, especially with widespread pitcher injuries early in the year.

Ryan Wormeli considers Max Meyer's hot start legitimate due to noticeable adjustments in pitch usage. Meyer notably reduced reliance on his four-seam fastball (24% down from nearly 40%) while incorporating sliders, sinkers, and change-ups more diversely. This diversified pitch mix has potentially enhanced his overall effectiveness and improved underlying metrics early in 2024. Wormeli highlighted Meyer's high draft pedigree and past hype as key reasons to believe in sustained breakout potential, despite mild concerns about elevated allowed exit velocity (93.5 mph).

Dan Palyo recommended taking Max Meyer over 5.5 strikeouts, emphasizing Meyer's excellent start to the season (28.8% K-rate and just a 5.8% walk rate, alongside a strong 13% swinging-strike rate). Meyer has consistently logged over 90 pitches and cleared 6 strikeouts in each of his first two starts. Palyo acknowledged the challenging scenario against the Mets, a team with sub-20% strikeout rate versus right-handers and good plate discipline, but believes the pricing represents excellent value considering Meyer's talent and early success.

Michael Savio is recommending betting the total to go over 7 runs in the Marlins vs Mets game, noting that Max Meyer's performance thus far in the season is misleading. Meyer has had success against weaker lineup opponents but has struggled notably against the Mets historically. Last year at Citi Field, Meyer lasted only four innings, conceding four runs on a .353 Mets batting average. The Mets have recently shown improved offense scoring 10 runs in yesterday's matchup, and the expectation is Meyer will struggle similarly tonight against their rejuvenated bats.

Greg Peterson likes the over on the Marlins vs Mets total of 7 runs, pointing clearly to the unreliable pitching matchup. Miami's Max Meyer has allowed at least three runs in nine of his last ten starts dating back to 2024, owning an inflated career ERA (5.42) and FIP (5.44). While Mets pitcher Tylor Megill has started 2025 strong, surrendering only a single run across two starts, Peterson is unconvinced due to Megill's ongoing control issues—he has maintained a troubling 3.5 BB/9 pace this season, in line with a career 3.4 BB/9 and a middling 4.34 FIP. Given these pitchers' issues, Peterson projects a higher-scoring game, handicapping the total at 8.3 runs well above the 7-run setting.

Drew Martin likes the Miami Marlins at nearly +200 against the Braves, largely due to pitcher Max Meyer being undervalued. Martin explained Meyer, a powerful prospect capable of throwing in the upper 90s, recently went 5.2 innings with seven strikeouts and just one earned run against Pittsburgh. On the other side, the Braves are winless (0-7), feature one of MLB's coldest lineups (ranked 29 by OPS), and have a shaky bullpen. With the Marlins owning both the hotter lineup and better bullpen statistics early this season, Martin sees substantial value taking Miami as big underdogs at +197.

Mal Bamford strongly advises betting the first five innings under for the Marlins and Braves due to excellent starting pitchers. He highlighted Max Meyer's encouraging early metrics (seven strikeouts, one earned run allowed through 5.2 IP vs Pittsburgh), suggesting Meyer can neutralize Atlanta's struggling offense (14 runs total through seven games). He also praised Spencer Schwellenbach's superb recent performance (six scoreless innings vs Padres), recommending first five innings under as a safer play that minimizes bullpen exposure from less-reliable Miami relief pitching.

Miami's Max Meyer already delivered 7 Ks in his lone outing of the season, surpassing this week's 4.5 Ks prop line comfortably. With his proven strikeout ability and favorable odds (-113), Meyer's over line represents a strong betting recommendation as he lines up against a Braves lineup that has shown vulnerability to high-quality strikeout pitchers.

Just A Bet Outside recommended betting the over on 4.5 strikeouts for Max Meyer against the Braves, minus 110 odds on Draft Kings. Meyer impressed in his first start versus the Pirates, striking out seven batters in 5.2 innings using his mid-90s fastball and effective slider that generated ten swings and misses. He's faced Atlanta twice last year and struck out seven hitters in each start, totaling 14 Ks across 11 innings. Additionally, the Braves are currently struggling offensively, holding the fourth-highest strikeout rate (30%) against right-handed pitching this season, up from being the tenth highest strikeout-prone lineup last season. They remain short-handed without stars Ronald Acuna, Sean Murphy, and Jurickson Profar, further diminishing their offensive capabilities. Meyer should comfortably exceed this modest strikeout total if he works at least six innings.

JD Bets recommended betting Max Meyer over 1.5 earned runs allowed. Meyer struggled significantly at the end of last year, giving up multiple earned runs against offenses like Milwaukee, Atlanta, San Diego, and notably four runs versus Colorado. JD highlighted Meyer's inconsistency and doubts Meyer's ability to bounce back, especially given Miami's warm weather conducive to hitting. JD chose this prop due to Meyer's rough recent form rather than supporting either team directly, opting for the earned run prop which he identifies as safer than picking a winner in an uncertain matchup.