Bill Harrelson advised betting Michael Toglia under 0.5 runs scored in the White Sox–Rockies night game. Underdog Fantasy is the only major book still hanging the prop because Toglia has failed to cross the plate in 10 straight contests and in 18 of his last 20 (90%). He also went scoreless in both previous meetings with Chicago. On the 2025 season he has stayed under in 53 of 68 games (78%), and when you blend in last year’s 115-game sample he is roughly a 70% hit to the under across 180 games. Harrelson pointed out that Toglia is slashing just .185 versus right-handed pitching (185 PA) and typically gets four trips to the box per game, giving him limited chances to score. With the market implying better than a coin-flip and the historical trend overwhelmingly on the under, Harrelson is happy to fade the run column once again.

Guy Boston recommended betting Michael Toglia under 0.5 hits + runs + RBI at +115. Toglia will face a menu of fastballs, splitters and cutters from Tyler Mahle, all three pitches he has posted sub-.260 wOBA results against in limited MLB action. Boston reminded listeners he has cashed Toglia unders "all but one time" this season and trusts Mahle’s 29 % strikeout rate versus left-handed bats to keep the switch-hitting rookie quiet. Even in a potential high-scoring environment for Texas, Boston doubts Toglia gets enough volume or quality contact to record a counting stat.

Guy Boston recommended Michael Toglia under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at –140. Toglia has failed to eclipse this mark in seven of his last ten contests (70 %) and is sitting at a 71 % season-long under rate with just 1.47 HRRs per game. Even after a noisy 3-hit showing last night, he has been under in five of his last six overall and in three of his last four lifetime games versus Detroit. The switch-hitter owns a .197 average and 43.1 WRC+, numbers that barely budge against right-handed pitching. He draws Tigers right-hander Casey Mize, whose splits versus left-handed bats are elite this year: 1.53 ERA, .145 average allowed, 1.0 HR/9, .219 wOBA. Boston believes the pitching edge plus Toglia’s extended slump make the under worth paying a little extra juice.

Chris Welsh told listeners to keep Michael Toglia on their watch list and be ready to scoop him up the moment he strings together a few multi‑hit games. Despite a grotesque 47% strikeout rate and .180 batting average, Toglia still owns a 47% hard‑hit rate and blasted a grand slam yesterday. Welsh reminded viewers that Toglia carried a .240 xBA and 35‑homer pace last season when he made consistent contact. If his approach stabilizes even slightly, Coors Field’s run‑environment could let the power play up to a 30‑plus home‑run ceiling that is rarely available on waivers. The advice: do NOT add him yet, but set alerts—once you see back‑to‑back games with multiple balls in play, pounce before your league mates notice the tide turning.