Jon Metler recommended betting Nick Castellanos (+550) to homer against Kyle Freeland. Castellanos historically hits lefties well, and Freeland, a lefty, struggles against right-handed hitters. Additional favorable conditions include wind blowing out 11 mph towards left (Castellanos' pull side). Metler also noted Castellanos already has three career homers against Freeland, supporting the price advantage he sees (+550, compared to his projection closer to +350). Given Castellanos' matchup history, conditions, and clear pricing edge, Metler sees this as an ideal home run play tonight.