Just A Bet Outside bet Noah Cameron over 16.5 outs recorded (-115 at DraftKings) in Wednesday’s start versus Cincinnati. Cameron has worked 6+ innings in all three MLB appearances, clearing the mark with 19, 19 and 21 outs. His underlying metrics impress: 2.12 xERA, 85th-percentile expected batting average, and sub-.100 xBA on both his change-up and slider. The rookie southpaw faces a Reds lineup that owns a 44 wRC+, .195 AVG and 4th-highest K-rate against lefties over the past three weeks. With Kansas City’s bullpen depleted after six relievers threw on consecutive days, manager Matt Quatraro should extend Cameron’s leash. The lefty has issued only one walk in his last two starts, keeping pitch count low. Steven projects 17-21 outs and is comfortable playing the over to -125.

Rockford labeled Kansas City a live dog and made them –140 favorites against Hunter Greene. Rookie Noah Cameron has yielded just two runs total across his first three MLB starts (0.92 ERA) and owns a 31% whiff rate on a deceptive changeup that neutralizes right-handed hitters. The Reds are hitting only .213 versus left-handed pitching, and Greene’s road ERA is nearly a run higher (4.38) than at Great American Ballpark. With the Royals bullpen ranking fifth in ERA and Greene failing to complete five innings in back-to-back starts, Rockford sees Kansas City’s pitching edge carrying the day.

Welsh pumped the brakes on Noah Cameron despite the rookie’s 6.1 scoreless innings and first-start win. Cameron flashed a slider with a 44 % whiff rate but finished with just a 22 % CSW overall—well below the 30 % league average—because he lived in the strike zone with four other average offerings. Welsh pointed out the Royals only turned to Cameron because of Cole Ragans’ injury and immediately optioned him after the game. Given the shallow strikeout upside and uncertain role, Welsh advised treating Cameron as a spot-start streamer only when a soft matchup and guaranteed rotation turn align, not a must-add stash.

Chris Welsh pumped the brakes on Noah Cameron despite the left-hander’s six-plus scoreless frames in his MLB debut. Cameron’s slider posted a tasty 44% whiff rate, but his overall CSW sat at just 22% because he lived in the zone with below-average velocity. Welsh added that Cameron was immediately optioned back to Triple-A and was only starting because Cole Ragans hit the IL, so the path to staying in Kansas City’s rotation is murky. He advised treating Cameron as a matchup-based streamer only if he resurfaces against weak offenses rather than using precious roster spots now.