Eric Lindquist said the Mets should be noticeably heavier favorites than the current minus-110 because of the starting-pitching mismatch. He noted that Taijuan Walker is still living off luck: 324 xwOBA, only a 17.1 % strike-out rate, and an ERA (3.44) that sits almost three-quarters of a run below his 4.13 expected number. Walker’s newfound 30.8 % cutter usage has not solved anything, yielding a .404 xSLG/.453 SLG. By contrast, Lindquist raved about Nolan McLean’s first couple big-league turns—mid-90s heat plus sweeper/sinker/curve, a 32.6 % whiff rate, and a 69 % ground-ball clip that makes him ‘Framber-lite.’ Because McLean both misses bats and keeps the ball on the ground, Lindquist expects Philadelphia’s left-hand core to struggle, giving New York clear value on the full-game moneyline rather than a first-five split. He advised locking the price in early before inevitable Phillies buy-back shows up.