Andrew Geller is extremely bullish on Pete Alonso, having aggressively targeted him in multiple drafts. Geller believes Alonso entered the season undervalued due to his lack of speed but has demonstrated vintage-level performance reminiscent of his 53-homer breakout season. Alonso is displaying improved pitch recognition, notably laying off sliders that previously gave him trouble, taking walks, and consistently going opposite-field. With Alonso playing in what's essentially a contract year and looking locked-in at the plate, Geller expects a monstrous season of around 45 homers, 200 combined runs/RBI, and a solid batting average, making Alonso an immense value at draft cost.

Chris Bennett highlights Pete Alonso ($3,900) as an optimal DFS choice due to Alonso's established home run track record and advantageous weather conditions at Citi Field, which feature strong outbound winds. Marlins starter Connor Gillispie had an extreme fly-ball tendency last season (57.9%), suggesting significant homer potential for Alonso in this matchup.

Kyle Purviance advocated betting RBI props for Pete Alonso, especially considering his optimal batting position behind Francisco Lindor, whose consistent ability to reach base greatly increases Alonso's RBI opportunities. Despite Lindor's surprisingly modest batting average around .250, Purviance highlighted Lindor has still consistently found ways to get on base almost every time Alonso bats, significantly lifting Alonso's RBI upside. Purviance specifically targeted Alonso's 1-plus and 2-plus RBI prop markets, noting desirable odds in the range of +450 to +550, making these bets particularly appealing given Lindor's recent high frequency on base.

Dylan Rockford enthusiastically backed Pete Alonso as his home run pick against former teammate Chris Bassitt. Alonso has been performing impressively at the plate recently, and Rockford emphasized the added motivational factor going against an ex-teammate. Given Alonso's potent bat, recent hot streak, and familiarity with Bassitt, Rockford strongly supported the Mets slugger as a confident home run wager.

Data Skrive calls attention to Pete Alonso as a standout DFS option and season-long fantasy play against Toronto this Friday. Alonso currently leads the Mets with eight RBI—eighth-best across MLB—and has connected for two home runs this season. He's hitting at a solid .286 batting average and has shown clutch ability early, notably delivering a recent three-run homer against Miami. Given his strong output thus far, his prominent role in the Mets lineup, plus a favorable home environment at Citi Field to capitalize on opposing pitching, Alonso offers attractive DFS upside in this matchup.

Drew Martin highlighted Pete Alonso's impressive history at LoanDepot Park, making him an excellent player prop option. Alonso boasts 12 career home runs and an OPS exceeding .900 in Miami's home stadium. Given his strong splits and past success in the stadium, he stands out as a valuable target for player props in this matchup against the Marlins.

Just a Bet Outside cautioned about Pete Alonso's difficult matchup versus elite pitcher Sandy Alcantara, highlighting Alonso's struggles going 5-for-32 with 8 strikeouts in previous at-bats against Alcantara. Given Sandy's reputation as an elite pitcher and Alonso's documented issues facing him historically, it's recommended to avoid Alonso today in fantasy or prop betting.

Bill Harrelson advises betting Pete Alonso to not score a run versus Miami based on strong statistical backing. Alonso hasn't scored yet this season, was held scoreless in eight of his last ten, and hit this under in 14 of the last 20 games overall (70%). Historically against the Marlins, Alonso hasn't scored in nine of his last thirteen matchups (69%). Against Marlins pitcher Cal Quantrill specifically, Alonso has struggled, batting only .167 across six plate appearances since 2018 with just one hit.