Lonte Smith made Pete Crow-Armstrong his favorite long-ball ticket for Monday, citing both form and matchup. The rookie outfielder has homered in back-to-back games, owns a four-game hit streak, and has registered knocks in eight of his last nine. Smith loves the draw against Cal Quantrill, whose 7.64 road ERA, 14% K-rate and .382 wOBA allowed to left-handed bats have led to five-plus earned runs in three of his last five starts. With afternoon conditions at Wrigley and Quantrill’s sinker staying up, Smith expects elevated hard contact and at least four plate appearances for Crow-Armstrong at or near the top of the order. He paired the HR prop with alternate-total-bases ladders and advised shopping for +475 or better on the dinger price.