Eric Lindquist circled Ryan O'Hearn’s home-run prop as a one-swing bet worth firing on Wednesday. Lindquist noted that Twins rookie Simeon Woods Richardson owns one of the highest fly-ball rates on the slate and is already giving up plenty of hard contact. Even though the Baltimore lineup has been quiet recently, Woods Richardson’s profile (above-average barrel rate, limited ground-ball ability) is exactly what wakes them up, and Camden Yards should play neutrally with no damaging wind. O’Hearn brings a 46% hard-hit rate and a top-25 average exit velocity against right-handers since last season, giving him multiple paths to leave the yard. Lindquist projected roughly a 22-23% HR probability—good value at any price longer than +425.