Guy Boston Sports advocated taking the Marlins moneyline—sprinkling a smaller play on the first-five under—because Ryan Weathers’ southpaw profile is a nightmare for the Giants’ lineup. San Francisco owns bottom-tier numbers against left-handed fastballs, a pitch that comprises roughly 50% of Weathers’ mix. In a 21-PA sample versus the current Giants roster, Weathers sports a 24% strikeout rate, 0% walk rate, .200 batting average against and an xwOBA of .249. The tout admitted Hayden Birdsong has real talent but noted Miami’s offense only needs a league-average showing to cash as short dogs if Weathers controls contact. Concerns about either young starter blowing up kept him from a full-unit exposure, so he recommended quarter-unit positions on both the Marlins ML and the first-five under, banking on a 2-2 type start before bullpens decide it.

Razzle suggested sprinkling Ryan Weathers in GPPs. The lefty has allowed only two solo shots in two games since returning from the IL and now faces a slumping Padres lineup that traded him last year, adding a small revenge angle. His K-prop sits at 3.5 (over juice) and he is +195 to record a win, respectable on a slate devoid of sure things. With a modest 7.5 total, Weathers offers path to 15-plus DK points under 7k salary.

Guy Boston advised taking the Cubs money-line and their team total OVER 3.5 runs against Miami. He expects serious regression from Ryan Weathers, pointing out that Weathers’ only start this season came against these very Cubs and Chicago has now seen his fastball/slider mix once. Boston noted the Cubs tagged Marlins pitching for seven runs in Monday’s loss and sit top-10 in wOBA versus four-seamers and sliders. Miami’s bullpen threw 6.1 high-stress innings last night and ranks 24th in xFIP over the past two weeks, while Jameson Taillon, though hardly elite, owns a 3.33 FIP in Wrigley this year. Boston labeled the –135 price on Chicago a ‘trap’ that he is willing to spring, projecting 4–5 Cubs runs by the seventh inning.

Bettor Mark bet the over 8.5 runs in Cubs–Marlins because he does not trust Miami’s rookie left-hander Ryan Weathers the second time the Cubs have seen him. Weathers held Chicago to two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings in his MLB debut, but Mark expects the familiar look to benefit Chicago’s bats. He added that Jameson Taillon’s fly-ball tendencies and penchant for giving up "the long ball" keep Miami firmly in the scoring mix. With his own run-expectancy model projecting significantly more offense than the market number of 8.5 at ‑105, he made the over his first official play.

Drew Martin said he is betting Ryan Weathers’ strike-out prop to the OVER when the number posts for Tuesday’s rematch with Chicago. Martin noted that the 24-year-old left-hander’s fastball is sitting 97-98 mph— a noticeable velocity bump from last season — and that the added heat translated into five scoreless innings, only two hits allowed, and six strikeouts on 51-of-76 strikes in his first start of 2025, which also came against these same Cubs. Because both clubs are rolling the exact same starting pitchers back out, Martin expects very little lineup adjustment time for Chicago and called Weathers a clear "bet-on" arm right now. While he admitted the Marlins’ offense and bullpen keep him off the full game side, Martin wants exposure to Weathers’ improved stuff through the K prop market.

Adam Rosenberg said to bet Ryan Weathers over 2.5 walks at +135 in his first Marlins start of the season. Rosenberg expects the left-hander to ‘walk the farm’ because Weathers has chronic control problems: eight walks in four spring-training outings and four walks in his most recent AAA rehab start despite ABS strike-zone assistance. Miami plans to cap him at roughly 75 pitches, limiting strikeout upside and forcing him to nibble. The Cubs have drawn three or more walks against every left-handed starter they’ve faced this year and own a strong walk rate over their last 30 plate appearances versus southpaws. Rosenberg framed it as a binary debut—either strikeouts or free passes—and is betting on the latter.