Dylan Rockford sided with the Red Sox money line despite Sean Newcomb’s warts, citing multiple matchup angles. Minnesota is 4-13 on the highway and owns one of the league’s worst wRC+ splits versus left-handed pitching. Boston, meanwhile, hits .268 with a .761 OPS at Fenway against righties and carries an 8-6 home record. Rockford expects some regression for Bailey Ober after a month of sparkling numbers and believes Newcomb can produce a workmanlike start—five innings, three runs—good enough for Boston’s bats to outscore a Twins lineup that rarely solves southpaws. He would play the Sox up to –115.

Guy Boston cautiously advised leaning towards the Boston Red Sox tonight despite having low confidence in Sean Newcomb, who has struggled this season. The main logic is Tampa Bay's pronounced inability to hit left-handed pitching, a notable weakness compared to their performance against right-handed pitchers like Walker Buehler and Tanner Houck. Although recognizing Zach Littell likely gives Tampa the initial pitching advantage, Boston felt Tampa Bay's price at around -135 or -140 was unjustifiable given their struggles versus left-handers. He expects Boston's hitters, notably Stott, Abreu-Campbell, and Alex Bregman—who hit righties well—to generate offense, further bolstering Boston's value at plus money. Despite having bullpen concerns, Guy Boston urged a cautious lean toward an upset.

Just A Bet Outside is targeting Sean Newcomb, citing his severe struggles. In three starts, Newcomb has yielded four, one, and six runs, failing to exceed five innings in an outing. Of note, he's allowed 20 hits and seven walks in just 12.2 innings. Playing in Tampa's new, hitter-friendly stadium, and facing a Rays offense ranking in the top ten in slugging and top-three in wRC+, Just A Bet Outside strongly recommends team's total over 3.5 as Newcomb is very hittable and lacks command this year.