Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the first-five innings under in White Sox-Mets. He highlighted Shane Smith’s 2.10 ERA in five road starts and Griffin Canning’s 2.88 season ERA. First-five unders have cashed in seven of Smith’s ten outings and eight of Canning’s ten. Bamford added that Chicago’s offense is brutal on the road, averaging only 2.8 runs per game, so the pitching should dominate the early frames.

Todd Zola recommended streaming Shane Smith after noting the rookie has added a changeup that is already generating whiffs. Smith draws a home start against a Marlins lineup that sits below league average in wOBA and strikes out 24.5% of the time versus right-handed pitching. The weather profile at Guaranteed Rate Field (warm temps, mild wind) is pitcher-friendly per THE BAT X, and Smith’s projected line (5.1 IP, 2.2 ER, 5.3 K, 50% win probability) makes him viable in 10-team leagues.

Razzle is tempted by Shane Smith’s recent form—respectable outings against division foes Minnesota and Cleveland—but ultimately expects to pass. The rookie has been capped at 83 pitches all season, carries just a 3.5 K-prop (juice to the under) and owns a huge +340 win line as a road dog in Kansas City. Although the ballpark will play big with wind blowing in and gamers may chase KC bats after Sunday’s outburst, Razzle thinks the low strikeout ceiling and limited workload make Smith no more than a deep-field GPP dart.

Todd Zola highlighted Shane Smith as a streaming target thanks to a cushy home matchup with Kansas City. The Rule-5 right-hander has surprised with a 2.23 ERA and 1.08 WHIP through 32⅓ innings, and while a 4.48 xFIP screams over-performance, Zola pointed out that Smith’s heavy-ground-ball approach (54% GB) and stingy HR rate should keep the bottom from falling out. The Royals carry the fourth-lowest wOBA versus righties, so Zola believes Smith can extend the good fortune for at least one more turn and steal a cheap win for fantasy managers.

Kelly Kirby said Shane Smith is her preferred Monday streamer, noting Kansas City’s offense is still near the bottom of the league in OBP and is highlighted in green on the FantasyPros Streamer Tool. Smith has quietly piled up 26 strikeouts over 32 innings with a 2.23 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, numbers Kirby believes play well against a Royals lineup that continues to chase outside the zone at a top-10 rate. Even if Cole Ragans makes the start for Kansas City, Kirby is fine taking the ratio help and strikeout upside Smith offers in a week where viable one-day rentals are scarce.

Malcolm Bamford targeted a Brewers first-five team total under (2.5 or better) because he trusts Shane Smith to keep Milwaukee silent for the first trip through the order. Smith just struck out seven Twins in a 1-0 loss and owns a 0.96 WHIP at home. Bamford warned that the White Sox bullpen and offense make full-game wagers dicey—Chicago has lost games Smith has allowed only one or two runs—but isolating the first five removes that variable. With Tobias Myers still on a pitch count and Milwaukee batting only .231 versus righties, Bamford projects one, maybe two early runs at most for the Brewers.

Todd Zola advised streaming Shane Smith, the Rule-5 pick Chicago fast-tracked into the rotation. Smith has already logged two quality starts in four outings and now faces a Twins offense sitting third-worst in wOBA and fifth-lowest in runs per game. Target Field’s neutral run environment plus Minnesota’s offensive woes give Smith realistic six-inning, QS upside for fantasy managers hunting for innings and ratios on a short slate.

Sean Zerillo sees value in backing the White Sox on the first five innings line against Cleveland due to the starting pitching matchup advantage. The White Sox rookie Shane Smith has superior projected metrics (average projected FIP of 4.52) compared to Guardians starter Ben Lively (average projected FIP of 4.8). Smith has one elite pitch—a hard changeup with excellent movement (109 Stuff+), especially effective against left-handed hitters. Although the White Sox's offense is poor (72 wRC+) and their bullpen consistently grades among MLB's worst, Zerillo believes Smith's clear initial pitching edge creates value on Chicago's first five innings moneyline (+135) or spread (+0.5 runs, -112). His projections make the White Sox fair +127 underdogs, creating a profitable opportunity at the market price.

Owen OBrien highlighted 25-year-old pitcher Shane Smith as a potentially undervalued asset for the White Sox in Tuesday's matchup against Cleveland. Smith, the first overall selection in the 2024 Rule 5 Draft, made his MLB debut on Opening Day 2025. Although the White Sox lost that game 8-3 to the Twins, Smith showed promising signs in his first start, surrendering just two runs and two hits over 5.2 innings with three strikeouts. OBrien suggests that Smith’s encouraging debut could indicate hidden betting value for Chicago as significant underdogs (+168 money line) despite their rough start to the season.