Malcolm Bamford echoed the play, calling it a ‘WTF line.’ He trusts Woods Richardson’s steady 4.01 ERA far more than rookie Cade Povich, whom the Twins lit up 9-1 just days ago. Minnesota enters Tuesday on an eight-game heater, while Baltimore’s lineup looks lifeless. Bamford saw nothing—schedule, form, or pitching matchup—that justifies Baltimore laying –130 and urged bettors to lock in the Twins at plus money before the market corrects.

Lonte Smith grabbed Minnesota at +110, calling Baltimore the wrong favorite. The Twins just swept the O’s 3–0 last week, out-scoring them 19-5, and have plated 5+ runs in each of those meetings. Woods Richardson has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Baltimore’s Cade Povich was torched for five earned over six innings in that same series. Minnesota’s only weakness is left-handed pitching, but Smith noted that Povich’s underlying metrics (10% walk rate, 42% hard-hit rate) don’t scare him. With the Twins riding an eight-game win streak and Baltimore finishing a 2-4 road trip, he likes the plus-money value.

Stephen advised fading Simeon Woods Richardson in practically any betting or DFS context. The Minnesota right-hander sits in just the 3rd percentile for barrel rate allowed and the 10th percentile for hard-hit rate. In plain English, hitters are squaring him up at an alarming clip. Given those underlying metrics, Just A Bet Outside expects the Orioles’ lineup to generate plenty of loud contact and considers opposing hitter props or Baltimore run-scoring markets viable angles.

Kyle Purviance said he will attack an elevated strikeout ladder on Simeon Woods Richardson if books post 5+ at plus money. He pointed out that the Braves are striking out the second‑most in baseball—only Colorado whiffs more—and their K rate jumps to 29 % versus right‑handed four‑seam/changeup combinations like Woods Richardson’s. Purviance already cashed a similar approach with Chris Paddack against this same lineup and expects Woods Richardson’s increased slider usage (38 % last start, 35 % whiff rate) to play up. He projects 6–7 punch‑outs in five innings if command holds and will sprinkle an 8+ alt line at juicy odds. Weather in Minneapolis looks hitter‑friendly but dry, so he is not worried about delays cutting the outing short.

B Wade bets on Simeon Woods Richardson issuing more than 1.5 walks, detailing persistent control issues. Woods Richardson has exceeded this walk number in 14 of his last 20 starts and is averaging two walks per game during that stretch. Wade emphasizes he opened 2025 with four walks against the Royals, showing continued struggles. Moreover, Detroit ranks as the eighth-best team at drawing walks this season, averaging four walks per game (52 walks in 13 games), setting the stage for a matchup exploiting Woods Richardson's ongoing control difficulties.

Kenny G leaned toward taking the Royals at -125 primarily due to concerns about Twins starter Simeon Woods Richardson. He pointed out Woods Richardson's mediocre opener, pitching only four innings and giving up five hits and two earned runs against the White Sox. Kenny highlighted Minnesota's early-season offensive struggles, ranking dead last in both batting average and on-base percentage. Kansas City hasn't been electric offensively, ranked a below-average 18th in runs scored, but they're coming off their first series win of the season against the Orioles, building some confidence. With Minnesota struggling at the plate and Woods Richardson not performing well early, Kenny sees a slight edge siding with the Royals as modest favorites at home.

Scott Reichel suggests betting on Simeon Woods Richardson to record a longer outing—or possibly even secure the win—as Minnesota's bullpen is severely taxed entering this matchup. Reichel detailed the bullpen stress Minnesota endured Sunday night, as starter Chris Paddack lasted only four innings and forced the Twins to use seven different relievers (potentially more if their extra-innings game extends further). With limited bullpen support available, Reichel believes Minnesota will be forced to rely heavily on Woods Richardson's innings despite his inconsistent recent form. Considering Kansas City and pitcher Michael Lorenzen’s vulnerability and Minnesota’s escalating offensive momentum over their Astros series, Reichel sees an attractive risk-reward opportunity backing Woods Richardson’s usage props and a Twins victory.