Michael Savio locked in Over 9 runs at +100 for Padres-Blue Jays, citing shaky starting pitching on both sides. He pointed out that Padres right-hander Stephen Kolek carries impressive surface stats (2-1, 2.33 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) but has made only three starts, two of which came against the light-hitting Pirates and Rockies (one a complete-game gem). When Kolek faced legitimate power in Seattle last week he was tagged for five runs on eight hits and a walk in five innings, a hint that regression is coming. Toronto counters with Bowden Francis, who has cratered to 2-6 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 2025, giving up too many base-runners and long balls. Savio stressed that both lineups possess plus power and should see multiple cracks at vulnerable middle relief if the starters exit early. That hitting environment, combined with a hitter-friendly Rogers Centre, makes the even-money Over his favorite angle.