Savio recommended Guardians ML at ‑125, hinging on Tanner Bibee’s recent dominance—2.16 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last four outings—which has pushed him to the top tier of AL pitchers this month. He highlighted Cincinnati’s slide: nine losses in their last 12, five regulars batting under .200 over the past week, and star Elly De La Cruz managing just a .596 May OPS. Brady Singer, who started 4-0 with a 3.24 ERA, has cratered for 11 runs in 8⅓ innings (11.88 ERA) over his last two starts versus Houston and Atlanta. With Bibee locked in and the Reds reeling, Savio sees clear value on Cleveland.

Despite middling strikeout upside, Razzle believes Tanner Bibee belongs in player pools. The Guardians–Blue Jays total is just 8, second-lowest on the slate, and Toronto is only –112 favorites. Bibee’s last two starts looked sharper, and Razzle expects ‘clean innings’ rather than gaudy Ks. If Bibee repeats his 24.8 DK points from Minnesota with a path to the win bonus, he becomes a solid mid-range option on a slate lacking sure things after Crochet.

JD Bets said to hit the Over 1.5 Walks Allowed prop on Tanner Bibee. He pointed out that Bibee has handed out 25 free passes in five starts (an average of 4.1 per outing over his last ten appearances), and his season-long walk rate sits at a shaky 2.6 per inning in 2025. Minnesota comes in on a four-game winning streak and is among the league leaders in plate appearances that run three pitches or longer, so JD expects plenty of deep counts. With 18-mph winds swirling and rain threatening grip issues, he thinks Bibee’s command will be even sloppier than usual, making two walks the floor rather than the ceiling.

Just A Bet Outside hammered Tanner Bibee UNDER 17.5 outs recorded at –110 for a full unit. Bibee has stayed under this line in 4 of 5 starts, needing a career-high 106 pitches for his lone over. The right-hander sits in the bottom 10th percentile in chase rate and bottom 25th in whiff rate, forcing long counts and inflating his 12.6 % walk rate (three-plus walks in three straight). Minnesota profiles as the worst possible opponent for an inefficient arm: the Twins see 4.01 pitches per plate appearance (2nd-most MLB) and over the last three weeks rank top-10 in walk rate (9.5 %), OBP and wRC+ versus righties. Of the 24 right-handed starters Minnesota has faced, 20 have failed to reach 18 outs, including 12 straight. Even when Bibee was sharper last year he went just 2-for-4 to this line against the Twins. With Cleveland likely to rein him back to roughly 95 pitches after last week’s 106-pitch outing, the tout expects Bibee to exit in the 5th, cashing the under.

Malcolm Bamford said the 7.5‑run total in Yankees‑Guardians is simply too low. He highlighted that both starters—rookie Will Warren (Yankees) and Tanner Bibee (Guardians)—carry ERAs north of 5.00 and have combined to go 3‑0‑1 to the over this season. Warren’s road ERA is pushing 8.00, while Bibee has already served up seven homers in four outings, a dangerous profile against a power‑heavy Yankee lineup. Weather is not expected to suppress scoring, and both offenses have been above‑average versus right‑handed pitching. With neither bullpen in dominant form, Bamford expects enough crooked numbers late to clear the posted total.

Mal Bamford favors the over 8.5 runs between Cleveland and Baltimore, motivated by significant scoring trends involving both pitching staffs and lineups. Tanner Bibee has been associated with three straight overs to start the season. Meanwhile, Baltimore has a notable 10-2 first-five innings record to the over. Mal also highlighted the Orioles' unstable pitching rotation and bullpen struggles, coupled with Cleveland’s recent offensive surge. Combining these elements creates a prime opportunity for bettors to confidently take advantage of an attractive over line.

Mal Bamford favors the over 8.5 runs between Cleveland and Baltimore, motivated by significant scoring trends involving both pitching staffs and lineups. Tanner Bibee has been associated with three straight overs to start the season. Meanwhile, Baltimore has a notable 10-2 first-five innings record to the over. Mal also highlighted the Orioles' unstable pitching rotation and bullpen struggles, coupled with Cleveland’s recent offensive surge. Combining these elements creates a prime opportunity for bettors to confidently take advantage of an attractive over line.

Cash Out Sports Picks warned against trusting Tanner Bibee in his upcoming start against Baltimore. While Bibee has looked strong in two starts against the weak-hitting Royals, he had a disastrous outing when stepping up against the Angels, surrendering nine hits, seven runs, and four homers. Adding to concern, the Orioles hitters have had past success against Bibee, batting .380 collectively. With Baltimore's bullpen pitching excellent, Cash Out Sports Picks believes Orioles bats will again have Bibee's number this game.

Sean Zerillo notes significant steps backward for Guardians pitcher Tanner Bibee compared to his solid 2024 campaign. Bibee's advanced metrics are troubling this year, evidenced by a 4.74 xERA, 5.31 xFIP, 4.34 botERA, and a drastically reduced strikeout-minus-walk rate (4.8% compared to 20.1% in 2024). The shape of Bibee's fastball has worsened according to Stuff+ ratings, falling from a 92 Stuff+ last season to 81 Stuff+ this year. He's also switched pitch selections, moving away from a strong curveball (109 Stuff+, .309 xwOBA allowed) to a significantly less effective cutter (89 Stuff+, two homers allowed, .666 xwOBA in a limited sample). Zerillo suggests fading Bibee given these worrying signs of regression, change in repertoire, and underlying metrics.

Guy Boston is optimistic regarding Tanner Bibee's upcoming start against Kansas City. While Bibee struggled against the Angels recently (7 ER in 4 innings with 4 HR allowed), he previously dominated the Royals lineup this year, throwing 5.2 shutout innings with only 2 hits allowed. Guy Boston sees this matchup as a better representation of Bibee's skills and expects a bounce-back performance, adding further reasoning to a first-five inning or full-game under bet.

Dylan Rockford highlighted Tanner Bibee's struggles to recommend betting the over in the Guardians vs Royals game. Bibee's last start raised major red flags, allowing seven earned runs and four home runs in just four innings. Rockford predicted Bibee would again struggle early, with Kansas City likely scoring four or five runs off him. While acknowledging Kris Bubic's impressive start (no runs allowed yet), Rockford expected some moderate regression from Bubic, allowing the Guardians to chip in a few runs as well, supporting the over at six-and-a-half or seven runs totals.

B Wade is betting Tanner Bibee under 17.5 outs due to his consistent inability to pitch deep into games. Bibee stayed under in his two starts this year, failing to complete the sixth inning both times. Historically, he only completed the sixth inning in 37% (13 of 35) starts last season. Wade highlighted how Bibee struggled recently, allowing seven runs against the Angels and getting pulled early versus the Royals previously. Considering the Royals' solid hitters who perform well against him, Wade sees strong value betting the under.

Dylan Rockford suggested exploring Tanner Bibee pitcher props due to the Angels' pronounced struggles against right-handed pitching (.189 average vs righties) and their generally poor contact trends. Dylan praised Bibee's strong season-opening performance (five shutout innings vs the Royals) and expressed that he believes the Angels' early 4-2 record is misleading, inflating their perceived abilities. Given the shaky Angels lineup and Bibee's promising initial form, Rockford sees potential in targeting Bibee's pitching props as the most profitable angle in this game.

Scott Reichel favored betting the under (8 runs) between the Guardians and Angels. He expressed strong confidence in Tanner Bibee, coming off a stellar debut (five shutout innings) after delayed start due to food poisoning. Furthermore, he's deeply skeptical about both teams' offensive capability, describing the Angels' offense as weak (batting just .189 against righties this year) and highlighting the Guardians' early-season hitting woes. Given these factors, Reichel expected a lower-scoring contest offering clear value on the under.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommends taking the Cleveland Guardians moneyline against the Los Angeles Angels, spotlighting Tanner Bibee's promising debut. Bibee pitched 5.2 innings in his first start, displaying sharp command on the mound. The Angels have a middle-tier offense, currently ranked 13th in the league, and the expectation is they will struggle significantly facing Bibee and the Guardians pitching staff. Additionally, Cleveland has had notable success against both the Angels and AL West teams lately, winning seven consecutive games versus AL West opponents and five of their last seven road games specifically against the Angels. Given Bibee's early performance and the Guardians' recent strong form against Los Angeles and the AL West, backing Cleveland presents favorable value.

Dan Marcus recommends Tanner Bibee as an appealing cash-game pitcher option for DraftKings DFS play given his steady, safer skill profile compared to Robbie Ray. At $8,200, Bibee's floor and less volatile nature make him preferable in cash contests, whereas Ray offers the boom-or-bust nature better suited for tournament play.

Dan Marcus recommends Tanner Bibee ($8,200) as a safer, steadier alternative to Robbie Ray in DFS cash games. Bibee is unlikely to match Ray's elite strikeout numbers but presents much less volatility. Marcus advises cash game managers to favor predictability, making Bibee the preferred selection among these mid-priced pitchers on DraftKings for stability.

Polzin backed Tanner Bibee's over fantasy pitching score, highlighting projections around 5.5 innings pitched. He anticipated solid scoring due to increased chances of strikeouts and decreased runs allowed compared to the offered PrizePicks line, reinforcing why Bibee appeared as a valuable props betting selection.

Sean Zerillo recommended under 4.5 strikeouts on Tanner Bibee for opening day versus the Royals. Kansas City held MLB's lowest home strikeout rate of just 17.9% last season—an extraordinary home-away split that Zerillo jokingly speculated involved 'cheating.' Although partially joking, he emphasized the significance and consistency of this home-field edge. The Royals also added Jonathan India at the top of their lineup, further solidifying their low-strikeout identity, with most regulars averaging 20% Ks or below. Additionally, Zerillo anticipates limited pitch counts around 90 pitches for Bibee opening day and aggressive bullpen usage from Cleveland, given an off day afterward, shortening Bibee's outing further. Zerillo has high confidence in this under as a strong correlated play that aligns with his liking of an offensive-heavy game environment overall.

Bryce Hunt advised betting Cleveland Guardians first five innings plus half a run against the Kansas City Royals on Opening Day. He believes Tanner Bibee is undervalued by the market, citing Bibee's strong historical performance against the Royals (2-0, 3.67 ERA, 26 strikeouts in five matchups). Meanwhile, Royals pitcher Cole Ragans historically has struggled against Cleveland, going 0-2 with nearly a 6 ERA. Hunt's model projects Cleveland ahead 3-1 through five innings and sees value with the Guardians as underdogs in early innings, even noting a tie scenario still produces a betting win.