Kenny G recommended laying -170 with Detroit behind Tarik Skubal, stressing that Houston’s lineup has been shut out in consecutive 10-0 and 12-0 losses and now ranks just 21st in runs despite sitting third in batting average. Although Hunter Brown brings a 2.45 ERA, Kenny trusts Skubal’s 11-3 record, 2.42 ERA, and the Tigers’ eighth-ranked offense in both runs and slugging to carry the day. He cited Detroit’s 39-24 home record and a bullpen ERA trimmed to 4.02 while noting the Astros’ pen has "had its problems recently." With Houston’s bats described as "ice cold" and Detroit still holding a nine-game AL Central cushion, Kenny expects Skubal to bounce back from a merely "good" last start and for Detroit to cash the moneyline.

Calling it his “lock of the day,” Kenny G is laying -205 with Detroit. Tarik Skubal is 11-3 with a 2.35 ERA and already annihilated this lineup on June 30th (7 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 13 K). Kenny expects a similar script against a Minnesota offense that ranks 23rd in runs and batting average and has scored 4-1-2-5-0 runs its last five games. Bailey Ober carries a 5.16 ERA and was lit up by Detroit for 11 hits, 7 ER and 4 homers on July 2nd. The Twins bullpen (4.39 ERA, 7th worst in MLB) offers little relief, and injuries continue to thin their lineup. Kenny concedes the Tigers’ bats have cooled but still believes they can “rough up Ober again” enough for Skubal and a middling 4.15 bullpen to secure the win, making Detroit moneyline his favorite wager on the slate.

Eric Lindquist said to ladder Tarik Skubal’s strike-out prop all the way to 11 K’s and even sprinkle an alt 15-K ticket. His confidence comes from several angles: Skubal is still the runaway Cy Young favorite despite allowing four earned runs to the Angels and three to the Phillies in his last two turns; Minnesota just shipped out bullpen pieces and is running a lineup without Willie Castro or many established bats; Lindquist expects the Twins to be demoralized after ownership’s latest salary dump. He added that Skubal’s underlying whiff metrics remain elite and that the Tigers are likely to let him work deep because their own bullpen is thin after a double-header. All of that sets up a ceiling strike-out game that Lindquist believes will break the slate for K-prop bettors and DFS pitchers alike.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Tarik Skubal’s strikeout prop as the second premium target on the board. The Angels have struck out at a 25% clip versus left-handed pitching in the past three weeks (9th highest in MLB). Skubal brings overpowering swing-and-miss stuff, logging 181 strikeouts across 140.2 innings and hitting 10, 7, 11, 5, and 10 Ks in his last five starts. Steven stressed that Skubal’s splits are essentially neutral—home/road and left/right opponents make little difference—so there’s no hidden red flag. When these teams met on May 2, Skubal fanned eight in six frames, reinforcing the matchup edge. The tout framed the over on Skubal’s K prop as a strong betting angle for Friday.

DFS Army called Tarik Skubal a slate-defining spend despite the hefty salary because his road numbers are "absolutely ridiculous": 35.6% K-rate, 2.14 xFIP and only one barrel allowed in 30.1 IP away from Comerica. Philadelphia strikes out 23.9% of the time versus lefties and has a top-10 swing-and-miss rate, giving Skubal tournament-winning strikeout upside. While ownership projections have the Wheeler/Skubal pairing soaking up nearly 90% combined exposure, the tout is still willing to eat that chalk in cash and three-max builds, noting Skubal has cleared 30 DK points in three of his past five road starts even without the win bonus.

Eric Lindquist urged bettors to grab Detroit -1.5 because he trusts Tarik Skubal and wants to attack Luis Castillo. Lindquist noted Castillo’s four–seam looks noticeably flatter this season, pointing to an 11.7 % barrel rate and 46.9 % hard-hit rate that scream impending regression when he leaves spacious T-Mobile Park. Skubal, meanwhile, has already cashed multiple Tigers run-line tickets for Lindy this year and owns the AL’s third-best K-BB% since May 1. Detroit’s lineup is calibrated for left-handed run support — Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene both carry .370-plus wOBA marks versus righties — giving Skubal room to work with. Lindquist cannot fathom why the market has Detroit laying only a short price on the run line and labeled it his “second-favorite play of the slate.”

Matt Perrault recommended betting the first-five innings total OVER 3.5 runs in Mariners-Tigers. His logic hinges on Seattle’s proficiency versus southpaws (top-10 in RBIs, 11th in batting average against left-handed pitching) and Luis Castillo’s road vulnerability (4.67 ERA, .302 opponents’ AVG, five homers allowed in 44.1 IP). Perrault concedes Skubal owns a sparkling 2.06 home ERA and 8-0 record, but pointed to recent hiccups—four earned runs vs Oakland and two vs Pittsburgh—as proof one mistake swing (he mentioned a possible Cal Raleigh homer) can get Seattle on the board. If Skubal surrenders even a single run and Castillo allows his usual two-plus, Perrault projects a 3-1 or 3-2 score by the end of five, clearing the number.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended playing the full-game under in the Tigers-Guardians finale. He framed it as a classic pitchers duel: Tarik Skubal owns a sub-2.00 ERA on the road and in day games, while Gavin Williams has quietly posted a 2.30 daytime ERA and a 2.53 career ERA in four starts against Detroit. Guardians hitters have managed just a .193 lifetime average off Williams and have dropped nine straight overall, averaging 2.8 runs during that slide. Skubal has limited opponents to two or fewer runs in 11 of his last 12 outings, and both bullpens profile as solid—Detroit sits top-10 on the season and Cleveland’s relief corps carries a 3.21 ERA over the last week. With the total still listed at 8.5, the tout projected a 4-2 type game and advised taking the under.

Drew Martin advised playing Detroit, preferably Tigers ‑1.5 on the road, thanks to Tarik Skubal’s Cy Young-caliber roll. The lefty is 10-2 with a 2.10 ERA and has won five straight starts; his latest outing was seven shutout innings with a 13:1 K:BB. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams has issued 49 walks in 86 IP and has more walks (7) than strikeouts (4) over his last two starts, totaling 15 free passes in his past four. Martin notes both bullpen and lineup metrics lean Detroit, so he is comfortable laying the run and a half despite the likely juice.

Kenny G made Detroit –285 his “lock of the day,” riding Tarik Skubal’s Cy-Young-caliber form. Skubal is 9-2 with a 2.92 ERA and, despite allowing 4 ER to Oakland last time out, still boasts a 2.52 FIP and top-15 strikeout minus walk rate. He draws a Twins offense that sits 22nd in batting average and 19th in OBP and has scored five runs or fewer in five of its last six. Minnesota counters with Chris Paddack (3-6, 4.64 ERA) whose last three starts have yielded 4, 4, and 8 earned runs; his four-seamer has lost a full tick of velocity, hinting at possible health issues. The Twins bullpen has fallen back to a 4.37 ERA while Detroit’s relief unit holds a respectable 3.74. Home/road splits reinforce the edge: the Tigers are 28-13 at Comerica; Minnesota is just 17-25 away from Target Field. Detroit’s bats have become legitimately dangerous—4th in MLB in runs scored and hitting .253 as a team. Kenny trusts Skubal to shove for six-plus innings, expects enough run support against the struggling Paddack, and is willing to eat the heavy price because he pegs Detroit’s win probability north of 75%.

Matt Perrault laid out a run-line bet on Detroit largely because of Tarik Skubal’s current heater. Skubal owns a 2.30 ERA overall and is 7-0 at Comerica Park with opponents hitting just .213 against him (15 ER in 58.2 IP). Detroit has won each of his last four starts by more than one run, and the club’s broader pattern since 4 June is boom-or-bust: every Tigers victory in that span has cashed the −1.5 RL while losses have come outright. Perrault contrasted Skubal with Minnesota starter Chris Paddack and noted Skubal’s only home loss came two months ago versus Kansas City. With the market offering Detroit −1.5 at −125 despite a game total of seven, Perrault is comfortable swallowing juice on a home run-line play, projecting another multi-run win for the Tigers.

Lonte Smith loves the full-game UNDER 7 in Tigers-A’s. He pointed out that Tarik Skubal has given up only three total earned runs across his last five starts and now gets an Oakland lineup that ranks bottom-five against lefties. On the other side, Luis Severino owns a 0.93 ERA in six road outings (2-0 record) and hasn’t allowed more than one earned run away from home all season. Despite Severino’s reduced strikeouts (never more than five on the road), Lonte thinks his contact profile plays in Comerica’s spacious outfield. He projected a 4-1/4-2 type final and advised bettors to avoid the –280 money-line tax by taking the under instead.

Kenny G said bettors should not overthink the juiced number and lay the -290 moneyline with Detroit because Tarik Skubal puts them in a different class than Oakland. Skubal is 8-2 with a 2.06 ERA and the Tigers are 4-1 in his last five starts, the only blemish a 1-0 defeat where he threw seven scoreless frames. He contrasted that with Luis Severino’s 2-7 record and 4.42 ERA and reminded listeners that Oakland’s bullpen is dead-last in MLB while Detroit’s sits at a respectable 3.81. Offensively the Tigers have erupted for 9, 3, 8, 4 and 9 runs over their last five, ranking fifth in MLB scoring, whereas the A’s have produced just 2, 0, 2, 5, 6 and 4 and are 14th. Detroit is also 26-12 at home versus Oakland’s 17-21 road mark. With those edges across starting pitching, bullpen and lineup, Kenny flagged Detroit as his potential “massive lock of the day.”

Kenny G said he will back the Tigers on the run line (-1.5) and is comfortable playing the full-game Under 7 when Tarik Skubal faces Andrew Heaney in Game 1 of Thursday’s double-header. Skubal has been lights-out all season—7-2 record, 1.99 ERA—and blanked Baltimore for seven frames in his last outing. Pittsburgh’s offense is anemic, ranking last in runs, 29th in batting average, and mustering just three total runs across its last three games. Heaney has allowed six homers over his past four starts and gets little help from a Pirates bullpen sporting a 4.09 ERA. Detroit’s relief corps has slipped to 3.72 ERA but still grades as average, while the lineup is fifth in runs and top-seven in slugging. Unders are 23-11-2 in Pirates road games and 20-13-3 in Tigers home contests, so Kenny projects a 4-1 or 5-1 type score that cashes the run line yet stays below the seven-run total.

Just A Bet Outside fired on the Pirates team total UNDER 1.5 runs at +158 (half-unit) for Game 1 in Detroit. Pittsburgh owns a league-worst 38 WRC+ versus left-handed pitching over the past three weeks and has scored two or fewer in six of its last ten games against southpaws. Four of the last six lefties to face them have worked seven innings, including Matthew Boyd’s one-hitter. Tarik Skubal has allowed 1,1,1,0 runs across his last four starts and sports a 0.87 WHIP, prompting the host to dub him “the best starting pitcher on planet Earth right now.” With the Tigers bullpen fully rested after an off-day and likely needing only six outs, the tout likes Detroit to keep the Bucs at one run or fewer, noting the same outcome has hit in four straight Skubal starts.

Just A Bet Outside said Tarik Skubal’s strikeout prop is worth attacking again in the makeup game with Pittsburgh. The Pirates own the sixth–highest K-rate against left-handed pitching over the last three weeks (≈27%), and Skubal has punched out 111 hitters in only 90.1 innings. He has cleared six strikeouts in 12-of-14 starts, sporting a massive 35.8% strikeout rate at Comerica compared to 29.4% on the road. With near-identical K splits versus lefties and righties, the matchup profile plus home comforts point to another 6-plus strikeout outing, making his over a strong betting and DFS play.

Eric Lindquist said Tarik Skubal is “the best pitcher in baseball right now” and expects Detroit to handle Andrew Heaney in the first game of Thursday’s double-header. He pointed to the spacious dimensions of Comerica Park that turn hard contact into extra-base hits for Detroit’s lineup, while Skubal’s 29% strike-out rate and sub-2.50 xERA should neutralize a light-hitting Pirates order. Lindquist wants Detroit –1.5 before the market re-opens, noting the price will almost certainly be shorter after Wednesday’s rainout erased the original number.

Kenny G labeled Detroit at -300 his "lock of the day" even though the number is huge. Tarik Skubal has allowed just one earned run across his last four starts and now sports a 1.99 ERA with deeper pitch counts, giving the Tigers a massive edge on the mound over Andrew Heaney and a 4.09 ERA Pittsburgh bullpen. Detroit’s pen still grades top-10, while the Pirates rank dead last in runs and slugging percentage and are just 10-25 on the road. Add in Comerica Park trends—Tigers 24-11 at home and both clubs cashing unders (Pirates 23-10-2 to the under on the road, Tigers 20-12-3)—and Kenny also likes the full-game under 7 and a no-run first inning, but the primary recommendation is laying the big price with Detroit because, as he put it, “we don’t care about price on the lock of the day.”

Just A Bet Outside said the Tigers are a slam-dunk money-line piece with Tarik Skubal on the hill. Detroit is 10-4 overall and 5-1 at Comerica when the left-hander starts, and Pittsburgh’s team total opened at just 2.5 runs. Skubal owns a ridiculous 32.7% K-rate against only 2.7% walks and has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his last nine turns. The Pirates remain a bottom-five offense versus southpaws, so the tout projected that two or three Tiger runs will be plenty of cushion. Detroit’s high-leverage bullpen arms are fully rested, giving him confidence to lay the ML or roll the club into parlays.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Tariq Skubal as a smash strikeout play against the Pirates, who strike out 26.9% of the time versus southpaws (6th highest in MLB). Skubal owns 111 strikeouts in just 90.1 innings, registering 6+ punch-outs in 12 of 14 starts. One of those two misses came way back on Opening Day against the Dodgers, so his recent form is spotless. He is even better at Comerica, sporting a 35.8% home K-rate compared to 29.4% on the road, and his change-up keeps both lefties and righties honest (nearly identical split K-rates). The tout advised taking the over on his strikeout prop and slotting Skubal into DFS lineups as an anchor.

Guy Boston Sports played Tarik Skubal over 7.5 strikeouts at ‑144 on FanDuel, noting the left-hander has eclipsed this lofty mark in 7 of his last 10 starts (8.9 K per game) and 8 of 13 overall in 2025 (62%). Even when he’s missed, Skubal sat close with 7 K versus Kansas City and 6 versus Chicago. The big selling point is a recent head-to-head: on April 27 he fanned 11 Orioles in a 7-0 shutout, showing clear ceiling versus this lineup. Baltimore’s numbers versus left-handed pitching are merely middling to below average in most contact metrics, giving Skubal plenty of punch-out potential. With elite swing-and-miss stuff and a history of success against this opponent, the tout is comfortable paying the juice for 8+ strikeouts.

Even though the host called Skubal "the man," he advised caution on betting his strikeout over. Baltimore has gotten healthier and owns the 7th-lowest K-rate against left-handers in the last three weeks at 20.9%. With the Orioles swinging and missing far less of late, Skubal’s gaudy recent numbers (23.2 scoreless innings, 26 Ks) may not translate into a big strikeout game, making an over ticket dicey.

B Wade said Tarik Skubal is an easy over on 7.5 strikeouts Thursday. Skubal has punched out 8+ hitters in eight of 13 starts and already carved up Baltimore for 11 K’s in six shut-out innings earlier this season. The Orioles rank inside the top-8 in team strikeout rate (bottom 30th percentile overall) and have only one regular batting over .300 versus left-handed pitching, with most of the lineup sitting below .250. Wade noted that teams who held Skubal under this number generally strike out far less than Baltimore does. With a weak platoon profile and recent dominance against these same hitters, Wade expects at least eight strikeouts from the Tigers’ ace.

Scott Reichel hammered Detroit –1.5 and even grabbed Tigers first-five –0.5 because Tarik Skubal is, in his words, "the best pitcher in baseball right now." The left-hander is fresh off a 101-pitch Maddox (complete-game shutout) in which he fanned 13 and walked none, pushing his season line to a 1.71 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, and 34% strike-out rate. Skubal has recorded 11+ Ks in back-to-back starts and has yet to allow more than two earned runs in any of his five road outings. Royals starter Michael Wacha carries a 4.67 xERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and has surrendered 7+ hits in four of his last five turns. Detroit’s bullpen owns a 2.91 ERA the past two weeks, so Scott feels comfortable asking for a multi-run cushion and would lay the run line as long as it stays at even money or better.

Kenny G suggested grabbing the Royals at +150, effectively fading Tarik Skubal after his 113-pitch complete-game shutout. Skubal sports a 2.49 ERA but struggled the start after his previous long outing, and Kenny worries about another post-CG dip. Detroit is only 16-12 away from Comerica, while Kansas City owns an 18-11 record at Kauffman. Michael Wacha’s 3.21 ERA includes a prior two-run effort over 5.1 innings against Detroit, and the KC bullpen has been steady. With the Tigers trending 18-10 to the over on the road and the Royals offense due for positive variance, Kenny believes Kansas City can steal a close one at home and makes them a value play.

Perrault stapled Detroit to his two-team parlay because Tarik Skubal has been a license to print money. The lefty is 5-2 with a 2.49 ERA, but more importantly the Tigers are 8-1 in his nine outings and have won six straight behind him by scores such as 7-0, 9-1 and 6-5. Even if Michael Wacha (2.18 home ERA) keeps it close for Kansas City, Detroit’s form behind Skubal makes the straight moneyline a trustworthy leg. Skubal’s 0.95 WHIP and 27.8% K-rate give him the clear pitching edge in a key divisional matchup.

Kingpin advised taking Tarik Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts. Skubal owns a 4-2 record with a 2.87 ERA and an elite 31% strikeout rate at Comerica Park, where the bigger dimensions suppress power and let him live in the zone. Cleveland ranks 28th in hard-hit percentage and is striking out 23.4% of the time against lefties over the last month. With Logan Allen expected to keep run scoring low, Kingpin projects a tight game that will keep Skubal on the mound deep into the seventh, giving him 100-plus pitch upside and a realistic path to 7–9 punch-outs.

Kenny G said to swallow the -220 money-line price on the Tigers because Tarik Skubal has been a bankroll machine. Skubal owns a 2.87 ERA with Detroit going 5-0 in his last five outings and only three overall losses all season when he has taken the mound. Even when he has not been razor sharp—three earned versus St. Louis and a shaky outing against Boston—the Tigers still found ways to win. Detroit’s bullpen (3.38 ERA) profiles as solid support, while Cleveland’s pen has slid to league-average at 3.82. Offensively, the Guardians sit 22nd in runs and 24th in average, and Kenny pointed out that their four-game win streak has been fueled by a couple of extra-inning explosions rather than sustained production. Detroit’s bats have cooled recently (five, one, zero, five, five runs) but remain fourth in MLB scoring and seventh in average, a slide Kenny does not expect to last. With Cleveland starter Logan Allen carrying only a 3.86 ERA and coming off a weather-short, three-inning appearance, Kenny expects Detroit to control the game early and hand it to the pen with a lead. He listed the Tigers as a potential ‘lock of the day’ and noted that a 7.5 total leans under but prefers the side.

Drew Martin said Tarik Skubal’s current form makes Detroit the clear side. Skubal owns a 2.89 ERA, an even better 2.10 FIP, and a dominant 79-to-8 K/BB mark through 59 innings. The Tigers, who enter the weekend with MLB’s best record and a +80 run differential, have also hammered right-handed pitching and carry a bullpen edge. Martin contrasted that with Cleveland starter Logan Allen’s 21 walks in 44 innings and a two-and-a-third, seven-earned-run implosion the last time he faced Detroit. Because the moneyline will likely exceed –150, Martin is comfortable laying a home run line, confident Skubal can replicate the seven-inning, one-run gem he spun against Cleveland earlier this month.

Collin Whitchurch grabbed OVER 0.5 walks for Tarik Skubal at –180 despite the left-hander issuing only six free passes in 54 innings. The zag is about matchup: St. Louis ranks eighth in walk rate vs LHP (10.1 %) and boasts five hitters—Lars Nootbaar, Ivan Herrera, Nolan Arenado, Willson Contreras and rookie Masyn Winn—above double-digit BB%. Whitchurch notes that three of Skubal’s six walks came in a single early-April game, so the line may be overly influenced by a tiny recent sample. He thinks the Cardinals’ patience forces at least one four-pitch pass often enough to justify the juice.

JD Bets warned listeners to leave Tarik Skubal’s strike-out market alone on Tuesday. Books are dangling 6.5 Ks at +130 and even a 7-plus ladder at +140, but JD pointed out that St. Louis owns one of the lowest team strike-out rates in baseball—only three projected hitters whiff above 30%. He walked through Skubal’s recent game log, noting that his ceiling performances came against the Angels and Red Sox, two top-five K clubs, while he managed just five punch-outs versus a low-K Royals squad. JD’s spreadsheet shows several Cardinals right-handers with strong career numbers against Skubal, making the margin razor thin. With Detroit laying –180 and a modest 7.5 total, JD concluded the line is “low for a reason” and advised bettors to skip the prop rather than force action.

Razzle called Tarik Skubal ‘arguably the best pitcher in baseball right now’ and locked him into cash and GPP builds. His 7.5 K-prop sits two full strikeouts above anyone else, and he carries –192 money-line support with only a 7.5 game total in spacious Busch Stadium. Skubal has posted double-digit Ks in three of his last four, averaging 95 pitches, and even in a 5-ER dud at Boston still produced 21.5 DK points. Razzle will eat the salary and build around him.

Steve Merrill advised laying -1.5 runs with Detroit at roughly -110 instead of paying the hefty -190 money-line. He sees a decisive pitching edge with Tarik Skubal against Erick Fedde and a shaky St. Louis bullpen. Merrill reminded listeners that Detroit still owns the best record in baseball—four more wins than any AL club and two more than any NL team—even after Monday’s 11-4 loss. Because the Tigers are on the road, they are guaranteed a ninth-inning at-bat if trailing, which statistically boosts a favorite’s ability to cover the run line. Merrill framed tonight as a classic ‘bounce-back’ for a strong team with its ace on the mound and recommended the run line to turn an expensive favorite into a pick-em-price wager.

Guy Boston said to lay the Tigers first-five run line (-0.5, around ‑135) with Tarik Skubal on the hill in St. Louis. Boston expects another dominant outing from the left-hander, noting that Skubal’s 1.97 ERA is backed by a 30% strike-out rate and .263 xwOBA allowed. He contrasted that with Eric Fetty, who has spun back-to-back scoreless starts—but against Washington and Pittsburgh—calling it prime regression bait. Fetty relies on a 53% sinker usage, and Detroit sits top-10 in run value versus sinkers while holding plus marks against his slider and cutter as well. Boston added that the Tigers have been exactly 50-50 on the F5 run line in Skubal starts but believes the matchup tips the scales: Detroit projects at least two early runs while Skubal works five innings of 0–1-run ball. He dismissed a full-game play because the Tigers bullpen has wobbled on the road, making the F5 the cleaner angle.

Donnie Rightside said Detroit is a straight-forward money-line play at –186 because Tarik Skubal has morphed into an untouchable buzz-saw. Over his last 30 days the left-hander has faced 118 batters while walking fewer than 2 % and striking out an absurd 39 %. Opponents own a microscopic .063 ISO and .231 wOBA in that span, and the underlying metrics (1.32 FIP, 1.56 xFIP) say it is no fluke. Donnie noted Skubal has logged at least eight Ks in four straight starts and still carries a 2.67 ERA for the month even after a rare five-run hiccup against Boston. The matchup sets up even better because winds are projected 15 mph out to right at 74 °F and St. Louis is loaded with left-handed bats that historically struggle against elite lefty velocity. On the other side Eric Fedde’s 3.45 ERA is propped up by a 4.84 xFIP, and Detroit’s left-handed sticks (Kerry Carpenter, Colt Keith, Riley Greene, Zach McKinstry, Trey Sweeney) all slug right-handed pitching. With Skubal on the hill and platoon advantages throughout the lineup, Rightside expects “a walk-away easy victory” for Detroit and is comfortable laying the chalk or using the Tigers as a parlay anchor.

Mills Young advised betting Tarik Skubal over 6 strikeouts. The Tigers’ left-hander has cleared this mark in four of his last five starts (80%) while carrying a 31% whiff rate and 14.7% swinging-strike percentage. He faces a bottom-10 offense versus southpaws, and Sports Chat Place’s model grades the over as an A play, so Young is riding the trend.

Adam Rosenberg played Tarik Skubal over 8 strikeouts at –104, calling it a ‘smash K spot’. Boston’s projected lineup features six hitters with 23%-plus K-rates and 27%-plus CSW versus lefties over the last 30 plate appearances. Skubal is on a dominant run: 31 strikeouts and 0 walks across his last 19 innings, including 12 Ks against Texas and 8 Ks versus Boston last August. Even in an earlier 73-pitch start against the Angels he still punched out eight. With no current pitch-limit concerns, Rosenberg believes Skubal is the AL’s best pitcher and considered laddering the strikeouts for double-digit upside.

Brian Howard called Tarik Skubal 'the best pitcher in baseball right now' and plans to hit both his strikeout over and the Tigers double-result (lead after 5 and win) against Boston. Skubal boasts a 1.68 ERA, 34 % K-rate and has allowed only two homers in seven starts. Boston’s lineup owns the sixth-highest strikeout rate versus lefties (26.4 %) and ranks 23rd in wRC+ in that split. Howard expects books to hang an 8.0 or 8.5 strikeout line at approximately ‑110; if that happens he will ladder to 9+ for plus money because Skubal has reached double-digit Ks in two of his last four outings while averaging 94 pitches. He paired the K prop with Detroit’s double result, noting the Tigers bullpen’s 2.91 ERA over the past two weeks and Boston’s bottom-10 pen in leverage index.

Matt Perrault said the Tigers money-line is a standalone bet worth riding because Tarik Skubal is set up to dominate a reeling Boston club. Skubal owns a 1.72 ERA through his last four turns and now sees a Red Sox bullpen that coughed up two separate three-run homers to Javier Baez last night, including an 11th-inning walk-off. Perrault noted Boston is trying to avoid a sweep but calls their relief corps "atrocious" and doubts they can support a lineup that already strikes out 24% of the time versus left-handed pitching. He added that Detroit currently sports the best record in the American League, so backing Skubal against a taxed pen in getaway-day conditions is his favorite way to capitalize.

Lonte Smith recommended an escalator ladder on Tarik Skubal strikeouts (8+ at plus money) paired with a Tigers moneyline ticket. Skubal has hit eight or more Ks in three of his last four starts and boasts a 35% strikeout rate over that stretch. Texas has fallen to 7-10 in its last 17 and fired its hitting coach this week while striking out 24.6% of the time versus lefties. Detroit is 13-3 at Comerica Park and averaging 8.6 runs across its last seven wins. With the Rangers bullpen lugging a 5.02 ERA over the last ten and Skubal posting a 0.90 ERA in his past five outings, Smith believes the Tigers cruise while their ace racks up punch-outs.

Just A Bet Outside said Tarik Skubal is set up for a ceiling strikeout game against Texas. The Rangers own the 7th-highest K-rate versus left-handed pitching over the last three weeks (24.6 %), and Skubal has been mowing hitters down with 48 Ks in 40.2 innings. He already punched out 11 Orioles and 8 Angels—both high-whiff clubs—in his last two starts. The host noted Skubal’s punch-out percentage actually climbs at Comerica (31.3 % home vs 29 % road) and he fans lefties at a hefty 32.5 % clip. All the metrics line up for an OVER on his strikeout prop and for using him as a DFS SP1 on Thursday’s full slate.

Kyle Purviance targeted the Tigers in the first-five-innings market against the Angels and Jose Soriano. He noted that Detroit sends ace-level lefty Tarik Skubal to the mound while Los Angeles is still without Mike Trout, stripping the lineup of its only elite bat versus left-handed pitching. Soriano, meanwhile, has struggled to locate his fastball and brings a 10.4% walk rate with just a 20% whiff rate into the start, numbers Purviance believes will let the Tigers’ contact-heavy order generate early traffic. With Skubal working on a 32% strikeout rate and sub-3.00 xFIP over his last four outings, Purviance expects Detroit to carry a lead through five and sees value in the Tigers F5 moneyline rather than the full-game price that exposes bettors to Detroit’s shaky bullpen.

Collin Whitchurch played the NRFI at ‑135 (good to ‑150) in Tigers–Angels, riding Tarik Skubal’s utter shutdown form. Skubal’s underlying numbers are somehow better than last year’s Cy Young campaign: 1.34 ERA, 35% K-rate and a minuscule 3% walk rate. He faces an Angels lineup that ranks 29th in wRC+ versus lefties and brings only a mildly concerning Mike Trout matchup. On the other side, Detroit draws Jose Soriano, whose electric stuff is balanced by control issues, but Whitchurch still projects fewer than 0.35 first-inning runs from that half of the matchup. His model makes the true line ‑160, giving bettors a solid edge at current prices.

Razzle called Tarik Skubal the safest pitcher tonight. Fresh off an 11-strikeout gem, Skubal faces an Angels lineup missing Mike Trout. His strikeout prop opens at 7.5 (pick-em) and he’s +100 for the win with the Tigers –192 on the board. The Angels’ projected order owns a collective 25% K rate versus lefties without Trout. Razzle expects another 100-pitch outing and double-digit K potential, making Skubal a priority spend in all formats.

JD Bets pounded Tarik Skubal OVER 7.5 strikeouts for Friday’s start in Anaheim. He noted that the Angels are a dream matchup for K props, ranking bottom-5 in strikeout rate all season and fanning 9.7 times per game over the last ten (9.6 per game at home). Skubal’s recent log shows 9, 11, 8, 6 and 4 punch-outs, good for a 6.7 average but a clear upward trend since a rough Seattle outing. Even though a couple Halo bats have had success against him in tiny samples—Jorge Soler is 2-for-4 with two bombs and Tim Anderson owns a .522 AVG in 23 career ABs—JD emphasized that L.A.’s overall .193 team average the past week makes sustained rallies unlikely. With Detroit entering as modest road chalk and the Angels ranking 28th in contact rate versus lefties, JD projected eight to ten Ks and called the 7.5 line “too generous to pass.”

Beermakersfan urged players to spend for Tarik Skubal after saving elsewhere. Skubal’s last four outings produced 27, 35 and 36 DK points and he now draws an Angels lineup that strikes out 28 % of the time versus lefties—second worst in MLB behind Colorado. With Mike Trout sidelined, the Angels’ power threat is neutered while their swing-and-miss remains. Beer projected 10+ strikeouts and another 30-point DraftKings ceiling, noting that the slate’s abundance of cheap bats makes the ace price tag easy to afford.

Bettor Mark is playing Tarik Skubal to "record a win" at even money in the Tigers-Angels clash. He highlighted that the Angels lead the league in strike-out rate, a perfect match-up for Skubal, whose earned-runs prop has been stuck at 1.5 because he keeps allowing one run or none. Detroit’s bats are trending up while Jose Soriano is a hittable opponent, so Mark expects early run support. He flatly stated he does not see Skubal falling to 3-3 or suffering another no-decision given how dominant he’s been and how punch-less the Halos look. The plus-100 price is, in his words, "a great spot for the Tigers."

Just A Bet Outside hyped Tarik Skubal’s strikeout upside against the Angels, calling him a Cy Young front-runner and noting both matchup and form. The Angels own the 2nd-highest K-rate vs left-handed pitching over the past three weeks at 31%. Skubal has fanned 40 hitters in 34.2 innings and is fresh off an 11-K masterpiece against Baltimore (the 5th-highest K-rate vs LHP). Even though his road K-rate (26.4%) is weaker than at Comerica (31.3%), Steven expects the free-swinging Angels to neutralize that split. With Skubal striking out 35.1% of same-handed hitters and the Halos projected to start at least six lefty crushers, he recommended attacking the over on Skubal’s strikeout prop and slotting him into DFS lineups for ceiling.

Martin locked in Detroit as his best bet, advising either a moneyline play up to ‑150 or the run-line if the price is steeper. Tarik Skubal—former Cy Young winner—is dealing with a sub-2.50 ERA/FIP and a pristine 40:5 K:BB ratio, and he draws an Angels offense that has crossed the plate only 41 times in its last 17 contests while riding a five-game skid. Jose Soriano, a pitcher Martin backed early in April, has fallen apart lately (8 IP, 13 H, 9 ER, 5 BB over his last two starts versus Minnesota and Pittsburgh). The Tigers bring a +40 run differential and a top-10 lineup against right-handers, plus a sizeable bullpen edge. Martin expects Skubal to dominate and Detroit to add to the Angels’ misery.

Ashley Olsen advised laying the -1.5 run line with Detroit, citing a massive edge on the mound and at the plate. She highlighted Tarik Skubal's 1.52 ERA over his last five starts and 2.34 ERA on the season, noting that three of his last four outings were scoreless, including six shutout frames with 11 strikeouts and zero walks against Baltimore. By contrast, Angels starter Jose Soriano owns a 5.67 ERA in his past five turns, is issuing too many walks, and rarely works deep into games. Olsen added that Detroit sits top-5 in the American League in batting average, OBP, slugging, and OPS while averaging 5.57 runs per game over the last week. With the Angels entering the game on a five-game home losing streak, she expects the Tigers to win comfortably and cover the run line.

Greg Peterson will fire on the Tigers –1.5 if the price reaches even money, citing a massive starting-pitching and bullpen gap. Tarik Skubal has rebounded from a tough Dodger Stadium opener to allow just two runs over his last three outings and now owns a 2.83 ERA, 2.89 FIP and 9.0 K/9. Dean Kremer, meanwhile, is drowning: 6.84 ERA, 5.59 FIP, 13.0 H/9 and the same persistent control issues (3.5 BB/9) that have plagued him for three seasons. Detroit’s relief corps remains one of baseball’s deepest, and Peterson thinks Saturday’s double-header actually helped them because multi-inning arms Brad Hurder, Tyler Holton and Will Vest can handle extra volume while Baltimore burned high-leverage options Yennier Cano and Felix Bautista. The Tigers’ offense is waking up—Spencer Torkelson (.360 OBP, 5 HR), Kerry Carpenter (.295/.345/.520) and Zach McKinstry (.310 AVG) headline a group that now hits lefties and righties equally well. Baltimore’s star-studded lineup has been inconsistent; Cedric Mullins is the only regular above a .340 OBP, and Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman and Ryan Mountcastle are all sub-.310. Peterson modeled the total at 8.7, so he’s also playing Over 7.5, expecting both a fatigued Orioles bullpen and Kremer’s contact issues to give the Tigers a path to six or more runs while Skubal works six strong and hands it to a fresh back end.