Kingpin advised taking Tarik Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts. Skubal owns a 4-2 record with a 2.87 ERA and an elite 31% strikeout rate at Comerica Park, where the bigger dimensions suppress power and let him live in the zone. Cleveland ranks 28th in hard-hit percentage and is striking out 23.4% of the time against lefties over the last month. With Logan Allen expected to keep run scoring low, Kingpin projects a tight game that will keep Skubal on the mound deep into the seventh, giving him 100-plus pitch upside and a realistic path to 7–9 punch-outs.

Kenny G said to swallow the -220 money-line price on the Tigers because Tarik Skubal has been a bankroll machine. Skubal owns a 2.87 ERA with Detroit going 5-0 in his last five outings and only three overall losses all season when he has taken the mound. Even when he has not been razor sharp—three earned versus St. Louis and a shaky outing against Boston—the Tigers still found ways to win. Detroit’s bullpen (3.38 ERA) profiles as solid support, while Cleveland’s pen has slid to league-average at 3.82. Offensively, the Guardians sit 22nd in runs and 24th in average, and Kenny pointed out that their four-game win streak has been fueled by a couple of extra-inning explosions rather than sustained production. Detroit’s bats have cooled recently (five, one, zero, five, five runs) but remain fourth in MLB scoring and seventh in average, a slide Kenny does not expect to last. With Cleveland starter Logan Allen carrying only a 3.86 ERA and coming off a weather-short, three-inning appearance, Kenny expects Detroit to control the game early and hand it to the pen with a lead. He listed the Tigers as a potential ‘lock of the day’ and noted that a 7.5 total leans under but prefers the side.

Drew Martin said Tarik Skubal’s current form makes Detroit the clear side. Skubal owns a 2.89 ERA, an even better 2.10 FIP, and a dominant 79-to-8 K/BB mark through 59 innings. The Tigers, who enter the weekend with MLB’s best record and a +80 run differential, have also hammered right-handed pitching and carry a bullpen edge. Martin contrasted that with Cleveland starter Logan Allen’s 21 walks in 44 innings and a two-and-a-third, seven-earned-run implosion the last time he faced Detroit. Because the moneyline will likely exceed –150, Martin is comfortable laying a home run line, confident Skubal can replicate the seven-inning, one-run gem he spun against Cleveland earlier this month.

Collin Whitchurch grabbed OVER 0.5 walks for Tarik Skubal at –180 despite the left-hander issuing only six free passes in 54 innings. The zag is about matchup: St. Louis ranks eighth in walk rate vs LHP (10.1 %) and boasts five hitters—Lars Nootbaar, Ivan Herrera, Nolan Arenado, Willson Contreras and rookie Masyn Winn—above double-digit BB%. Whitchurch notes that three of Skubal’s six walks came in a single early-April game, so the line may be overly influenced by a tiny recent sample. He thinks the Cardinals’ patience forces at least one four-pitch pass often enough to justify the juice.

JD Bets warned listeners to leave Tarik Skubal’s strike-out market alone on Tuesday. Books are dangling 6.5 Ks at +130 and even a 7-plus ladder at +140, but JD pointed out that St. Louis owns one of the lowest team strike-out rates in baseball—only three projected hitters whiff above 30%. He walked through Skubal’s recent game log, noting that his ceiling performances came against the Angels and Red Sox, two top-five K clubs, while he managed just five punch-outs versus a low-K Royals squad. JD’s spreadsheet shows several Cardinals right-handers with strong career numbers against Skubal, making the margin razor thin. With Detroit laying –180 and a modest 7.5 total, JD concluded the line is “low for a reason” and advised bettors to skip the prop rather than force action.

Razzle called Tarik Skubal ‘arguably the best pitcher in baseball right now’ and locked him into cash and GPP builds. His 7.5 K-prop sits two full strikeouts above anyone else, and he carries –192 money-line support with only a 7.5 game total in spacious Busch Stadium. Skubal has posted double-digit Ks in three of his last four, averaging 95 pitches, and even in a 5-ER dud at Boston still produced 21.5 DK points. Razzle will eat the salary and build around him.

Steve Merrill advised laying -1.5 runs with Detroit at roughly -110 instead of paying the hefty -190 money-line. He sees a decisive pitching edge with Tarik Skubal against Erick Fedde and a shaky St. Louis bullpen. Merrill reminded listeners that Detroit still owns the best record in baseball—four more wins than any AL club and two more than any NL team—even after Monday’s 11-4 loss. Because the Tigers are on the road, they are guaranteed a ninth-inning at-bat if trailing, which statistically boosts a favorite’s ability to cover the run line. Merrill framed tonight as a classic ‘bounce-back’ for a strong team with its ace on the mound and recommended the run line to turn an expensive favorite into a pick-em-price wager.

Guy Boston said to lay the Tigers first-five run line (-0.5, around ‑135) with Tarik Skubal on the hill in St. Louis. Boston expects another dominant outing from the left-hander, noting that Skubal’s 1.97 ERA is backed by a 30% strike-out rate and .263 xwOBA allowed. He contrasted that with Eric Fetty, who has spun back-to-back scoreless starts—but against Washington and Pittsburgh—calling it prime regression bait. Fetty relies on a 53% sinker usage, and Detroit sits top-10 in run value versus sinkers while holding plus marks against his slider and cutter as well. Boston added that the Tigers have been exactly 50-50 on the F5 run line in Skubal starts but believes the matchup tips the scales: Detroit projects at least two early runs while Skubal works five innings of 0–1-run ball. He dismissed a full-game play because the Tigers bullpen has wobbled on the road, making the F5 the cleaner angle.

Donnie Rightside said Detroit is a straight-forward money-line play at –186 because Tarik Skubal has morphed into an untouchable buzz-saw. Over his last 30 days the left-hander has faced 118 batters while walking fewer than 2 % and striking out an absurd 39 %. Opponents own a microscopic .063 ISO and .231 wOBA in that span, and the underlying metrics (1.32 FIP, 1.56 xFIP) say it is no fluke. Donnie noted Skubal has logged at least eight Ks in four straight starts and still carries a 2.67 ERA for the month even after a rare five-run hiccup against Boston. The matchup sets up even better because winds are projected 15 mph out to right at 74 °F and St. Louis is loaded with left-handed bats that historically struggle against elite lefty velocity. On the other side Eric Fedde’s 3.45 ERA is propped up by a 4.84 xFIP, and Detroit’s left-handed sticks (Kerry Carpenter, Colt Keith, Riley Greene, Zach McKinstry, Trey Sweeney) all slug right-handed pitching. With Skubal on the hill and platoon advantages throughout the lineup, Rightside expects “a walk-away easy victory” for Detroit and is comfortable laying the chalk or using the Tigers as a parlay anchor.

Mills Young advised betting Tarik Skubal over 6 strikeouts. The Tigers’ left-hander has cleared this mark in four of his last five starts (80%) while carrying a 31% whiff rate and 14.7% swinging-strike percentage. He faces a bottom-10 offense versus southpaws, and Sports Chat Place’s model grades the over as an A play, so Young is riding the trend.

Adam Rosenberg played Tarik Skubal over 8 strikeouts at –104, calling it a ‘smash K spot’. Boston’s projected lineup features six hitters with 23%-plus K-rates and 27%-plus CSW versus lefties over the last 30 plate appearances. Skubal is on a dominant run: 31 strikeouts and 0 walks across his last 19 innings, including 12 Ks against Texas and 8 Ks versus Boston last August. Even in an earlier 73-pitch start against the Angels he still punched out eight. With no current pitch-limit concerns, Rosenberg believes Skubal is the AL’s best pitcher and considered laddering the strikeouts for double-digit upside.

Brian Howard called Tarik Skubal 'the best pitcher in baseball right now' and plans to hit both his strikeout over and the Tigers double-result (lead after 5 and win) against Boston. Skubal boasts a 1.68 ERA, 34 % K-rate and has allowed only two homers in seven starts. Boston’s lineup owns the sixth-highest strikeout rate versus lefties (26.4 %) and ranks 23rd in wRC+ in that split. Howard expects books to hang an 8.0 or 8.5 strikeout line at approximately ‑110; if that happens he will ladder to 9+ for plus money because Skubal has reached double-digit Ks in two of his last four outings while averaging 94 pitches. He paired the K prop with Detroit’s double result, noting the Tigers bullpen’s 2.91 ERA over the past two weeks and Boston’s bottom-10 pen in leverage index.

Matt Perrault said the Tigers money-line is a standalone bet worth riding because Tarik Skubal is set up to dominate a reeling Boston club. Skubal owns a 1.72 ERA through his last four turns and now sees a Red Sox bullpen that coughed up two separate three-run homers to Javier Baez last night, including an 11th-inning walk-off. Perrault noted Boston is trying to avoid a sweep but calls their relief corps "atrocious" and doubts they can support a lineup that already strikes out 24% of the time versus left-handed pitching. He added that Detroit currently sports the best record in the American League, so backing Skubal against a taxed pen in getaway-day conditions is his favorite way to capitalize.

Lonte Smith recommended an escalator ladder on Tarik Skubal strikeouts (8+ at plus money) paired with a Tigers moneyline ticket. Skubal has hit eight or more Ks in three of his last four starts and boasts a 35% strikeout rate over that stretch. Texas has fallen to 7-10 in its last 17 and fired its hitting coach this week while striking out 24.6% of the time versus lefties. Detroit is 13-3 at Comerica Park and averaging 8.6 runs across its last seven wins. With the Rangers bullpen lugging a 5.02 ERA over the last ten and Skubal posting a 0.90 ERA in his past five outings, Smith believes the Tigers cruise while their ace racks up punch-outs.

Just A Bet Outside said Tarik Skubal is set up for a ceiling strikeout game against Texas. The Rangers own the 7th-highest K-rate versus left-handed pitching over the last three weeks (24.6 %), and Skubal has been mowing hitters down with 48 Ks in 40.2 innings. He already punched out 11 Orioles and 8 Angels—both high-whiff clubs—in his last two starts. The host noted Skubal’s punch-out percentage actually climbs at Comerica (31.3 % home vs 29 % road) and he fans lefties at a hefty 32.5 % clip. All the metrics line up for an OVER on his strikeout prop and for using him as a DFS SP1 on Thursday’s full slate.

Kyle Purviance targeted the Tigers in the first-five-innings market against the Angels and Jose Soriano. He noted that Detroit sends ace-level lefty Tarik Skubal to the mound while Los Angeles is still without Mike Trout, stripping the lineup of its only elite bat versus left-handed pitching. Soriano, meanwhile, has struggled to locate his fastball and brings a 10.4% walk rate with just a 20% whiff rate into the start, numbers Purviance believes will let the Tigers’ contact-heavy order generate early traffic. With Skubal working on a 32% strikeout rate and sub-3.00 xFIP over his last four outings, Purviance expects Detroit to carry a lead through five and sees value in the Tigers F5 moneyline rather than the full-game price that exposes bettors to Detroit’s shaky bullpen.

Collin Whitchurch played the NRFI at ‑135 (good to ‑150) in Tigers–Angels, riding Tarik Skubal’s utter shutdown form. Skubal’s underlying numbers are somehow better than last year’s Cy Young campaign: 1.34 ERA, 35% K-rate and a minuscule 3% walk rate. He faces an Angels lineup that ranks 29th in wRC+ versus lefties and brings only a mildly concerning Mike Trout matchup. On the other side, Detroit draws Jose Soriano, whose electric stuff is balanced by control issues, but Whitchurch still projects fewer than 0.35 first-inning runs from that half of the matchup. His model makes the true line ‑160, giving bettors a solid edge at current prices.

Razzle called Tarik Skubal the safest pitcher tonight. Fresh off an 11-strikeout gem, Skubal faces an Angels lineup missing Mike Trout. His strikeout prop opens at 7.5 (pick-em) and he’s +100 for the win with the Tigers –192 on the board. The Angels’ projected order owns a collective 25% K rate versus lefties without Trout. Razzle expects another 100-pitch outing and double-digit K potential, making Skubal a priority spend in all formats.

JD Bets pounded Tarik Skubal OVER 7.5 strikeouts for Friday’s start in Anaheim. He noted that the Angels are a dream matchup for K props, ranking bottom-5 in strikeout rate all season and fanning 9.7 times per game over the last ten (9.6 per game at home). Skubal’s recent log shows 9, 11, 8, 6 and 4 punch-outs, good for a 6.7 average but a clear upward trend since a rough Seattle outing. Even though a couple Halo bats have had success against him in tiny samples—Jorge Soler is 2-for-4 with two bombs and Tim Anderson owns a .522 AVG in 23 career ABs—JD emphasized that L.A.’s overall .193 team average the past week makes sustained rallies unlikely. With Detroit entering as modest road chalk and the Angels ranking 28th in contact rate versus lefties, JD projected eight to ten Ks and called the 7.5 line “too generous to pass.”

Beermakersfan urged players to spend for Tarik Skubal after saving elsewhere. Skubal’s last four outings produced 27, 35 and 36 DK points and he now draws an Angels lineup that strikes out 28 % of the time versus lefties—second worst in MLB behind Colorado. With Mike Trout sidelined, the Angels’ power threat is neutered while their swing-and-miss remains. Beer projected 10+ strikeouts and another 30-point DraftKings ceiling, noting that the slate’s abundance of cheap bats makes the ace price tag easy to afford.

Bettor Mark is playing Tarik Skubal to "record a win" at even money in the Tigers-Angels clash. He highlighted that the Angels lead the league in strike-out rate, a perfect match-up for Skubal, whose earned-runs prop has been stuck at 1.5 because he keeps allowing one run or none. Detroit’s bats are trending up while Jose Soriano is a hittable opponent, so Mark expects early run support. He flatly stated he does not see Skubal falling to 3-3 or suffering another no-decision given how dominant he’s been and how punch-less the Halos look. The plus-100 price is, in his words, "a great spot for the Tigers."

Just A Bet Outside hyped Tarik Skubal’s strikeout upside against the Angels, calling him a Cy Young front-runner and noting both matchup and form. The Angels own the 2nd-highest K-rate vs left-handed pitching over the past three weeks at 31%. Skubal has fanned 40 hitters in 34.2 innings and is fresh off an 11-K masterpiece against Baltimore (the 5th-highest K-rate vs LHP). Even though his road K-rate (26.4%) is weaker than at Comerica (31.3%), Steven expects the free-swinging Angels to neutralize that split. With Skubal striking out 35.1% of same-handed hitters and the Halos projected to start at least six lefty crushers, he recommended attacking the over on Skubal’s strikeout prop and slotting him into DFS lineups for ceiling.

Martin locked in Detroit as his best bet, advising either a moneyline play up to ‑150 or the run-line if the price is steeper. Tarik Skubal—former Cy Young winner—is dealing with a sub-2.50 ERA/FIP and a pristine 40:5 K:BB ratio, and he draws an Angels offense that has crossed the plate only 41 times in its last 17 contests while riding a five-game skid. Jose Soriano, a pitcher Martin backed early in April, has fallen apart lately (8 IP, 13 H, 9 ER, 5 BB over his last two starts versus Minnesota and Pittsburgh). The Tigers bring a +40 run differential and a top-10 lineup against right-handers, plus a sizeable bullpen edge. Martin expects Skubal to dominate and Detroit to add to the Angels’ misery.

Ashley Olsen advised laying the -1.5 run line with Detroit, citing a massive edge on the mound and at the plate. She highlighted Tarik Skubal's 1.52 ERA over his last five starts and 2.34 ERA on the season, noting that three of his last four outings were scoreless, including six shutout frames with 11 strikeouts and zero walks against Baltimore. By contrast, Angels starter Jose Soriano owns a 5.67 ERA in his past five turns, is issuing too many walks, and rarely works deep into games. Olsen added that Detroit sits top-5 in the American League in batting average, OBP, slugging, and OPS while averaging 5.57 runs per game over the last week. With the Angels entering the game on a five-game home losing streak, she expects the Tigers to win comfortably and cover the run line.

Greg Peterson will fire on the Tigers –1.5 if the price reaches even money, citing a massive starting-pitching and bullpen gap. Tarik Skubal has rebounded from a tough Dodger Stadium opener to allow just two runs over his last three outings and now owns a 2.83 ERA, 2.89 FIP and 9.0 K/9. Dean Kremer, meanwhile, is drowning: 6.84 ERA, 5.59 FIP, 13.0 H/9 and the same persistent control issues (3.5 BB/9) that have plagued him for three seasons. Detroit’s relief corps remains one of baseball’s deepest, and Peterson thinks Saturday’s double-header actually helped them because multi-inning arms Brad Hurder, Tyler Holton and Will Vest can handle extra volume while Baltimore burned high-leverage options Yennier Cano and Felix Bautista. The Tigers’ offense is waking up—Spencer Torkelson (.360 OBP, 5 HR), Kerry Carpenter (.295/.345/.520) and Zach McKinstry (.310 AVG) headline a group that now hits lefties and righties equally well. Baltimore’s star-studded lineup has been inconsistent; Cedric Mullins is the only regular above a .340 OBP, and Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman and Ryan Mountcastle are all sub-.310. Peterson modeled the total at 8.7, so he’s also playing Over 7.5, expecting both a fatigued Orioles bullpen and Kremer’s contact issues to give the Tigers a path to six or more runs while Skubal works six strong and hands it to a fresh back end.

Kenny G called Detroit –195 his 'big, massive lock of the day', backing Tarik Skubal in a bounce-back spot against a slumping Baltimore lineup. Skubal is 2-2 with a 2.83 ERA and had not allowed a run in the two starts prior to his most recent five-inning, two-run blip versus Kansas City. Kenny expects a return to that earlier form because the matchup is soft: the Orioles have scored just 2, 3, 2, 3 and 0 runs their last five games and have fallen to 18th in runs, 25th in OBP and 24th in batting average. Baltimore’s bullpen is another liability, ranking bottom-eight with a 4.68 ERA. In contrast, Detroit’s pen owns a stingy 2.75 ERA, and the Tigers’ bats have taken a leap—13th in runs, ninth in batting average—with Zach McKinstry hitting .325 and Spencer Torkelson sitting on eight homers and 24 RBI while still batting above .250. Detroit is 17-10 overall, a scorching 12-3 at Comerica, and 15-10-2 to the under, a profile Kenny says dovetails with a low-scoring Orioles offense. With Baltimore just 5-10 on the road and catching only +164, Kenny sees no reason to get cute and is willing to lay the chalk on Detroit’s moneyline behind superior starting pitching, bullpen depth and a lively offense.

JD Bets backed Tarik Skubal to eclipse 6.5 strikeouts on Sunday. The Orioles sit 24th in MLB in strikeout rate and have averaged 9.4 Ks per game over their last ten—essentially one punch-out an inning. Detroit is a hefty -198 favorite behind Skubal, who has logged 3, 2, 8, 6, 9, and 4 strikeouts in his six starts, showing clear ceiling potential. With Baltimore whiffing at a league-high clip and Skubal routinely working six-plus innings, JD expects seven or more strikeouts despite the lack of direct head-to-head history.

For player props, Kingpin Staff suggested Tarik Skubal over 7.5 strikeouts. The Orioles line-up owns the league’s highest K-rate (27.8%) against left-handed pitching, while Skubal’s four-seam/changeup combo has generated a 15.7% swinging-strike rate. He has cleared eight strikeouts in three of his last four outings and averages 96 pitches per start, giving him the volume to go over again.

Chris Welsh confidently backed Tarik Skubal to exceed his strikeout prop of 6.5 strikeouts during his start against the Brewers. He pointed to Milwaukee's vulnerability against left-handers and cited recent pitcher performances against the Brewers as a clear indicator of favorable strikeout conditions for Skubal. Welsh recommended this as a standout intos for Monday's betting slate.

Kenny G recommends betting the Detroit Tigers at -160 against Milwaukee Brewers, primarily encouraged by Tarik Skubal returning to top form. Skubal had a rough initial start against Dodgers and a tough outing against Seattle but rebounded superbly against Yankees with six scoreless innings, no walks, and six strikeouts. While acknowledging Detroit's bullpen has struggled (3.91 ERA), Kenny highlights their strong offensive performance this season, ranking top 10 in runs scored, batting average, OBP, and slugging percentage. He specifically praised Spencer Torkelson's contributions (.300+ average, five home runs, 11 RBIs). Conversely, Milwaukee is struggling with one of MLB's worst bullpens (6.28 ERA) and an offense Kenny isn't convinced by, citing mediocre rankings in batting average (15th), OBP (13th), and slugging (14th). With Skubal returning to peak performance and Milwaukee's questionable offense and bullpen, Kenny sees Detroit as a safer play despite the somewhat pricey odds.

Scott Reichel strongly recommended the under 7.5 (-124) between the Tigers and Brewers, emphasizing a positive performance from Tarik Skubal. Reichel claims Skubal is arguably the best left-handed pitcher currently active in MLB and cites the Brewers' significant struggles against lefties. Specifically noting Milwaukee's weak recent offensive showings—including scoring just two runs in their final pair of games against the Diamondbacks—he sees a particularly poor matchup for the Brewers against Skubal. On the Tigers' side, despite a recent series win against Minnesota, their own offensive struggles remain evident as they produced only five runs in two games combined after their series opener. Reichel believes this combo of elite starting pitching from Skubal and struggling offenses makes the under a standout bet on the slate.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the under 7.5 in the Tigers-Brewers game, centering his reasoning around Tarik Skubal returning to form. Skubal struggled early this year, going just 1-2 with some notably poor road performances (7 earned runs allowed over 10.2 innings pitched). However, in his only home start this season, he dominated the Yankees with six shutout innings. Reichel emphasized the Brewers offensive inconsistency—highlighted by a blown ninth-inning lead against Arizona—as a factor contributing to a low-scoring prediction. He also mentioned Milwaukee's bullpen issues, yet remains confident Skubal's Cy Young-winning pedigree from last year and recent strong outing indicate he'll effectively limit Milwaukee’s lineup. Additionally, Detroit's own offense has been unreliable, further strengthening the conviction of betting the under.

Cash Out Sports Picks strongly recommended betting on the Detroit Tigers' money line in their matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers, largely because of ace Tarik Skubal. Skubal, who won the AL Cy Young last year, has continued his dominance into 2025, including his recent shutout against the Yankees. Milwaukee struggled offensively in their recent Arizona series, managing three or fewer runs in eight games this season, particularly vulnerable against strong pitching. Brewers starter Alexander is transitioning from a bullpen role, limiting his stamina and pitch count, likely below 90 pitches. In contrast, Detroit's offense has been reliable on the road, averaging around four runs per game. With the pitching edge significantly favoring the experienced Skubal and Detroit, the Tigers represent a strong value on the money line.

Bettor Mark noted Tarik Skubal has bounced back after a rough couple of outings and expects him to dominate against Milwaukee. Mark mentioned Skubal is going to mow through Brewers hitters, who have had inconsistent offensive performances recently. Though he showed concern about betting game totals due to surprising signs of life from the Tigers offense, Mark specifically expressed confidence in Skubal's personal performance and effectiveness in this particular matchup.

Data Skrive strongly advises betting on the favored Detroit Tigers (-160), highlighting pitcher Tarik Skubal (1-2, 3.78 ERA) as key to their predicted 4-3 victory over the Brewers. While the Brewers start Tyler Alexander (1-0, 2.84 ERA), Skubal's track record and strong overall matchup contributes to confidence in Detroit's ability to win this matchup. Backed by both the computer projection and the current pitching matchup, wagering on the Tigers is recommended.

Greg Peterson is backing Tarik Skubal and the Tigers run line (-1.5 at +115). Peterson cited Skubal's elite 2.39 ERA and 2.49 FIP last season, and despite allowing seven runs through his first two outings of the season, Skubal regained his peak form with six shutout innings against the Yankees in his latest appearance. He's matched up against former teammate Tyler Alexander, who was unreliable in 2024 with a concerning 5.08 ERA, allowing nearly two home runs per nine innings. Furthermore, the Tigers' offense ranks third in the American League at 5.0 runs per game, strengthening Peterson's confidence in laying the runs.

Brian Howard expressed caution against betting on Tarik Skubal against the Yankees despite considering Scoobel the significantly better pitcher compared to Carlos Carrasco. Howard highlighted recent results where the better pitching matchup hasn't translated into winning bets, creating trust issues. Additionally, Howard pointed out the Yankees were overeagerly defeated in their previous game, setting up potential bounce-back motivation. Ultimately, Howard advised avoiding the Tigers or cautiously backing the Yankees at plus-money in this specific scenario, viewing it as a potentially dangerous spot despite Scoobel's advantages on paper.

B Wade is backing Tarik Skubal to clear his 6.5 strikeout line against a Yankees team with MLB's fifth-highest strikeout rate (nearly 10 Ks per game). While Skubal had just two strikeouts in an early-season game versus the Dodgers, he rebounded strongly, recording eight strikeouts against Seattle recently. Last season, Skubal surpassed 6.5 strikeouts in 62% of outings, including a dominant 12-strikeout performance against these same Yankees, and finished the campaign averaging 13 strikeouts per nine innings against New York. Given Skubal's proven strikeout ability and New York's high strikeout frequency, Wade expects Skubal to capitalize and comfortably exceed his strikeout margin.

DraftCheat strongly recommends Skubal as a top pitching choice in DFS today in Seattle, given his swing-and-miss skills and an already high strikeout prop of 7.5. Despite an average opening start, DraftCheat is highly encouraged by reports of Skubal experiencing increased velocity and better-than-usual graded pitch data from his first outing. Against a strikeout-prone Seattle lineup in pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, DraftCheat considers Skubal an excellent DFS choice despite high ownership expectations at his $10,000 price tag.

JD Bets highlights Tarik Skubal's consistency and high pitching volume, noting his career average around 18.6 pitching outs per outing. Although Skubal started slowly in his first game this season with just 15 outs, JD attributes that to easing him in. JD predicts Skubal will pitch deeper into this game. He also pointed out Luis Castillo's struggles with earned runs and expects Detroit's offense, despite being generally weak, to capitalize here. Given Skubal's reliability and Castillo's vulnerability, JD confidently suggests backing the Detroit Tigers moneyline at minus 118 as the best play.

Jimmy Adams advocated betting on Tarik Skubal and the Tigers today, emphasizing Skubal's motivation after giving up four runs against the potent Dodgers lineup in his first start. Adams dismissed that outing as understandable, given Los Angeles' strength, and spotlighted Skubal's elite pitching metrics, notably ranking in the 100th percentile in pitching run value last season and winning the AL Cy Young. Adams considers him an ideal 'bet-on' pitcher today, especially against a Mariners offense that has struggled to produce runs, scoring two or fewer in four of their first six games, including just one run yesterday. Adams sees outstanding betting value in backing Skubal at a reasonable price against Seattle.

Guy Boston strongly recommended Tarik Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts versus Seattle. Despite only two strikeouts against an elite Dodgers lineup in his opener, Skubal had a 62% hit rate on this prop last year (21 of 34 starts), averaging 7.29 Ks per game. He has dominated Seattle specifically, striking out nine Mariners in each of his two matchups last season. Seattle remains one of MLB's most strikeout-prone teams, notably finishing bottom four in strikeout percentage against left-handed pitchers. Skubal, who ranked in the 92nd percentile for Ks per nine innings and 96th percentile in K rate last year, lines up very well here for a high-strikeout outing.

Bettor Mark is confidently backing the Tigers first five innings at -118 on the road against Seattle. Despite Tarik Skubal's rough start (7.20 ERA) in his season debut, Mark sees clear bounce back potential here, highlighting Skubal's high-level performance last season and expecting significant improvement in this outing. Mark emphasizes favorable pitcher-friendly conditions at T-Mobile Park, suggesting runs will be at a premium, making this a strong spot to back Skubal and avoid risk associated with bullpen volatility or fluke home runs. He even considered the Mariners' team total first five innings under but opted against it due to a narrow margin of error. Ultimately, Mark stresses great line value, comparing this season's low line with last year's typical first-five innings prices, which would have been significantly steeper (-150 to -160 range).

Rob Donaldson is bullish on betting the Tigers against an elite Dodgers roster for Opening Day. Despite acknowledging the Dodgers as a super team, Donaldson notes that Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has impressive talent, and Detroit's lineup conditions and favorable hitting weather could significantly challenge Blake Snell. Due to inherently inflated Dodgers odds, Detroit catching a full run provides unique betting value. Donaldson advises taking the Tigers +1 run line for 2.5 units and sprinkling an extra unit on their moneyline as a potential upset pick.

Kyle Purviance expressed caution regarding Tarik Skubal's opening day strikeout prop (over 6.5 Ks at minus 175), despite some encouraging signs. He cites Skubal's notable strikeout rate of 11 Ks in just 36 combined at-bats against projected Dodgers hitters as positive but is held back primarily by opening day hesitancy and uncertainty about early-season pitcher sharpness. While recognizing upside for aggressive bettors (7+ Ks at plus 110, 8+ Ks at plus 220), Purviance prefers waiting for Skubal's second or third start for higher confidence in strikeout props, advising prudence due to limited data and opening day unpredictability.

Brian Howard likes a spicy betting angle for Tarik Skubal and the Tigers on opening day against the Dodgers, specifically targeting the first five innings. He highlights his appreciation for Skubal, referencing how vocal he was about Skubal's potential the previous year. Howard acknowledges the strength of the Dodgers' lineup, rating it top in baseball, but points out key concerns, including the team's recent overseas traveling to Japan and significant weight loss from Mookie Betts, casting doubt on Betts' physical readiness. Expecting potential early struggles for an otherwise intimidating Dodgers offense, Howard suggests betting Detroit Tigers first five innings laying half a run (+165), believing Skubal can effectively neutralize the Dodgers during this shorter span without needing to trust Detroit's weaker bullpen or lineup deeper in the game.