Adam Rosenberg wants to fade Tomoyuki Sugano against the Blue Jays because Sugano hasn't yet impressed in his limited appearances. Rosenberg points out Sugano's lack of dominance, noting he's allowed roughly a hit per inning with three walks in limited innings. He highlights Sugano's particular issues against left-handed batters, allowing higher slugging, which presents a specific vulnerability even though the Blue Jays lineup skews right-handed. Rosenberg expects the Jays lineup—stacked with effective hitters—to find success against Sugano, who hasn't pitched at home yet this year, introducing extra uncertainty around his performance.

Kenny G highlights Tomoyuki Sugano’s solid start to the MLB season with the Orioles as an underrated early-season performer. Sugano has been consistent across two starts, which included a strong performance against Toronto (4 innings, 2 earned runs, no homers allowed) and an even better outing against Kansas City. Kenny G believes Sugano can repeat his good start versus Toronto, benefiting from Baltimore’s strong early bullpen (3.35 ERA). Despite concerns about run support, Sugano's individual effectiveness makes him noteworthy and Kenny G suggests his promising start is genuine.

Drew Martin is fading Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano, who is in his first MLB season at age 35 after playing professionally in Japan. While Sugano had decent overall stats in Japan, Drew emphasizes his low strikeout numbers, noting this lack of swing-and-miss stuff will hurt him against MLB hitting, particularly against a potent Blue Jays lineup. Drew recommends betting on Toronto at a pick-em price, backing Bowden Francis, who has opened the season strong with a 3 ERA after a solid season last year and is someone Drew has consistently identified as a buy early in the season.

Greg Peterson suggests backing the Orioles moneyline (-110), primarily based on starter Tomoyuki Sugano's impressive transition from Japan's NPB to MLB. Sugano has allowed just three runs in his two initial American starts, demonstrating adept pitching despite a low strikeout rate of 4.8 per nine innings. Meanwhile, Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis has underlying metrics (1.5 HR/9, 4.28 FIP) that indicate possible regression despite his decent ERA (2.90). Peterson handicapped the Orioles at -126, providing a strong value at the current price.