Ryan Wooden recommended Trevor Larnach to homer at +550 (BetMGM) versus Baltimore. Larnach has raised his average from .225 to .250 over five games with three homers in his last six. All seven bombs this season have come off right-handers, and he faces Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns a .234 average against lefties and has surrendered five HR to them. The model set Larnach’s fair line at +500, so bettors are getting 50 points of value on a hitter seeing the ball extremely well.

Eric Lindquist said Trevor Larnach’s 1.5 hits-plus-runs-plus-RBIs prop belongs in Thursday’s betting ‘like’ column. Lindquist highlighted Kodai Senga’s severe left-handed power issue—355 xwOBA, 503 xSLG overall with just a 14.2 % K-rate—and noted that Senga’s splitter can’t be spammed versus lefties. Larnach, who will bat second in front of Byron Buxton, owns a 38 % hard-hit rate, a gaudy 116.3 mph max exit velocity, a 13-degree launch angle, and a 36.1 % sweet-spot rate. With Matt Wallner still hurt and Max Kepler now in Philadelphia, Larnach will shoulder the platoon-edge offense for Minnesota. Lindquist expects at least four plate appearances and thinks recency bias from Wednesday’s homer might slightly inflate the number, but anything near even money on the over is playable.

Chris Ruffolo recommended Trevor Larnach at +550 to leave the yard in Fenway Park. He noted that Brayan Bello has struggled to keep the ball in the park against left-handed bats, especially in Boston where lefties do not have to clear the Green Monster. Larnach is the premier left-handed power option in Minnesota's lineup and Ruffolo expects him to capitalize on Bello's fly-ball tendencies, making the plus-money price attractive for a single-game or parlayed homer prop.

Ruffolo recommended a swing on Trevor Larnach at +500. Forecasts call for stiff winds blowing out to right at Progressive Field, perfectly aligned with Larnach’s pull side as the Twins’ premier left-handed bat. Guardians righty Tanner Bibee owns the single highest HR/9 (2.8) among pitchers with 20+ innings, coughing up eight homers already and at least one in three of his last four outings versus Minnesota. Even though Larnach is only 1-for-9 lifetime off Bibee, Ruffolo believes the weather boost and Bibee’s long-ball issues make the Twins outfielder a strong value play.