Drew Martin said the Orioles are his biggest Sunday wager because Trevor Rogers finally looks like the 2021 version of himself. Rogers owns a 2.00 ERA and has surrendered just 13 hits in 22 innings since returning from injury. Baltimore’s bats are scorching (top-5 wRC+ over the last week) while Atlanta’s injury-riddled lineup sits bottom-10 in the same span. Holmes counters with a 3.50 ERA but has dropped four of his last five decisions. Baltimore’s bullpen metrics also grade out better. Martin expects the market to hang a playable number and recommends backing the O’s in the early 11:35 a.m. tilt.

Razzle sees Trevor Rogers as a quality SP2. The lefty just stifled this same Texas offense and now gets them again after a full week of rest. Rogers’ 4.5 K-prop is light given he has cleared that number in two of three outings and faces a Rangers squad missing several right-handed power bats. Razzle expects a 6-inning, 6-strike-out line with win upside at sub-$7K pricing.