Wilkerson pegged Ty France as a sneaky long-shot to homer at +575. France owns just four bombs on the season, yet Statcast shows he has two fewer homers than expected, suggesting positive regression is on deck. He also flashes a strong platoon and pitch-type fit against Zack Littell’s slider/splitter/four-seam mix. France is 2-for-6 with a homer and a .413 expected batting average off Littell in their brief history. Wilkerson argued that because France is often viewed as a tertiary bat in Minnesota, markets underrate his pop, making today’s matchup a buy-low spot.