Bill Harrelson advised taking Tyler O'Neill UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs on Underdog. Harrelson noted O'Neill has stayed below this line in 18 of 26 games this season (69% under) and managed the over only eight times. The left-handed matchup is the key: O'Neill owns a disastrous .115 batting average versus southpaws this year compared to .193 overall, and he faces Mets lefty David Peterson, against whom he has just one hit in three career plate appearances. O'Neill averages roughly four plate appearances per game, but Harrelson pointed out that in his last three meetings with New York he produced exactly one hit/run/RBI each time, never clearing the line. With Underdog the only book hanging this prop, Harrelson likes the value on the fade.

Scott Reichel went right back to his favorite fade, Tyler O’Neill UNDER 0.5 hits at –115. O’Neill hasn’t stepped on an MLB field since May 15 and was already hitless in his final five games before landing on the IL. His return assignment is brutal: Spencer Strider, who has given up fewer than six total hits in five straight outings while mixing 100-mph heaters with a wipe-out slider. Reichel expects O’Neill to be late on velocity and off-balance on speed changes after the long layoff, calling it an ideal spot to keep riding the no-hit train.

Eric Lindquist pinpointed Tyler O'Neill to homer at +475 odds against Garrett Crochet and the Boston Red Sox. He pointed out Crochet facing righties more often, highlighting Zach Eflin’s reverse splits tendency (a .281 batting average allowed to right-handed hitters versus .225 against lefties). Lindquist also noted Baltimore’s recent wall dimension adjustments that have positively shifted hitting conditions back towards average for right-handed batters, providing additional potential for O'Neill's raw power to be effective. He found notable value at the price, emphasizing this as a strong betting call.