Matt Perrault backed the Mets on the moneyline largely because of Tylor Megill’s dominant home splits and the White Sox’s dreadful overall form. Megill owns a 1.86 ERA at Citi Field this season with opponents batting just .216 and only four earned runs allowed in 19.1 innings. Chicago counters with rookie Jonathan Cannon, who has a 4.76 ERA on the road and a 1–5 record in away starts while surrendering six homers and 21 earned runs in 39.2 innings. Perrault also pointed out Chicago’s 5-22 record, calling them one of the league’s softest road opponents. All of that rolled into a simple recommendation: play the Mets straight up as the first leg of his three-team parlay.

Eric Lindquist said he expects Tylor Megill to clear the strikeout prop once it opens, projecting at least 7 Ks against the White Sox. Lindquist noted that Chicago’s batting order remains one of the highest-whiff lineups in baseball, and he routinely grades Megill as an "over" candidate because his fastball/slider combo generates swings and misses when he’s ahead in the count. Lindquist anticipates books hanging 6.5 strikeouts juiced to the over (around ‑150) and believes that still undervalues Megill, who has topped that number in three of his past four starts and owns a 27% strikeout rate on the season. He will confirm the wager once lineups post, but Megill’s matchup and recent form make him a likely add to his betting card.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Tylor Megill as another plus K target. The White Sox strike out at the 12th-highest clip versus right-handers (21.1%). Megill has 66 punch-outs in just 48 innings, clearing six strikeouts in five of his last six turns and recording double-digit Ks twice, including 10 last time out. His K-rate spikes to 32.2% at Citi Field and he demolishes lefty bats (36% K-rate), a profile that matches Chicago’s left-leaning order. Over 5.5 Ks is squarely in play.

Lindquist bet Tylor Megill’s strike-out over 5.5 (opened –125, now –130) in his matchup with the Red Sox. Megill’s four-seam sets up his wipe-out secondaries—41.3% whiff slider to righties plus a curveball/change combo that generates 36.8% and 26.7% whiffs to lefties. Lindquist highlighted Megill’s 29% overall K-rate and called the curveball “ridonkulous,” predicting plenty of swing-and-miss versus Boston’s left-handed core (Devers, Duran, Abreu). He hinted at alt-lines, noting he may “extend the boundaries beyond just five and a half.”

JD Bets liked Tylor Megill to beat his 5.5-strikeout prop in the Subway Series. Megill is averaging 6.5 Ks per start on the season and 7.0 over his last five, showing an uptick in both whiff rate and slider usage. The Yankees, meanwhile, punch out 8.8 times per game over their last ten (9.1 on the season), the sixth-worst mark in MLB during that stretch. JD dismissed Carlos Rodon’s number because the Mets rarely fan (7.8 per game), settling on Megill as the only angle. He admitted it "might be a little sweaty," but believes the right-hander’s recent form and New York’s strike-happy lineup give him a clear path to the six strikeouts needed to cash.

Scott Reichel shifted away from the full-game Mets moneyline he mentioned earlier in the week and zeroed in on the first-five –0.5 run line. He trusts Tylor Megill’s 1.74 ERA and string of five-plus-inning outings far more than Erick Fetty, whose 4.68 ERA comes with St. Louis dropping all five of his starts, including a seven-run meltdown versus Milwaukee. Reichel noted the Mets’ bullpen depth makes a full-game play palatable, but the price has crept up and New York’s road record worries him. By isolating the first five he can exploit the clear starting-pitching edge while avoiding any late-inning variance.

Scott Reichel advised laying the –140 with New York in St. Louis thanks to Tylor Megill’s 1.74 ERA and consistent five-plus-inning outings before a dependable Mets bullpen. By contrast, Erick Fetty owns a 4.68 ERA and the Cardinals have lost all five of his starts, including a recent blow-up against Milwaukee. Although St. Louis is usually tougher at Busch Stadium, Reichel noted the home/road split was outweighed by Megill’s current form and the Mets’ pitching depth. He concluded that the short chalk was warranted and expected the Mets to extend Fetty’s losing streak.

Drew Martin said the Mets are a play at the low watermark of –138 because Tylor Megill is dealing and St. Louis simply does not have the arms to match. Megill owns a 1.7 ERA and has fanned 19 batters with just four hits allowed over his last two outings, driving New York to a +50 run differential and a 21-9 record through 30 games. On the other side Eric Fetty has a 17-to-16 K:BB, was rocked for 10 hits and seven earned by Milwaukee in his previous start, and has yielded 21 hits plus eight walks in his last three. Martin added that the Mets lineup ranks top-5 over the past week and top-10 season-long, and their bullpen metrics also grade better than the Cards. All of that makes the Mets a buy in Game 2 at Busch Stadium.

Marcus warned that Tylor Megill’s 24%+ K rate looks enticing at $8,800, but the Cardinals’ offense profiles as a bad matchup for strikeout hunting. St. Louis ranks among the league’s toughest lineups to fan and carries a high contact rate that should suppress Megill’s DK ceiling, making him a fade in tournaments where upside is paramount.

Chris Welsh recommended slipping Tylor Megill into trade offers while his name value lags behind the numbers. Through 31 innings he owns a 1.74 ERA (2.89 xERA) with a 30 % K-rate despite a 9 % walk rate. FanGraphs’ Stuff+ model currently rates his fastball No. 1 in baseball and ranks him top-five overall alongside Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal. Some regression is inevitable, but the modeled pitch quality plus Mets rotation stability make him an inexpensive upside play. Welsh urged listeners to ask for Megill as a throw-in before the wider market catches on.

Greg Peterson said bettors should attack the Mets –1.5 at the +105 to +110 range and lean Over 8.5 in Washington. He highlighted Tylor Megill’s breakout numbers—24.2 innings without a homer, 1.09 ERA, 2.18 FIP, 11 K/9—and a bullpen that ranks top-3 in ERA with Edwin Diaz, Reid Garrett and long men Jose Butto and Max Kranick ready for multi-inning bridge work. Mitchell Parker’s shiny 1.39 ERA is covering a 3.40 FIP and just 5.5 K/9; Peterson expects that luck to vanish once a healthier Mets lineup (Francisco Alvarez and Jeff McNeil back, Pete Alonso already 5+ HR) sees him a second time. He called the Nats’ relief crew of Kyle Finnegan, Colmphousie and Jose Ferrer "one of baseball’s shakier groups" and noted Washington’s attack still whiffs a ton with CJ Abrams sitting on a .268 OBP. The combination of Parker regression, a suspect pen and Megill’s swing-and-miss stuff led Peterson to project New York by two or more runs and the total closer to 8.6.

Todd Zola advised rolling out Tylor Megill for Sunday’s start in Washington. Megill owns a 27.8% strikeout rate that dwarfs the league average, while the Nationals rank bottom-five in walk rate, mitigating Megill’s own 10.2% walk problem. With veterans Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas still shelved, Megill has quietly produced a 3-2 record and is reinforcing a rotation that helped the Mets enter the weekend with MLB’s best record. Zola expects the whiffs to outweigh any free passes against an impatient Nationals lineup, making Megill a solid streaming choice in 10-team leagues.

Kenny G likes the Mets tonight, citing Tylor Megill's amazing 0.63 ERA and dominant early season performances against potent lineups (Toronto and Houston). He also emphasized the Mets' stellar bullpen with its excellent 1.82 ERA. In contrast, the Twins' offense is struggling (24th in runs and slugging). Given these factors, Kenny leans toward betting the Mets tonight, also favoring an under total (8.5) given both teams' underlying pitching strengths.

According to ESPN Fantasy, Tylor Megill of the New York Mets is a prime streaming option for Wednesday's home start against the Miami Marlins. Megill has had an impressive start to his season, scoring two wins and striking out 10 batters over 10.1 innings pitched. The Marlins present an advantageous matchup due to their ninth-lowest team wOBA in MLB, along with the eighth-highest strikeout rate. Playing at home in pitcher-friendly Citi Field further enhances Megill's streaming potential for Wednesday.

ESPN Fantasy recommends streaming Tylor Megill due to his hot start, highlighted by two victories and 10 strikeouts over 10 1/3 innings. Megill will face the Miami Marlins at home in Citi Field, a team currently ranking ninth-lowest in wOBA and eighth-highest in strikeouts. Given this prime matchup, Megill is poised to rack up strikeouts and provide strong fantasy value in daily leagues and DFS lineups.

Bill Harrelson recommended Tylor Megill to hit over 15.5 total outs against the Miami Marlins, referencing DraftKings odds of -130 as strong evidence. Although Megill struggled previously against Miami with just 14 outs last year, he exceeded this line in seven of his last 10 games and notably managed 16 and 15 outs recently against stronger teams like the Blue Jays and Astros. Harrelson pointed out the relative weakness of Miami's offense and trusted Megill's recent consistency and DraftKings' heavy backing to justify this pick.

Dan Palyo identified Tylor Megill as a strong candidate to surpass his 6.5 K prop versus the Marlins, highlighting Megill's 27% strikeout rate in 2024 and solid early 2025 performance (25% K-rate). Despite a modest pitch count (77 and 82 pitches), his underlying data supports future success, boasting a Stuff+ rating of 116. The matchup is highly favorable as the Marlins carry a whopping 28% strikeout rate against righties and recently struck out 10 times against Clay Holmes. Assuming Megill receives an increased workload (closer to 90 pitches), Palyo sees him easily clearing the strikeout threshold.

Iain MacMillan took the under on Tylor Megill's 4.5 strikeouts total against the Astros, citing Houston's elite plate discipline, ranking second-best in the majors last season with just a 19.3% strikeout rate. The Astros had only seven strikeouts on Opening Day, continuing their disciplined approach. MacMillan expects regressive strikeout numbers from Megill this season, believing his 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings last year was an anomaly compared to just 7.5 in 2023, indicating a likely dip in his effectiveness in this category today.