B Wade recommends betting under Walker Buehler's line of 17.5 total outs. Buehler has completed the sixth inning just 4 times in his last 20 starts. In addition, Buehler had a poor 1-6 record with a 5.4 ERA for a stacked Dodgers team last year, showing how ineffective he has been. He faces Tampa Bay, a team that smashed Boston pitching recently and has excelled against right-handers. B Wade expects the Rays offense will knock Buehler out before he completes the sixth inning.

Just A Bet Outside recommended Walker Buehler under 16.5 outs recorded against the Tampa Bay Rays, citing multiple concerns. Buehler has struggled significantly, allowing 18 hits in just 15.2 innings over three starts, with diminished fastball velocity from 95mph down to 93.5mph. Opponents have been hitting .357 off his fastball, signaling a decline in stuff effectiveness post-injury. Despite a strong recent showing against Toronto, JABO remains unconvinced, saying Toronto's offense was unimpressive. He emphasized that Boston isn't likely to push Buehler beyond 85-90 pitches given his injury history. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay's offense is surging, ranked 6th in WRC+, 3rd in batting average, and 6th in OBP against right-handed pitching this season, recently tagging Tanner Houck for 11 runs. Given Buehler's trend to struggle deep in outings, JABO believes the Rays will elevate his pitch count early, limiting his innings and making Buehler under 16.5 outs a strong betting choice.

Adam Trigger sees value in betting against Walker Buehler and leaning toward the Blue Jays and the over in this matchup versus the Red Sox. Buehler has struggled early in the season, allowing 9 earned runs in just 9.1 innings, reminiscent of last season when he was ineffective at AAA and took half the season to recover form after injury. Trigger notes Buehler's early-season command issues, suggesting another rough outing. Chris Bassett for Toronto has pitched well in his first two starts but historically trends around 3.5-4 ERA, making this stretch possibly unsustainable. After three straight games staying under 8 runs, Trigger expects offensive production from both teams, pushing this game over the 8.5 run total at Fenway.

B Wade is high on Walker Buehler allowing over 5.5 hits against Toronto. He emphasizes Buehler's struggles last season pitching for the Dodgers, where he went 1-6 with a 5.4 ERA despite the Dodgers being one of the best offenses in baseball. In Buehler's first two starts this season with the Red Sox, he surrendered seven hits both times, facing teams like Texas and a hot-hitting Cardinals lineup. Toronto currently ranks fifth in hits this season, indicating they're seeing the ball well. Given these factors, B Wade expects Buehler to allow six or more hits and believes taking the over on hits allowed is safer than ERA or earned run props since Buehler still manages to get himself out of jams occasionally.

Bettor Mark expressed serious concerns about Walker Buehler's ability to handle the Toronto Blue Jays' lineup, citing alarming early-season numbers. Buehler has allowed seven hits and approximately 4.5 earned runs per outing thus far, with opposing hitters batting above .300 against him in both April starts (.333 average in first start). Mark emphasized that this iteration of Buehler isn't the Dodgers ace from previous seasons, anticipating continued batting success from Toronto. While weather conditions may help suppress scoring slightly, Mark acknowledges significant volatility here, urging caution with expectations of poor performance from Buehler.

Dylan Rockford advised fading Walker Buehler due to severe early-season struggles. Buehler surrendered four or more runs and seven hits in each of his first two starts while struggling significantly at home. Dylan pointed out Toronto's offense is surging, having scored six runs in both prior games against Boston and hitting .261 against right-handed pitching. He recommends betting on Toronto's team total over or taking the Blue Jays outright, viewing Buehler as someone bettors should avoid backing right now.

Eric Lindquist expressed concern about Walker Buehler's significant drop in velocity. He pointed out Buehler's fastball velocity is down roughly two miles per hour from last season, averaging only about 93 mph compared to 95 mph previously. Lindquist emphasized velocity declines of this magnitude often predict regression, especially since Buehler's results last year already showed inconsistency. Lindquist suggests caution despite Buehler's postseason heroics with the Dodgers, advising bettors to not overreact positively to the name recognition, given the alarming velocity metrics early this season.

Rob Donaldson recommended strongly backing the Red Sox money line against the Texas Rangers due to Walker Buehler's improved performance at the backend of last season. Despite previously fading Buehler, Donaldson acknowledged the significant uptick from Buehler's advanced metrics and overall production. In contrast, Tyler Mahle struggled immensely due to injuries last season, getting frequently tagged with hard contact. Facing a potent and formidable Red Sox lineup in his return exacerbates concerns about Mahle's ability to compete effectively in his first start back. This mismatch led Donaldson to confidently wager three units on Boston's money line.