Guy Boston recommends once again targeting Yainer Diaz's under hits+runs+RBIs (1.5), following success betting against Diaz recently. He thinks Diaz will remain quiet versus Seattle pitching, especially considering Logan Gilbert's quality. Boston reiterated recent success fading Diaz and remains confident another under will cash today, hoping for similar outcomes as recent matchups despite general volatility.

Guy Boston discussed betting under for Yainer Diaz, referencing unfavorable matchups against Chris Paddack's secondary pitches (changeup and slider). While acknowledging Diaz hits fastballs effectively, Boston noted Diaz struggles greatly against changeups (wOBA dropping from .329 to .219) and sliders. Given the expectation Paddack will utilize these secondary pitches frequently against Diaz, Boston considers Diaz under props a valuable wager. He specifically used detailed pitch mix data from Outlier to reinforce Diaz's vulnerability against pitches he's likely to see today.