Harrelson advised playing Yandy Diaz under 1.5 total bases. Diaz has stayed below this number in five straight games and seven of his last ten, logging only singles while averaging 4.4 plate appearances in that span. Historically he struggles in the matchup: 14 unders in his last 20 meetings with Boston. On the season he has failed to clear 1.5 bases in 51 of 89 games (57%). Diaz’s splits versus left-handed pitching are a major concern—his batting average drops from .287 overall to .225 against southpaws, the opposite of Bellinger’s profile. Tonight he faces a lefty he is 0-for-1 against career-wise, and he has also gone under in five straight road games, averaging just 0.8 total bases on the road during that streak.

It’s The Final Round recommended Yandy Diaz to record a hit against Chris Paddack. The tout highlighted that Paddack is giving up a .296 average to right-handed hitters in his last three starts, while Diaz is batting .360 over his past 10 games. Diaz has hits in 8 of his last 10 and in 20 of his last 22 games, underscoring his reliability for a simple 1-plus-hit wager.

It's The Final Round called Yandy Diaz "on fire" and a must-play in hit and total-bases markets against Tamayuki Shigano. Shigano has been even worse to right-handed hitters, coughing up a .405 average in his last three starts. Meanwhile Diaz sports a ridiculous .464 average versus right-handed pitching in the past 10 days (31 PA) and has a knock in 15 of his last 16 contests. Although his 29.6% sweet-spot rate is middling, Diaz’s elite hard-hit profile plus Shigano’s poor contact suppression give the tout confidence that Diaz will extend his heater and reward bettors.

Diaz owns a 2-for-4 (.500) line off Michael Lorenzen and is now riding a 15-game hitting streak after cashing yesterday. It's The Final Round labeled him one of the safest hit-prop choices on the slate.

It’s The Final Round advised locking in Yandy Diaz for at least one hit against Michael Wacha. Wacha has allowed right-handed bats a .270 average over his last three starts – nothing brutal, but Diaz is scorching. Against righties the past 10 days Diaz sports a .550 average and he enters the contest on a 13-game hitting streak, 10 of which have been multi-hit efforts. The tout loves Diaz’s combination of elite recent form and contact skill versus an average matchup, calling it a high-floor prop play.

Just A Bet Outside said Yandy Diaz is a strong hitter-prop target for Monday, specifically the Over on 1.5 hits. Diaz enters the slate with a hit in 9 of his last 10 games and multiple hits in 5 of the last 6, buoyed by a .455 average over the past week—fifth-best in MLB. He’ll face right-hander Zach Eflin, who is still surrendering a .241 average to same-handed bats despite improved 2024 peripherals. Diaz actually prefers righties, slashing .283 versus RHP compared to .210 versus southpaws, and his elite K-avoidance profile (career 13.7% K-rate) keeps balls in play. The only caution flag is Diaz’s odd .236 mark at Tropicana Field, but the tout expects regression toward his career .282 home clip in the dome’s hitter-friendly summer conditions. With Diaz’s current form, matchup splits, and reliable park factors, the host recommends laddering Diaz to 2+ hits at plus money in hitter prop markets and sprinkling him into DFS cash-game stacks.

Soni spotlighted Diaz at +475 to leave the yard against Jose Quintana, pointing out that, despite a strong 2.83 ERA, Quintana just gave up three home runs in his last start versus the Cubs. Diaz is surging—.259 average, three homers, and a .926 OPS over his past seven games, with two long balls in his last three contests. The analyst framed the wager as a sharp value on a hitter finding his power stroke while facing a pitcher showing fresh cracks in his home-run suppression.

It's The Final Round flagged Yandy Diaz as a strong prop play against Jesus Luzardo. Diaz is 4-for-8 (.500) lifetime off the left-hander and has recorded a hit in nine of his last twelve contests, confirming current form. The tout’s screening criteria—minimum .300 history vs pitcher plus recent hot streak—puts Diaz near the top of a short slate, making him a viable bet for a single or over 1.5 total bases.

Derek Carty likes Yandy Diaz OVER 0.5 HR at +800, giving it a 13% hit rate and a $16.46 expected value. The model keys on Diaz’s spike in average exit velocity on fly balls—94.6 mph this season versus 91.9 mph in 2024—which materially raises his home‑run projection. With the power metrics trending up, Carty views the shorter odds as still offering positive expected value.

Rosenberg likes Yandy Diaz over 1.5 total bases at +105 and even sprinkled a 5‑to‑1 home‑run ticket. Diaz owns a .364 average (11 ABs) with a homer and three RBIs off Carlos Rodon and has been smoking the ball in his last five games (14% barrel rate, .337 wOBA, .476 SLG). Against lefties he has hits in 4 of his last 5 contests and has cleared 1.5 bases in 2 of his last 3. At home he’s done it 3 of 5. Rodon is the giveaway: a 5.43 FIP, 42% fly‑ball rate, and a massive 25% HR/FB mark. With the Yankee southpaw living up in the zone, Rosenberg expects Diaz’s pull‑side power to show up again.

The tout wrapped up by mentioning Yandy Diaz, who owns a hit in seven of his last eight games and, per the on‑screen chart, carries a matchup batting average well over .300 against Friday’s opposing starter. Diaz therefore lands in his betting pool for simple hit props or as a value DFS bat.

The tout wrapped up by mentioning Yandy Diaz, who owns a hit in seven of his last eight games and, per the on‑screen chart, carries a matchup batting average well over .300 against Friday’s opposing starter. Diaz therefore lands in his betting pool for simple hit props or as a value DFS bat.

B Wade targeted Yandy Diaz over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Diaz had cleared the line in five straight before a two‑game lull and now faces Carlos Rodon, whose ERA sits north of 5.00. Diaz is a career 4‑for‑11 (.364) with a homer off Rodon and is batting above .300 versus left‑handers this year. Wade stressed that New York exhausted its bullpen Thursday after pulling the starter in the second inning, meaning Rodon is likely to work deep even if he struggles. Diaz has topped this combo prop in seven of his last ten games against the Yankees, so Wade expects Tampa’s leadoff man to cash again.

Data Skrive highlighted Yandy Diaz as a strong play against the Yankees, noting his consistent recent performance. Diaz enters the matchup riding a six-game hitting streak and batting .300 over his past 10 contests, contributing two doubles, three home runs, three walks and five RBI in that span. Given his current form, Diaz offers excellent potential for fantasy players and hit-related prop bets.