Kenny G said the game in Arizona profiles as a high-scoring affair and recommended betting Over 9.5 (he also mentioned a Yes-Run-First-Inning sprinkle). His reasoning is squarely rooted in Zac Gallen’s tailspin: the right-hander owns a 5.75 ERA, has been tagged for 4+ earned in four straight starts, and has been outright shelled his last two turns. The Diamondbacks’ bullpen offers no safety net with a 5.31 ERA, third-worst in MLB. While Gallen has not faced the Giants this season, Kenny expects the unfamiliarity edge to favor San Francisco’s bats, who catch an arm clearly out of rhythm. Arizona can still mash—third in runs and ninth in average—so he anticipates offense from both dugouts. The park has played neutral, yet the Diamondbacks sit 20-18-3 to the over at home, supporting the call. In Kenny’s eyes, two shaky staffs plus two capable lineups equal double-digit runs more often than not.

Drew Martin played Over 9 runs (–120) in Giants-D-backs, fading both starting pitchers. Zac Gallen has cratered to a 5.75 ERA and surrendered five earned to the White Sox in his last outing after allowing seven the start prior. He struck out only two hitters in that latest start, signaling diminished stuff. Opposite him, rookie Hayden Birdsong owns 12 walks over his last 15 innings and was tagged for seven earned by Miami, lasting just three frames in his lone previous meeting with Arizona. Martin referenced a recent FanGraphs piece noting Birdsong’s declining velocity. While San Francisco’s bullpen is solid, he doubts either starter reaches the sixth inning, setting up plenty of scoring chances for middling relief arms. With some books already moving to 9.5, Martin locked in the Over at 9.

Razzle warned that Zach Gallen’s name value is masking ugly recent metrics. He has surrendered 10 earned runs across his last two starts, owns only a 20.8% strikeout rate in June, and his 5.5 K-prop sits neutral after opening week after week at 6.5+. Even in a friendly spot versus the lowly White Sox, Razzle said ‘if you wanted to fade Zach Gallen, I wouldn’t blame you,’ arguing that paying five-figure salary for a pitcher who has lost both command and velocity is unnecessary given the other elite arms available.

Razzle is surprisingly interested in Zac Gallen at Coors. Career numbers in Denver (2.72 ERA, 29% K-rate over 29 IP) calm altitude fears, and Colorado’s 74 wRC+ versus righties remains league-worst. The wind is blowing out, but Gallen’s curveball generates a 44% whiff rate that neutralizes contact. Books hung a 5.5 K-prop juiced to the over, hinting six-plus punch-outs. Razzle will be overweight in tournaments where salary and park scare others off.

Malcolm Bamford is zagging with the under 11, citing Zac Gallen’s bizarrely elite history in Denver—2.79 ERA and 50 Ks across seven Coors starts. He even flagged a potential strikeout prop (≈7.5) given that 7.1-per-start pace. Austin Gomber, meanwhile, tossed five scoreless against Atlanta last week and owns the platoon edge versus Arizona’s left-heavy lineup. Bamford admits betting an under in Coors is nerve-racking but sees value if books hang 11 or higher and believes Gallen’s mile-high magic plus a cooler evening forecast can keep this inside 10 runs.

Just A Bet Outside wants the Rockies’ alt team-total over 2.5 because Zac Gallen simply is not right. Gallen owns a 5+ ERA and has allowed 4+ earned in six of his last seven, a trend the host cannot ignore as the game shifts to thin-air Coors. Colorado’s lineup is sizzling—five-plus runs in seven of their past ten overall and 5.7 per game during that stretch, most of it on the road. With the full game total sitting around 12 and an Arizona bullpen ranked bottom-five in xFIP backing Gallen, the tout sees three runs as the absolute floor for Colorado.

Cash Out Sports Picks doubled down on the Coors Field shoot-out angle by highlighting a new data point: three of Zac Gallen’s last five outings have cleared the total despite his reputation as an ace. Pair that with overs cashing in four of Arizona’s last five overall and three of Colorado’s last five, and he believes the market still is not pricing in how volatile Gallen becomes in the thin Denver air. Austin Gomber’s 1.9 HR/9 career mark at Coors and a pair of bottom-three bullpens (D-backs 28th, Rockies 29th in ERA over the past 15 days) add more gasoline. He expects both starters to leave early once pitch counts spike, unleashing those shaky relief corps. With daytime temperatures projected in the mid-80s and a light wind out to left, he recommended taking the full-game over rather than isolating a team total, projecting double-digit runs as the most likely outcome.

JDBetsHQ targeted Zac Gallen over 1.5 walks issued. The ace has been a bit scatter-shot lately, posting 3.0 BB per start in his last three and sitting near the top of today’s board in projected walk rate. He now faces a Padres lineup that ranks near the league lead in free passes (3.6 per game) while owning one of the lowest strikeout percentages on the slate, forcing pitchers to nibble. Gallen’s pitch-count trend compounds the edge—he has thrown 100+ in four straight, giving extra opportunities for two balls to slip wide of the zone. With no glaring BvP red flags and a friendly 1.5 line, the capper labeled the walk prop his “weird but favorite” bet of the desert matchup.

Drew Martin is taking the Padres at +130, predicting another rough outing for Zac Gallen. The Diamondbacks’ right-hander owns a 5.00 ERA/FIP combo, has issued three or more walks in three of his last four starts, and just surrendered five earned runs in five innings at home to Pittsburgh. San Diego counters with 25-year-old rookie Burghard (third MLB start) who fired 5.1 one-hit innings against Milwaukee, and the Padres possess a sizable bullpen edge. Martin likes riding the hot rookie arm while fading Gallen’s recent control issues and inflated run prevention, calling the underdog “the barking dog in the desert” for Saturday night.

Mills Young recommended taking Zac Gallen to eclipse his 5.0 strikeout prop even after two straight unders. Young noted he has tracked Gallen’s K props for three years and believes the market has over-corrected. Despite a tough Atlanta lineup, Gallen still owns a 27 % strikeout rate and averages 6.4 Ks per start. At only five punch-outs, Young called it 'too low not to go' and expects a 6-plus performance.

Despite being one of his favorite pitchers, Razzle said he will not roster Zac Gallen tonight. Gallen’s strikeout rate has plummeted from 28% to 22% over his last five starts, his walk rate has climbed above 9%, and he somehow surrendered four homers to Colorado. While his season-long road numbers look solid, the recent trend line is ugly and the matchup in Atlanta is unforgiving. Until the velo ticks back up or he demonstrates sharper command, Razzle advises scratching Gallen from DFS pools entirely.

Romanelli is laying the price with Atlanta because Zac Gallen has surrendered four-plus earned runs in four consecutive starts, including six runs and four homers to Colorado and five runs to Pittsburgh, hardly elite offenses. Meanwhile, Spencer Strider remains the superior arm and the Braves carry a far better bullpen. Arizona’s lineup is dangerous against righties, but their relief corps ranks near the bottom of MLB in projected WAR and has been leaking runs lately. With Gallen reeling and Atlanta’s pitching depth on its side, Romanelli made the Braves moneyline the play.

With two aces on the mound, he called the Diamondbacks money line a value play because Zac Gallen rarely comes at even or plus money, especially at Chase Field where he sports elite splits. Chris Sale has allowed 31 hits and 16 ER in 23.1 innings (6.17 ERA) and now travels west into a hitters’ park. Arizona has dropped two straight in extras but faces a Braves bullpen that has been heavily taxed during a busy week. The tout trusts Gallen’s track record and the home bump, electing to grab the Snakes instead of laying juice with the shakier Sale.

Zola urged fantasy managers to sit Zac Gallen on Friday. The right-hander’s strike-throwing rate has cratered to 58.2%, fueling a 10.7% walk rate that is nearly double his career norm. With the Braves’ offense heating up—one of MLB’s most productive lineups over the past week—Zola views Gallen’s uncharacteristic control problems at hitter-friendly Chase Field as a recipe for ratio pain.

Cash Out Sports Picks tabbed Arizona on the money line because Zac Gallen is seldom priced this cheaply. While Gallen’s 5.06 ERA through 21.1 innings (19 H, 11 ER, 11 BB) is mediocre, his established track record as a top‑10 MLB arm makes him a buy‑low candidate against a Cubs lineup facing Ben Brown, who has struggled to command the zone and has yet to complete five innings in a start. Even factoring in Wrigley’s hitting conditions, the tout believes Gallen’s swing‑and‑miss arsenal prevails and that Arizona’s offense can exploit Brown and a shaky Chicago bullpen.

FTN Staff recommends betting the over on 5.5 strikeouts for Zac Gallen based on FTN's MLB Model projection. The model forecasts Gallen will record 6.26 strikeouts, giving bettors a favorable 10.29% edge. FTN emphasizes using their Prop Shop tool to identify the best available betting lines, reflecting confidence in Gallen exceeding expectations and providing a profitable wagering opportunity.

Kenny G expressed skepticism towards Zac Gallen given his erratic form to start the season. Gallen notably struggled against the Orioles, going just 4.2 innings, allowing seven hits, five earned runs, and walking four. Kenny admits Gallen could rebound at home, but advises caution because the reliability simply isn't there yet. Despite Arizona's generally promising bullpen (3.51 ERA) and strong offensive output (5th in MLB in runs scored, top seven across categories), Kenny leans toward the Brewers, specifically favoring Milwaukee in the first five innings instead of the full game due to uncertainty around Gallen's consistency.

Chris Welsh strongly recommended selling Zac Gallen off his recent impressive start. Welsh expressed serious concerns about Gallen's volatility and troubling inconsistency with his fastball location, which dictates his effectiveness. He highlighted Gallen's erratic zone percentage, dipping to an alarming 30% in his recent poor start, coupled with a troubling abandonment of his knuckle curve. Due to Gallen's reliance on a fastball he's struggling to command consistently and increasing usage of ineffective secondary pitches, Welsh expects continued inconsistency and recommended using Gallen's recent strong outing as a prime moment to maximize trade value before the volatility resurfaces.

Guy Boston remains high on Zac Gallen, projecting another strong pitching performance today against Baltimore. Referencing Gallen's recent gem against a potent Yankees lineup (0 ER, 13 Ks in 6.2 IP), he highlighted that many doubted that pick prior to the game. Given Arizona's current two-game losing streak and returning home with their ace Gallen on the mound, Guy Boston likes the bounce-back spot for the Diamondbacks at -125 moneyline. He also reiterated his preseason belief that Gallen would return to his excellent form from two years ago, expecting continued success today versus Baltimore. While acknowledging opposing pitcher Zach Eflin is solid, Boston still prefers Arizona's side due to the strength of their starting pitcher and home-field scenario.

Peter Dewey backs Zac Gallen for 6 or more strikeouts against the Orioles on April 7, citing Gallen's hot start to the 2025 season. Gallen has recorded 17 strikeouts through two starts, highlighted by a 13-strikeout performance against the Yankees on April 2. Statcast numbers reinforce Gallen's dominance: he's in the 96th percentile for whiff percentage and 89th percentile in strikeout percentage. Facing Baltimore, ranked 19th in MLB at 8.8 strikeouts per game, combined with Gallen rebounding strongly from his Opening Day struggles, Dewey believes the prop at 6+ strikeouts holds significant value.

Kenny G advised betting on the Diamondbacks as a slight home favorite at -120, highlighting Zac Gallen as a strong reason behind this play. Gallen started the season poorly, getting lit up by the Cubs, but rebounded impressively in his second game with 13 strikeouts over 6.2 innings against a potent Yankees offense, allowing just three hits. Kenny noted the Orioles have been inconsistent offensively, inflated by a couple big games against Toronto but struggling significantly outside those outbursts, scoring just three combined runs in two of their recent games against Kansas City. With Gallen's elite form potentially re-established and Baltimore's offense unreliable right now, Kenny views Arizona as solid value at home.

Michael Savio strongly favors Arizona's ace Zac Gallen against the Orioles after his stellar performance in his last start, shutting out the Yankees with 13 strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings. Savio acknowledges Baltimore has put up impressive offensive numbers but finds them deceptive due to inconsistency that has contributed to their slow 4-6 start. He also credits Baltimore's Zach Eflin as capable of keeping the score close, given his solid quality starts, but indicates Baltimore's erratic bats will put Gallen in position to secure another victory for the Diamondbacks.

Data Skrive highlights Zac Gallen's favorable matchup against the Baltimore Orioles and expects him to exceed his strikeout prop of 5.5 strikeouts in this game. Gallen has distinctly impressed so far in 2025, averaging 8.5 strikeouts per game through his first 2 starts. Given his early-season dominance, combined with Orioles batters' propensity to strike out, Gallen provides clear value as a bet on the over, currently priced at -164.

Data Skrive projects the Diamondbacks to defeat the Orioles 7-5, highlighting ace pitcher Zac Gallen as a major advantage. Gallen is coming off a stellar performance, pitching 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing only three hits against the New York Yankees. With a 3.37 ERA through his first two outings, his consistent form and ability to pitch deep into games are notable strengths. Additionally, Arizona has performed well this season as favorites at moneyline odds of -140 or shorter, winning 66.7% of such games. The Diamondbacks currently have an implied win probability of 58.3% for the matchup, making both the moneyline and the run total (over 8.5 runs) attractive betting opportunities.

Sportsbook Wire highlighted Zac Gallen as a strong pitcher to back, noting his exceptional strikeout upside (14.3 K/9 ranks third in MLB). Gallen is coming off a dominant start against the Yankees, throwing 6 2/3 scoreless innings and allowing just three hits. Opponents are batting a mere .171 against Gallen this season. Although facing an Orioles offense ranked sixth in MLB hits (.263 average) and 10th in slugging (.419), Gallen's recent stellar form and high strikeout rate position him for another solid outing. This combination makes him especially intriguing for DFS lineups and betting scenarios.

Malcolm Bamford strongly supports backing the Diamondbacks with pitcher Zac Gallen on the mound, emphasizing Gallen's recent dominant performance at Yankee Stadium with 13 strikeouts and historically superior home performances last season. He downplayed any significant distinctions between Arizona and Baltimore in terms of defensive and offensive potential but believes Gallen's superior pitching and home advantage provides a clear edge for Arizona. Therefore, he confidently recommends Arizona at -125 against Baltimore.

Chris Welsh toned down prior concerns about Zac Gallen's fantasy outlook after witnessing a dominant rebound performance where Gallen struck out 13 batters against the Yankees. Welsh emphasized Gallen dramatically improved his fastball command, raising it back to a 31% utilisation rate in the zone. This adjustment enabled his secondary pitches—including a devastating knuckle curve (13 whiffs on 18 swings) and a changeup with a 63% whiff rate—to become more effective. Previously alarmed by Gallen's shaky first start and fastball struggles, Welsh now confidently reaffirms Gallen's status as a high-end fantasy ace, lamenting the missed opportunity to advise managers to buy low.

Chris Welsh highlighted Zac Gallen's impressive bounce-back outing, where he struck out 13 batters. After a shaky first start, Gallen returned to dominance, reasserting himself as a reliable fantasy ace. Welsh included Gallen among several pitchers who rebounded sharply, reinforcing confidence in Gallen's top-tier fantasy value. Fantasy managers should view this performance as confirmation of Gallen's elite strikeout ability, clear SP1 upside, and confidence to start him moving forward without hesitation.

Millz Young endorses Zac Gallen's strikeout prop against the Yankees, specifically liking it if set at 5.5. Young highlights that Gallen has established himself as one of MLB's premier strikeout pitchers over the past three seasons and expects him to record at least six Ks, additionally giving the Diamondbacks a good chance at securing the win.

Kyle Purviance endorses betting Zach Gallen's strikeout prop versus the Cubs, noting he has started strong with a strikeout already through the first inning. Gallen is positioned as highly capable of exploiting the Chicago lineup's swing-and-miss tendencies, and Purviance clearly sees significant upside on his potential strikeout total in this specific matchup.

Peter Dewey recommended betting Zac Gallen over 4.5 strikeouts against the Cubs on Opening Day. Despite a modest 3.65 ERA last season, Gallen had a strong strikeout volume of 156 punchouts in 148 innings, striking out at least five batters in 17 of his 28 starts, including each of his final seven appearances. The Cubs, who averaged over eight strikeouts per game last year, represent an ideal matchup for Gallen, making this prop a solid choice.

Rob Donaldson is openly fading Diamondbacks pitcher Zach Gallen against the Cubs bats on Opening Day. Donaldson specifically mentioned Gallen’s continuous issues surrendering extremely high hard-hit percentages the past two seasons despite his perceived elite status. Donaldson believes this vulnerability makes Gallen consistently overvalued and thus sees betting value against Gallen to start the season.