Guy Boston Sports leaned to the Angels moneyline and the full-game over, arguing that Gavin Williams is being priced like a lockdown arm even though his recent form mirrors Cleveland’s volatile offense. The Guardians have scored in bunches only sporadically—just a few truly big innings in their last ten games—while Williams has mirrored that inconsistency with occasional command lapses. The tout expects a tighter contest than the ‑170 Guardians tag suggests, projecting something like 4-4 heading to late innings. Because Josh Kachanoitz gives the Angels a serviceable foil and both bullpens have been middling, he views L.A. at plus money and the total as the only playable angles, essentially betting on Williams’ volatility and Cleveland’s lack of steady run production.

Cash Out Sports Host said the Guardians are the right side on the money-line in Sunday’s series finale. He pointed to Jack Kachinovich’s road ERA of 5.34 and the Angels’ league-worst 6.18 bullpen ERA as glaring problems, noting the pen just blew a late lead in the previous game. Meanwhile, Gavin Williams owns a 3.28 ERA this month and has held opponents to four or fewer hits in all but one start. Cleveland is 16-11 at Progressive Field and 9-3 when listed as a home favorite, while Los Angeles has dropped six of seven overall and averages only 2.0 runs over the last week. With both clubs ranking 22nd or lower in runs scored but the Guardians enjoying decisive pitching edges, he advised backing Cleveland to secure the win.

Lonte Smith bet the over 8.5, forecasting both clubs to reach four runs. He highlighted Hendricks’ brutal recent stretch — 19 earned runs across his last four road starts and a home-run allowed in seven of his past eight appearances. On the other side, Jecconi is dealing with minor groin tightness, which Smith fears could cap him at 80–85 pitches and expose the middle of Cleveland’s bullpen. The Angels remain feast-or-famine but still sit 11-th in hard-hit rate and have eclipsed four runs in five of their last nine versus righties. With Hendricks’ sinker generating only an 8% whiff rate and both teams ranking top-10 in barrel percentage over the past week, he projects a 6-4 Guardians win and would play the over up to 9 at plus money.

Scott Reichel laid Cleveland –1.5 at +118, calling it a bargain versus contact-heavy Kyle Hendricks. The right-hander sports a 5.91 ERA overall, a 6.40 mark on the road, and has surrendered 3+ earned runs in four straight while allowing opponents to slash .321/.368/.549. Cleveland rookie Jonah Jecconi flashed legitimate upside last start (6 IP, 1 ER, 8 Ks vs Detroit) and owns a 14% swinging-strike rate through two outings. Reichel emphasized how cold the Angels’ bats have been — 2.9 runs per game over their last ten — and Cleveland’s top-five bullpen (2.92 ERA) should shorten the game. With a lineup that ranks seventh in wRC+ against right-handed pitching, he projects a 5-2 home win and would play the run line down to +105.

Just A Bet Outside rolled out a hitter-prop parlay that hinges on Jose Ramirez and Paul Goldschmidt each recording at least one hit (-110 on DraftKings). He spotlighted Ramirez’s scorching 20-game hit streak and .400 average over the last week. Ramirez owns a 4-for-10 line with two homers off Jose Soriano, who is allowing 9.5 hits per nine and a .295 average to right-handed bats. The analyst added that the Angels’ bottom-five bullpen should give Ramirez extra plate appearances to keep the streak alive. On the second leg, Goldschmidt’s eye-popping road splits—one hit in 26 of 27 road games, a .421 road average, and a 206 wRC+ away from Busch—made him the perfect partner. The veteran first baseman faces Tony Gonsolin, who has surrendered 24 hits in just 25 innings and carries a 6.30 ERA. A shaky, injury-riddled Dodgers bullpen provides another safety net. The host labeled the parlay a half-unit play but said the underlying numbers justify a full-unit stab for those comfortable with hitter parlays.

Just A Bet Outside pointed to Jose Ramirez as a leverage bat versus Jose Soriano. Ramirez is 4-for-10 with three homers off Soriano and is in the midst of an absolute heater—over the last seven days he’s slashing .464/.531/1.071. Soriano’s sinker/curve combo yields a .200 ISO to switch-hitters, and Ramirez has already tagged him for a pair of long balls this season. The tout expects Cleveland to roll out a lefty-heavy lineup that will force Soriano’s walk rate north of 10%, giving Ramirez multiple RBI chances. He recommended sprinkling Ramirez HR at +325 and using him as a spend-up third baseman in single-entry DFS builds.

Mark nearly made Cleveland –144 an official play, pointing to several factors. Renovations created wind tunnels that let the ball "fly out to right" during evening games at Progressive Field, and Friday’s weather sets up that exact scenario. Cleveland carries momentum after avoiding a sweep in Los Angeles, while the Angels are making an east-coast trip on short rest. With Ortiz and Soria on the bump, he expects plenty of offense and likes pairing the Guardians money line with the full-game total Over 8, believing both angles profit in the same high-scoring script.

Lonte Smith also backed Cleveland but added he is taking the over 8. He cited both starters’ control problems—Soriano’s 4.2 BB/9 and Ortiz’s occasional wildness—as catalysts for crooked numbers. Soriano has surrendered six or more hits in six of his last eight outings, a sign that ERA luck could flip. The first Angels-Guardians series produced 14-run shootouts in two of three games, and Lonte thinks a similar script is plausible with warm weather and modest winds in Cleveland. His angle: volatility plus free passes will turn scattered traffic into rallies, cashing the over while the Guardians’ deeper lineup secures the win.

Scott Reichel is on Cleveland at roughly –150, calling the number too cheap given current form. The Angels have lost five straight while scoring two or fewer in every game. Road warrior Jose Soriano carries a tidy 2.35 ERA away from Anaheim, but Cleveland counters with Tobias Ortiz, who has been lights-out at Progressive Field (2.42 ERA). Reichel trusts the Guardians’ contact-heavy lineup that ranks top-10 in OBP this month, whereas the Halos’ bats have cratered again. Cleveland is 15-10 at home, and Scott expects their bullpen edge to matter late. His projection: Guardians 4-2, making any price up to –165 a buy.

LM Tipster fired Guardians moneyline with Luis Ortiz (2-5, 4.73 ERA) trending up after adding a cutter that generated 35% whiffs last time out. Angels rookie Jose Soriano (3-5, 3.73 ERA) struggles with command (11% BB-rate). Cleveland’s bullpen is top-3 in fWAR, giving them a late-inning edge.

He also preferred the under, noting Los Angeles has played two unders in its last three while Cleveland is under in four of six. The Guardians average just 3.98 runs per game and only 3.0 over their last three, batting .218 off southpaws. Kershaw owns a 1.00 ERA in two recent starts against them, and LA’s bats have cooled to 3.33 runs per game over the last three contests. Facing Cecconi and a shaky Cleveland pen still should not produce enough combined offense to clear the number; a 4-2 score is his projection.

Jay Yang advised betting the Cleveland Guardians on the money line against the Dodgers. He argued that Slay Sassoni’s strong outing in his last start (5 hits, 1 run over 6 innings vs Detroit) shows he is rounding into form, while Clayton Kershaw’s workload will be severely limited as Los Angeles carefully manages the veteran’s aging arm. Yang expects Cleveland to enjoy an extra two-to-four innings of plate appearances versus the middle of the Dodgers bullpen, creating a clear run-scoring edge. Anticipating that public money will automatically back the marquee Dodgers brand, Yang labeled Guardians ML the contrarian, sharp side with value.

Peterson also fired on Under 8.5 runs. Bibee’s stingy 1.46 home ERA, May’s solid underlying metrics and Cleveland’s punch-less offense that averages only 3.45 runs per game at Progressive Field all point to a low-scoring affair. His model made the total 8.3, giving him enough cushion to play the Under at the current number.

Lonte Smith echoed the Guardians pick, adding fresh angles: the Dodgers are 4-6 in their last 10 and just dropped two of three to the Mets; they could have been swept if not for an extra-innings escape. May has surrendered four or more earned runs in two of his last three road outings while allowing 22 total hits in that span. Bibee, by contrast, has given up only four combined earned runs across his four home starts, routinely offering six-plus innings. With Cleveland returning from a 4-5 road swing, Lonte expects Progressive Field comfort plus market movement (opened +110, trending to even) to push the Guardians toward closing favoritism.

Malcolm Bamford said Cleveland is a money-line buy at +105, calling it a potential wrong-team-favored spot. He pointed to Dustin May’s 5.40 ERA in four road starts and the overall rash of injuries that has left the Dodgers’ rotation stretched thin. Meanwhile Tanner Bibee owns a 3.57 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and an even better 1.46 ERA at Progressive Field where the Guardians are 14-8. Bamford noted Los Angeles is just .500 on the road and only one game up in the NL West, whereas Cleveland is coming home hot off a 3-series trip. All of the matchup boxes—pitching form, venue, and current momentum—check toward the Guardians, so he took the plus-money.

Cash Out Sports Picks played the under, highlighting two starters capable of limiting damage. Yamamoto is 3-2 with a 1.86 ERA and .178 BAA in five road outings, while Williams boasts a 3-1 record and 3.47 ERA over five Progressive Field starts. Bullpens are reliable as well (Dodgers 3.95 ERA, Guardians 3.80). With two quality staffs and the under hitting in two of the last three head-to-head games, the tout forecasted a tight, low-scoring series opener.

Rockford is backing the Guardians at +160, calling the Dodgers overpriced off Sunday-night baseball and a 2–3 a.m. arrival in Cleveland. He downgraded Los Angeles’ bats in this sleep-deprived spot (team hitting .246 on the road) and noted Gavin Williams has surrendered more than two runs only once in his last six outings. The Guardians have quietly gone 14-8 straight-up at Progressive Field and just took three of four from Detroit. Rockford priced LA at –150, projected the total at 8.1 (lean over 7.5) and warned that closer Tanner Scott has been a “mess” for the Dodgers lately. Value, he insists, sits squarely with Cleveland.

JD Bets backed Luis L. Ortiz to eclipse 4.5 Ks in Detroit. Ortiz has quietly become a punch-out machine, averaging 6.6 strikeouts over his last five appearances and hitting nine once this season. The Tigers own the league’s 23rd-highest strikeout rate, whiffing 8.8 times per game—almost exactly one per inning—while their offense has cratered during a three-game skid. JD added that Ortiz’s slider usage is up 8% in June and the pitch carries a 41% whiff rate. With Casey Mize opposite him, JD expects a competitive game that lets Cleveland’s right-hander work into the sixth. He played OVER 4.5 Ks at –120 and would follow the number up to 5.0 flat.

Scott Reichel recommended playing the Under (number not yet posted but expected 8.0–8.5) in Guardians-Tigers. Casey Mize comes in 6-1 with a 2.53 ERA and has held opponents below three earned in six of seven, while Cleveland rookie Luis Ortiz has quietly allowed fewer than three earned in three of his last four despite a 4.66 headline ERA. Reichel acknowledged Ortiz’s ugly 6.58 road ERA but emphasized Detroit’s spacious Comerica layout and two bullpens that ranked top-10 in May FIP. With Detroit’s offense scraping along at 3.7 runs per game in day contests and Cleveland in a mild slump after Friday’s 7-0 outburst, he sketched a 4-3 type finish and advised waiting for a rogue 8.5 before firing.

Lonte Smith is backing Cleveland at any plus price because he is fading Casey Mize off a two-week layoff for a hamstring tweak. Smith hates betting pitchers in their first start back from soft-tissue injuries and expects A.J. Hinch to keep Mize on a short leash. He highlighted Ortiz’s slider – 7+ strikeouts in five of nine starts – and the fact that Detroit ranks 27th in wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Ortiz has battled walks, yet he’s surrendered fewer than three earned in three of his last four trips and should benefit from Comerica’s big alleys. Smith still likes the full-game Under but projects Cleveland to scratch out a 4-3 win behind a bullpen that owns a 2.91 ERA since May 10.

Rightside prefers the UNDER 8 in Detroit despite a wind blowing out to center. Game-time temps are projected in the low-50s, which historically dampens fly-ball carry. Tanner Bibee has quietly tightened up over the last month (126 batters, .160 ISO, .313 wOBA), and Jack Flaherty’s surface stats have been better than his early-season blow-ups. Detroit’s left-handed core – Kerry Carpenter, Zach McKinstry, Riley Greene – can score in warmer weather, but Donnie doubts they thrive in near-football conditions. He will not touch the over until Motown heats up.

He backed Cleveland on the money line, noting Minnesota’s lineup is missing Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa. Home-run power also favors the Guardians (11th in MLB, one every 29.18 AB) over the Twins (19th, every 34.87 AB). Cleveland has swept the first three meetings this year. Logan Allen owns a 3.42 ERA over 26.1 road innings, while Bailey Ober’s strong home numbers (2.53 ERA) are neutralized by the Twins’ depleted bats. With Cleveland already controlling the season series and bringing more thump to the matchup, the tout rode the Guardians.

To correlate with the Abbott play, B Wade took Jhonkensy Noel under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Noel is batting a brutal .118 (4-for-34) against left-handed pitching and has cleared this prop in just 10 of 32 games overall. On the road he’s even worse, going over in only 3 of 14 contests (21%). Against southpaws specifically, he’s 2-for-7 (29%). With a red-hot Abbott on the bump, Wade expects limited contact opportunities and thinks Noel likely throws up a zero.

Douglass highlighted Guardians-Reds Under 9 runs at -108 as another profitable total, citing a 54.2% success probability and 2.3% edge from Dimers’ model. Cleveland’s offense sits 24th in hard-hit rate, while Cincinnati faces a rested Tanner Bibee whose xERA is a full run lower than his surface ERA thanks to a .347 BABIP fluke. Hunter Greene counters with a 31% whiff rate and has held right-handed hitters to a .279 slugging mark. Progressive Field temperatures in the low 60s with a 7-mph breeze blowing in further dampen run expectancy. Simulations cluster around 7–8 combined runs, making the under playable down to 8.5.

Morgan called Jose Ramirez a cornerstone spend at $5,600 after a three-game homer streak pushed him to nine long balls and 12 steals. Ramirez owns a 1.000+ OPS versus lefties since 2023 and missed a 40/40 season by one homer last year. He now faces Andrew Abbott, whose career marks (3.61 ERA, 1.43 HR/9) suggest the lefty’s early-season K spike is smoke and mirrors. Morgan expects Ramirez’s switch-hit power to play big in Great American Ball Park.

Reichel laid the short –120 with Cleveland because Brady Singer has fallen off a cliff: 11 earned runs on 16 hits across his last 8.1 innings and a season ERA pushing 5.00. Rookie Tanner Bibee, meanwhile, has allowed fewer than three earned in four straight starts and owns a 3.80 ERA overall. Scott added that Cincinnati’s offense finally erupted only against batting-practice arm Bryse Wilson, but had scored two runs or fewer in seven of the previous 10 games. With the better pitcher and lineup, he sees value on the Guardians.

Cash Out Sports Picks played Cleveland on the money-line, highlighting Tanner Bibee’s quiet heater—only six earned runs over his last four outings and past success versus Cincinnati. The Guardians average 4.5 runs per game overall and 4.7 on the road while hitting .245 away versus right-handed pitching. He is unconvinced by the Reds’ starter and called Cincinnati’s recent mound work “shaky.” Offensively the Reds have scored one or zero runs in seven of their last eleven, making it hard to trust them even at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. With a healthier roster and the AL Central race in sight, the tout expects Cleveland to grind out another intra-state win.

It's The Final Round highlighted Steven Kwan as his favorite Friday prop, expecting at least one hit – and very possibly two – against Brady Singer. The tout broke down the matchup pitch-by-pitch: Singer’s primary sinker (38% usage) is allowing a .226 BA, but Kwan owns a .500 BA (9-for-18) off sinkers this season. Singer’s slider (.267 BA allowed) and cutter (.231) do not scare him either, while Kwan is batting .263 with two homers off Singer’s four-seam. Career head-to-head numbers are firmly in Kwan’s favor: 9 hits in 23 ABs (.391) with two bombs. Kwan is locked-in, recording a knock in 23 of his last 26 games. Finally, the launch-angle data screams green light – Kwan sits 25th in MLB with 41.5% of his batted balls in the 8-32° “sweet-spot,” while Singer is a bottom-quartile arm at preventing that angle (42.3% sweet-spot allowed, 335th of 358 pitchers). The tout framed it as a must-play hit prop or total bases over.

The fifth prop is Steven Kwan TO RECORD A SINGLE. Kwan is red-hot, producing 13 singles across his last 10 games and logging a single in 72 % of all contests this year. His road rate is even better, hitting safely in 81 % of away games. Facing righty Brady Singer, Kwan boasts a .391 average over 23 career at-bats and is slashing .339 vs right-handers in 2025. Wade summed it up simply: 'He’s a singles machine in a matchup he’s already solved.'

Lindquist singled out Kyle Manzardo as his favorite Guardians slugger to leave the yard against Royals right-hander Brady Singer. Manzardo sports a 20-degree average launch angle and .479 expected slugging, numbers Lindquist calls "the loft thing" his model loves. Singer has looked ordinary in May, giving up a 10 % barrel rate, 90.3 mph average exit velocity, and relying heavily on a sinker that Manzardo profiles to elevate. Progressive Field should see mild 8-mph winds out to right-center and 75-degree temps—both slight boosters. Lindquist priced Manzardo’s homer chances at roughly 19 %, recommending anything longer than +425 and teasing a same-game, home-run round-robin for premium subscribers.

Rob Donaldson put four units on Kyle Manzardo—three units over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs and one unit to homer. He pointed to Singer’s repeated issues with loud contact and called Great American Ball Park ‘Coors of the Midwest.’ Manzardo is sporting a 50% fly-ball rate with a 95 mph average EV in May, metrics Rob believes will play perfectly in 80-degree weather with a slight jet stream to right. He framed Manzardo as the Guardians’ best combination of plate patience and raw pop, projecting 4–5 trips to the dish out of the two-hole.

Rob Donaldson fired one unit on Gabriel Arias to hit a home run in Great American Ball Park. He noted Brady Singer’s whiff rate has cratered to 18% (career-low) while his barrel rate has spiked to 11.4%. With the wind blowing out and GABP already the No. 2 HR park in Statcast Park Factors, Rob expects Singer’s 43% hard-hit rate to translate into long balls. Arias has posted a .286 ISO versus right-handers this season and grades top-five on the Guardians in average exit velocity. Rob called the spot ‘tailor-made’ for a cheap Arias bomb.

Savio recommended Guardians ML at ‑125, hinging on Tanner Bibee’s recent dominance—2.16 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last four outings—which has pushed him to the top tier of AL pitchers this month. He highlighted Cincinnati’s slide: nine losses in their last 12, five regulars batting under .200 over the past week, and star Elly De La Cruz managing just a .596 May OPS. Brady Singer, who started 4-0 with a 3.24 ERA, has cratered for 11 runs in 8⅓ innings (11.88 ERA) over his last two starts versus Houston and Atlanta. With Bibee locked in and the Reds reeling, Savio sees clear value on Cleveland.

Guy Boston recommended Cleveland at roughly −130 at home versus Milwaukee. Rookie Logan Henderson looked sharp in his debut against the A’s (6 IP, 1 ER, 9 K) but Boston cautioned that could be debut adrenaline against a weak lineup. Cleveland counters with Gavin Williams, who owns solid ground-ball numbers and has limited the Brewers to a sub-.330 expected wOBA across the few plate appearances he’s seen. Boston argued the Guardians hold clear edges in lineup depth and bullpen reliability; Milwaukee’s bats rank near the bottom third in hard-hit rate. With a better offense, a trustworthy pen and Henderson’s small-sample risk, Boston sees value on the Guardians moneyline and would sprinkle their team total over if the number opens modest.

Bryan Power advised betting Milwaukee’s team-total over 3.5 runs despite the Brewers being blanked in the first two games at Progressive Field. Power acknowledged Milwaukee’s ugly season ranks (28th in slugging, 27th in OBP) but reminded listeners that the club still averages 4.5 runs per game on the road. He is betting on regression for rookie right-hander Gavin Williams, who has issued nine walks over his last two starts and has been surviving more on batted-ball luck than missing bats. Power noted that Cleveland’s rotation has been lights-out this week, but Williams’ control issues create traffic that Milwaukee can finally cash in on over a full nine innings. Four runs clears the ticket, and Power is confident the Brewers can reach that modest threshold.

He paired the side with an under. Milwaukee has stayed below the total in eight of its last nine and owns nine team-total unders in its past ten. The Brewers have been held scoreless in two straight and have not cracked five runs in any of their last five. Cleveland’s own bats have been quiet—just one run in two recent games vs. Philadelphia—and Gavin Williams spun six shutout frames his last time out. With shaky Brewers sticks and a total of eight, the tout expects another low-scoring affair.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the Guardians money line for the series finale. Cleveland has blanked Milwaukee in back-to-back games (5–0, 2–0) and draws rookie Logan Henderson for just his second big-league start. Milwaukee owns the fourth-worst slugging percentage versus right-handers and its bullpen remains unreliable. Gavin Williams brings two straight quality outings into Wednesday and faces a Brewers lineup that has not scored more than four runs in its last five games. With Cleveland playing the more complete baseball, he expects a clean sweep.

Francis played Cleveland on the money line versus Milwaukee. His reasoning: the Guardians have won six straight against NL Central clubs, rookie left-hander Logan Allen gives them the superior arm, and Milwaukee’s presumed starter (he mis-pronounced Peralta) has been shaky. Add in Cleveland’s solid home record and he felt the Guards should be favored.

Kenny G recommended taking Under 9 runs in Brewers-Guardians. He outlined that Milwaukee has scored 0, 4, 2, 3 and 1 runs in its last five while sitting 28th in slugging percentage and 23rd in team batting average. Cleveland is only 17th in runs scored and 22nd in both OBP and batting average. Unders have cashed in 13-8-2 Milwaukee road games and 12-7-1 Cleveland home games. Although Quinn Priester (5.08 ERA, Brewers 0-4 in his last four starts) and Logan Allen (4.33 ERA) are not aces, the combination of two cold lineups and pitcher-friendly trends makes a nine-run total feel a tad high. Kenny acknowledged the bullpen fatigue on the Guardians’ side but still viewed a low-scoring script as the most likely outcome.

Lonte Smith also backed Cleveland at –125. He acknowledged Allen’s elevated walk rate but pointed out the Brewers slug just .333 versus southpaws, limiting the damage those free passes can create. Priester has issued 3+ walks in three straight and is coming off his worst start of the year versus St. Louis. Smith added that the Guardians’ bullpen—shaky in April—is ‘rounding back into form,’ giving them a decisive late-inning edge. With Cleveland’s lineup far more competent against right-handers than Milwaukee’s is against left-handers, Smith called the price ‘cheap.’

Malcolm Bamford laid the –125 with Cleveland. His case: Quinn Priester owns a 5.08 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and has been pounded in two straight road outings, while Logan Allen’s ugly surface line is inflated by a single blow-up; remove that clunker and his ERA drops below 3.50. Cleveland is 12-7 at home, wins 64% of its games versus right-handed pitching, and Milwaukee ranks bottom-10 in wRC+ against lefties. Bamford trusts Allen’s deeper arsenal and likes the Guardians’ strong bullpen to slam the door once Priester inevitably puts traffic on the bases.

Kenny G gave a slight but actionable lean to Cleveland at –125. The Guardians are 13-7 at Progressive Field while Milwaukee is a brutal 8-15 on the road. Quinn Priester’s 5.08 ERA and the Brewers’ 0-4 record over his last four starts worry Kenny, especially with a shaky 4.63 bullpen ERA behind him. Offensively Milwaukee ranks 28th in slugging and has produced three runs or fewer in four of its last five games. Cleveland’s lineup is merely average, yet that home edge paired with the Brewers’ travel woes and pitching disadvantage made –125 fair value in Kenny’s eyes.

It's The Final Round flagged Steven Kwan as another strong hit/total-base play versus Quinn Priester. Priester’s No. 1 pitch, the sinker (34 % usage), is getting hammered (.364 BA, 4 hits in 11 ABs). Kwan is obliterating sinkers at .471 (8-for-17, 1 HR). Priester’s cutter (26 %) is even worse (.417 BA allowed) and Kwan sports a ridiculous .667 mark (4-for-6, HR). The curveball is Priester’s only decent pitch (.143 BA allowed) yet he still surrendered a homer there, and Kwan is 2-for-3 off curves in 2024. Kwan has hits in eight of his last nine games and lives in the optimal 8-32° launch-angle window 41.3 % of the time (25th/265). Priester lets hitters get into that window 28.3 % (73rd/358). Add it all up and the tout expects Kwan to keep racking up hits against a profile tailor-made for his contact skills.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Cleveland Guardians on the money line. He pointed out that both starters are carrying ERAs north of 5.00 and have been torched in their last three outings (ERAs over 7.00, WHIPs above 2.00, zero combined wins). Milwaukee is just 8-14 on the road and rolls in with an unreliable bullpen, while former Pirate Quinn Priester was "lit up" the last time he saw Cleveland. With the Guardians at home on Lake Erie and the Brewers reeling after a rough weekend, the tout expects Cleveland to "handle their business" and grab Game 2.

JD Bets backed Cleveland +1.5 runs at -152 because Milwaukee’s offense is in a deep funk. He highlighted that the Brewers are hitting just .181 over their last 10 games and averaging 2.5 runs in that span, while Cleveland is averaging 5.0. Wind is blowing out at nine mph in Cleveland, offering the Guardians extra pop if the rain holds off. Starting matchup of Freddy Peralta versus Ben Lively looks like a wash on the mound, but JD trusts Cleveland’s deeper lineup (Jose Ramirez and Steven Kwan swinging well) against a Milwaukee order where only Rhys Hoskins is producing. With Cleveland at home and Milwaukee ranked bottom-three in almost every recent batting metric, he advised fading the Brewers’ bats and taking the Guardians on the run line.

Guy Boston said Cleveland is a playable under-dog because Freddie Peralta’s road splits are far shakier than his overall numbers (5.05 road FIP, 12 % walk rate, 1.22 WHIP). Peralta also owns a pronounced platoon issue – he dominates righties but struggles versus left-handed bats, and the Guardians will roll out six switch-hitters from the left side. Ben Lively has quietly allowed 1-or-0 earned runs in three of his past four starts, giving Cleveland a fighting chance. Boston acknowledged Lively is due for some regression yet believes any damage is likely offset by Cleveland’s on-base profile against Peralta. With plus-money available, he leaned Guardians and paired it with the full-game over because both pitchers could issue free passes and Cleveland’s bullpen was used heavily the night before.