Kenny G leaned to Detroit at -110 in Sunday’s finale despite Seattle hanging 27 runs in the first two games. He expects the 59-37 Tigers to avoid a three-game sweep behind Jack Flaherty, who struck out eight and allowed just two runs over 6.1 innings in his last start. Flaherty hasn’t faced the Mariners yet, giving him an element of surprise, and the Tigers are 32-17 at Comerica. Logan Gilbert is still shaking off rust after an IL stint; he was tagged for five runs by the Yankees and sports a 3.88 ERA that Kenny fears could inflate versus a right-heavy Detroit lineup. Seattle’s bullpen (3.74 ERA) is solid, but the Tigers’ pen issues (4.06 ERA, several arms banged up) are already baked into the price, according to Kenny. He noted the Mariners are 30-18-1 to the over on the road, suggesting some regression from their suddenly red-hot bats, while Detroit’s offense has been a steady 4-5 runs most nights. In a true coin-flip, Kenny prefers the home side and a potential bounce-back from Flaherty.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Tigers on the moneyline, laying out a clear pitching and situational edge. He noted Detroit has ridden a strong first-half surge to the top of the AL Central and expects a bounce-back after a lopsided loss in the opener. Jack Flaherty shook off a brutal June and, over his last two outings, has conceded only 5 earned runs across 11.1 innings while piling up 17 strikeouts. Logan Gilbert, meanwhile, is reeling: 14 runs allowed in his last four starts, a 6.20 ERA and five homers over 20.1 innings, plus a poor road résumé and shaky history versus Detroit’s hitters. Seattle’s bats can erupt, but the capper trusts Flaherty to limit damage while Detroit’s lineup capitalizes on Gilbert’s slide, making the Tigers ML the preferred play.

B Wade backed Riley Greene to eclipse 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs again against Seattle. Greene has cleared that mark in every meeting with the Mariners this season, logging at least three combined H/R/R each time. He owns a .444 average (4-for-9) off Sunday starter Logan Gilbert and bats over .300 versus right-handed pitching overall. Gilbert has not looked the same since returning from the IL, surrendering 2, 4, 4, 1 and 5 earned runs in five starts while allowing more hits per inning than pre-injury. After going over the prop in four of his last six games and with these matchup edges, Wade called Greene’s 1.5 line too low.

Matt Perrault recommended jumping on the Tigers -1.5 at a juicy +175 with Casey Mize hosting George Kirby and the Mariners. Detroit has won four straight with Mize starting, covering the run line in three, while the right-hander boasts a pristine 5-0 record and 2.00 ERA at Comerica Park. In those four outings he’s allowed just two, one, and two earned runs. Seattle counters with Kirby, who carries a 4.98 road ERA, and the Mariners have dropped every Kirby loss by multiple runs. Even after Seattle’s 12-3 series-opening win, Perrault trusts Mize’s form and Detroit’s trend of winning big to justify the +175 price.

The host grabbed Detroit on the moneyline, citing the Tigers’ status as the league’s best record and all-around balance. Casey Mize owns a 2.00 ERA at home and Detroit has won four straight Mize starts. Seattle’s bats have sputtered (.229 AVG vs AL Central, fifth-fewest doubles, 13th in overall average). Meanwhile Detroit ranks sixth in runs scored and hits .256 in Comerica. With Mize in ‘prime form’ and the lineup clicking, he expects the Tigers to ‘shut down Seattle’s hopes completely.’

Brad Francis said to grab the Tigers money line because the spot lines up perfectly. Seattle has dropped five straight games when listed as an underdog immediately after a win, a trend Francis trusts. Meanwhile Detroit has been "a juggernaut at home" and one of his most profitable sides all season in this 7-pick format. With those home/road splits and the Mariners’ post-win let-down streak both pointing the same way, Francis is willing to run it back with Detroit despite Friday’s blow-out loss.

Just A Bet Outside paired Colt Keith’s 1-plus hit with Chourio in the same parlay and broke down why the rookie leadoff man should oblige. Keith has moved to the top of the Detroit order, giving him four or even five plate appearances nightly, and he is tearing the cover off the ball in July with a .464 average. The left-handed hitter owns a .290 average, .495 slugging percentage and 143 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching and now draws Luis Castillo on the road. Castillo’s splits are night-and-day: opponents hit .302 with a 4.67 ERA against him away from T-Mobile Park compared to a .184 mark at home. Castillo also sports a 5.29 xFIP versus lefties. Given Keith’s red-hot form and the friendlier hitting environment, the tout expects at least one knock from the rookie.

Eric Lindquist urged bettors to grab Detroit -1.5 because he trusts Tarik Skubal and wants to attack Luis Castillo. Lindquist noted Castillo’s four–seam looks noticeably flatter this season, pointing to an 11.7 % barrel rate and 46.9 % hard-hit rate that scream impending regression when he leaves spacious T-Mobile Park. Skubal, meanwhile, has already cashed multiple Tigers run-line tickets for Lindy this year and owns the AL’s third-best K-BB% since May 1. Detroit’s lineup is calibrated for left-handed run support — Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene both carry .370-plus wOBA marks versus righties — giving Skubal room to work with. Lindquist cannot fathom why the market has Detroit laying only a short price on the run line and labeled it his “second-favorite play of the slate.”

Matt Perrault recommended betting the first-five innings total OVER 3.5 runs in Mariners-Tigers. His logic hinges on Seattle’s proficiency versus southpaws (top-10 in RBIs, 11th in batting average against left-handed pitching) and Luis Castillo’s road vulnerability (4.67 ERA, .302 opponents’ AVG, five homers allowed in 44.1 IP). Perrault concedes Skubal owns a sparkling 2.06 home ERA and 8-0 record, but pointed to recent hiccups—four earned runs vs Oakland and two vs Pittsburgh—as proof one mistake swing (he mentioned a possible Cal Raleigh homer) can get Seattle on the board. If Skubal surrenders even a single run and Castillo allows his usual two-plus, Perrault projects a 3-1 or 3-2 score by the end of five, clearing the number.

Bill Harrelson backed Colt Keith to go OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs against Seattle. He pointed out that Keith has cleared this number in 8 of his past 10 and 13 of his past 20 games, including monster 6-HRR performances in two recent meetings with Tampa Bay. Keith is finally heating up after a frigid April, hitting the prop in 9 of his last 11 while averaging 2.8 HRR. Harrelson expects roughly four plate appearances (3.8 per game on the season, five last game) and likes the matchup with right-hander Luis Castillo: Keith owns a .290 average vs righties this year (up from .271 overall) and is 6-for-24 (.250) lifetime off Castillo. Books agree—DraftKings lists the OVER at –140—so Harrelson is willing to ride the hot rookie in a plus split.

Brad Francis recommended Tigers –1.5, stressing that Seattle has failed to cover the run line in six straight games against American League opponents. He added that the Mariners looked lifeless versus the Yankees, now travel to Detroit—"a tough place to play"—and must face Tarik Skubal, whom Francis called "the best pitcher on planet Earth."

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Detroit Tigers on the money line, pointing to Detroit’s 32-14 home record and the chance to finish off a sweep. He noted Tampa Bay’s staff has surrendered 4-plus runs in five straight, while the Tigers are "in a groove" behind a staff anchored by Reese Olson, who looked sharp in his first start back from the IL. Although Zach Littell has allowed just one earned run in each of his last three outings, the tout emphasized Tampa’s lack of momentum and Detroit’s knack for finishing games, advising bettors to keep riding the hotter club.

Scott Reichel recommended laying roughly –140 on the Tigers at home against Tampa Bay. He trusts Reese Olson’s 2.89 ERA and 23% strike-out rate while pointing out that Zack Lattell lives in the zone and gives up too much hard contact. The Rays have dropped four of five and their offense has cooled, whereas Detroit is averaging 4.87 runs per game at Comerica during its recent 8-3 stretch. With Olson in better form and the Rays reeling, Reichel thinks the line should be closer to –160 and is comfortable backing Detroit.

B Wade doubled down on the same game, taking Riley Greene over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs despite backing Littell’s strikeouts. Greene has cleared the number in 7 of his last 10 games (70 %) and owns a .305 average versus right-handers. The kicker is his success against Littell: 5-for-9 lifetime (.556) with three runs and an RBI across only two games (6/22/25 and 9/25/24). Those two outings alone supplied nine combined hits, runs and RBIs, giving Wade confidence that Greene can still produce even if Littell racks up five punch-outs.

Brad Pick Dawgz recommended taking the Tigers straight-up against Tampa Bay. He pointed to Detroit’s current seven-game home winning streak versus AL East clubs and said the club has been "so damn dominant" at Comerica Park overall. Brad also believes the Rays have "lost a bit of their juice" after a short hot spell and that the posted price still underrates Detroit’s edge, making the Tigers a solid money-line wager.

Just A Bet Outside advised betting against Jack Flaherty until he rediscovers his mechanics. The Tigers’ right-hander has surrendered 7, 8, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts while issuing 14 walks across just 18 innings. The tout emphasized that Flaherty’s command has completely evaporated, putting him at risk for another quick hook and making Detroit a team to fade on both the full-game moneyline and first-five markets. Under bettors can also consider Flaherty’s strikeout under, given the high walk rate likely to inflate pitch counts and shorten his outing.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended playing the full-game under in the Tigers-Guardians finale. He framed it as a classic pitchers duel: Tarik Skubal owns a sub-2.00 ERA on the road and in day games, while Gavin Williams has quietly posted a 2.30 daytime ERA and a 2.53 career ERA in four starts against Detroit. Guardians hitters have managed just a .193 lifetime average off Williams and have dropped nine straight overall, averaging 2.8 runs during that slide. Skubal has limited opponents to two or fewer runs in 11 of his last 12 outings, and both bullpens profile as solid—Detroit sits top-10 on the season and Cleveland’s relief corps carries a 3.21 ERA over the last week. With the total still listed at 8.5, the tout projected a 4-2 type game and advised taking the under.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised taking the Tigers behind ace Tarik Skubal. Detroit has won 11 of Skubal’s last 12 starts and five straight by two or more runs. The Guardians have dropped nine straight overall, five by multiple runs, and their lineup has been anemic. Detroit’s offense, on the other hand, ranks near the top of MLB in most categories over the past week. Given the Tigers’ edge on the mound, at the plate, and in recent momentum, the tout wants no part of fading them and recommends Detroit on the money line (or run line for plus money).

Drew Martin advised playing Detroit, preferably Tigers ‑1.5 on the road, thanks to Tarik Skubal’s Cy Young-caliber roll. The lefty is 10-2 with a 2.10 ERA and has won five straight starts; his latest outing was seven shutout innings with a 13:1 K:BB. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams has issued 49 walks in 86 IP and has more walks (7) than strikeouts (4) over his last two starts, totaling 15 free passes in his past four. Martin notes both bullpen and lineup metrics lean Detroit, so he is comfortable laying the run and a half despite the likely juice.

Brad Pick Dawgz recommended paying up for the Tigers –1.5, citing a "massive, significant pitching advantage" with Tarik Skubal opposite Gavin Williams. Brad went so far as to say he "would not be surprised if the Guardians scored zero runs" given Skubal’s current form and Cleveland’s light-hitting lineup. Williams, while serviceable, simply can’t match Skubal’s swing-and-miss stuff, and Brad expects Detroit’s offense to open a multi-run cushion.

Lonte Smith said he is betting both the Tigers money-line and the full-game Under because Casey Mize gives Detroit a massive edge over Logan Allen and a punch-less Guardians lineup. Since returning from the IL, Mize has allowed three runs or fewer in every start and has held opponents to two or less in three straight on the road. Smith pointed out that Cleveland has scored three runs or fewer in five of its last eight and is now dealing with a clearly compromised Jose Ramirez, who is hitless in his last 18 at-bats while playing through multiple nagging injuries. With the wind blowing out to right, Allen’s platoon advantage against Detroit’s right-hand heavy order diminishes, and Smith believes the Tigers can win even if they only plate three runs. He will fire on Detroit up to –150 and play the Under at 9 or better.

Matt Perrault backed Detroit at –132 on the road in Cleveland, pointing to the Tigers’ league-best .272 average and 129 RBIs versus left-handed pitching. They face southpaw Logan Allen, whose Progressive Field line shows a 4.31 ERA, .266 opponent average and 19 earned runs in 39⅔ home innings, with losses in his last two starts (6 IP/3 ER vs STL, 5⅔ IP/3 ER vs TOR). Detroit counters with Casey Mize (8-2, 2.86 ERA overall) who has been steady away from Comerica – 3.50 road ERA and just 5 total earned runs over his last three road appearances (Tampa, Baltimore, Chicago). Perrault expects Detroit to scratch out four or more runs off Allen, which he believes will be enough behind Mize’s recent form and a rested bullpen, making the Tigers a worthwhile moneyline play.

Calling it his client best bet, Drew Martin recommended Detroit –135 behind Casey Mize. The Tigers own the AL’s best record (54-34) and are 20 games over .500. Mize, the former No. 1 overall pick, sports a 2.80 ERA, is 8-2, and has not allowed more than two earned in any of his last five starts. He recently held Cleveland to one run over five innings with six strikeouts. On the other side, Logan Allen lasted only three frames and yielded five earned to Detroit in that series; he sits at a 4.20 ERA and has dropped his last two outings. Martin has been fading Allen all season and sees no reason to jump off with the Tigers’ lineup and bullpen both in better form. He believes the –135 price is short given the pitching disparity and Detroit’s overall consistency.

Calling –110 ‘a bit of a gift,’ Kenny G urged bettors to take Detroit. Rookie right-hander Reese Olson returns from the IL after posting a sub-3.00 ERA before his finger injury, and Detroit’s lineup remains top-5 in runs (7-4-11 in its last three). Cleveland has lost seven straight, scoring 1, 4, 2, 0, 6, 0 in that stretch, while its bullpen (3.88 ERA) and starter Slade Cecconi (3.64 ERA, three earned in 4.2 IP vs St. Louis last time) offer little resistance. With off-field distractions and Jose Ramirez slumping, Kenny believes the Guardians are ‘a mess,’ making the Tigers the clear side.

Brad backed the Tigers on the money line because Cleveland has completely fallen apart. The Guardians have dropped seven straight, cannot string together hits, and look “ass” right now in his words. Until Cleveland snaps the skid or shows any offensive life, Brad is content to take even money with Detroit and fade the coldest lineup in baseball.

Just A Bet Outside said Olson’s strikeout over prop is worth attacking in his first start back from the IL. Cleveland owns the third-highest K-rate against right-handers over the last three weeks (25.9%), a massive jump from 2023. Olson has already punched out 51 hitters in 48.2 MLB innings and produced 6-plus Ks in four of his final five outings before the hamstring issue. The host noted Detroit let him reach 75 pitches in his rehab tune-up, so a 75-80 pitch leash feels realistic. Olson’s road K-rate (26.9%) and slight edge versus lefties support a path to 5-6 strikeouts even with the modest workload, making the over on his posted number (likely 4.5) attractive.

Scott Reichel grabbed the Tigers –1.5 at +104, arguing the talent gap is too large for Washington to keep pace. Detroit is in form after thumping Trevor Williams in Game 1 and faces the wildly inconsistent Irvin, who was shelled for nine earned his last time out. Scott liked that Detroit’s lineup is heating up on the road (11 runs Wednesday) while rookie starter Keider Montero flashed strikeout upside against Oakland. With the Nationals unable to pitch (league-worst bullpen ERA), Scott expects Detroit to cover the run line again.

The tout urged bettors to back Detroit on the money line. He called the Tigers "arguably the best team in the American League" through the first half and highlighted their .257 average versus NL clubs, buoyed by a .268 June clip. Rookie left-hander Dietrich Enns dazzled in his debut, one-hitting Oakland over five frames, and now draws a Nationals squad with the NL’s second-worst home record. Washington counters with Jake Irvin, who has been torched by AL offenses, yielding 12 runs in 16 interleague innings and carrying a 4.73 ERA. With Detroit ranking 3rd in batting average and 4th in runs, the tout believes the Tigers "should win this game without much trouble."

B Wade backed Colt Keith OVER 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs. Keith has smashed this line in five straight, including a four-hit double-header Wednesday. He bats .277 versus right-handers—roughly 20 points better than his overall average—and draws a scuffling Jake Irvin. Irvin has allowed at least three runs in five of his last six starts and averages 4 ER across only 5 IP over his last five turns. Wade expects Detroit to generate traffic early, positioning Keith for multiple counting stats.

It’s The Final Round recommended Riley Greene over 0.5 hits against Cole Irvin. Greene is 2-for-4 (.500) in their brief history and is scorching right now, posting hits in 7 of his last 10 and 11 of his last 14 games. Those trends, combined with Irvin’s contact-friendly profile, make Greene a strong one-off for hit props and a mid-tier DFS target.

Just A Bet Outside played the Detroit Tigers team-total OVER 2.5 runs as the first leg of his alt-total parlay. Detroit owns MLB’s second-best wRC+ (135) and tops the league in slugging and ISO versus right-handed pitching over the last three weeks, scoring 3+ runs in eight of their last ten and 76% of games started by righties this season. Jake Irvin brings a 4.98 xFIP and just a 16% strike-out rate against left-handed bats, exactly where the Tigers do their damage. He has surrendered two or more earned runs in 14 of 17 starts and limped through June with a 7.01 ERA and .303 BAA. Add nine guaranteed road at-bats plus a bottom-five Nationals bullpen and three runs look almost automatic.

Just A Bet Outside bet the Tigers’ alternate team total over 2.5 runs in Game 1 of the double-header against Trevor Williams. Williams carries a 5-plus ERA in every month this season and is getting mauled by left-handed hitters (.373 AVG / .576 SLG, 7 of 9 homers allowed). Detroit can throw six or seven lefties at him and the offense is scorching—three or more runs in eight of the last ten games and 5.7 runs per contest over that span. The Nats bullpen is bottom-five in xFIP, and because Detroit is on the road the lineup is guaranteed nine trips to the plate. With the full-game team total posted at 5.5, Stephen grabbed the safer alternate number at 2.5 to anchor his parlay.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the juice with Detroit. The Tigers own a 3.71 bullpen ERA (13th) compared to Washington’s 5.84 (30th) and rank 5th in team OPS (.750) while scoring 4.99 R/G. Trevor Williams brings a 5.65 ERA overall and an ugly 5.89 ERA with a .292 BAA at Nationals Park. Detroit has won two straight series and averages 6.08 runs across its last 12 tilts, so the tout expects the superior pen and lineup to handle business.

It's The Final Round targeted Riley Green props against Nationals right-hander Trevor Williams, calling it his "absolutely love" play. Williams has imploded over his last three starts, surrendering a .428 average to left-handed hitters. His top two pitches make up 69 % of his arsenal and both are getting crushed: four-seam fastball 43 % usage (.407 BAA) and sweeper 26 % (.341 BAA to LHB). Green owns a red-hot .478 average vs righties the past 10 days, slugs .271 against four-seamers on the season, and is batting .364 off sweepers. He has hit safely in 10 of his last 13 games and lands on the tout’s seven-man home-run list. The analyst recommends Green for "record a hit" parlays and long-shot HR props alike.

Kenny G leaned toward Detroit at roughly ‑160, arguing the matchup ultimately tilts their way even with Jack Flaherty’s volatility. Flaherty (4.80 ERA) looked sharper last time out—six innings, three earned at Oakland—and draws a Washington lineup that ranks just 20th in AVG and 22nd in OBP. The bigger edge lies in bullpens: the Nationals own MLB’s worst relief ERA, while Detroit’s pen has merely been "a little inconsistent." Offensively, the Tigers sit fourth in runs and team batting average (.256) and have plated 10 and eight runs in two of their last four contests. Trevor Williams counters with a 5.65 ERA, and Washington has dropped four of his past five starts. Detroit is 23-18 on the road and an MLB-best 26-15 to the over away from home, but Kenny stayed off the total and recommended a straight Tigers moneyline play, noting he would be surprised if Detroit fails to prevail over nine innings.

Just A Bet Outside also tacked the Tigers over 2.5 runs onto the parlay and said he would be comfortable at 3.5 or even 4.5. Detroit has scored three-plus in eight of the last 10 games and nearly six per game during that window. Over the past three weeks the Tigers rank 2nd in wRC+ and 1st in slugging against right-handed pitching. Trevor Williams is a tailor-made target: a .373 average and .576 slugging allowed to lefties, with seven of nine homers given up coming from that side. Detroit is likely to roll out six or seven left-handed bats (Carpenter, Greene and company) before forcing Washington’s below-average bullpen into action. Williams has posted an ERA north of 5.00 in every month this season, giving the tout confidence that three runs is a conservative projection even with a slight rain risk in the forecast.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised taking Detroit on the moneyline. While Jack Flaherty has been uneven (19 ER in last 25 IP), Trevor Williams has been far worse, lugging a 5.65 ERA and 1.47 WHIP that jump to 5.89 at Nationals Park. Washington hasn’t won back-to-back games since May, whereas Detroit sits atop the AL Central. The tout underscored Flaherty’s superior K-BB ratio and a recent six-inning shutout of the Cubs as evidence he can out-duel Williams, making the Tigers the clear side.

Kenny G made Detroit –285 his “lock of the day,” riding Tarik Skubal’s Cy-Young-caliber form. Skubal is 9-2 with a 2.92 ERA and, despite allowing 4 ER to Oakland last time out, still boasts a 2.52 FIP and top-15 strikeout minus walk rate. He draws a Twins offense that sits 22nd in batting average and 19th in OBP and has scored five runs or fewer in five of its last six. Minnesota counters with Chris Paddack (3-6, 4.64 ERA) whose last three starts have yielded 4, 4, and 8 earned runs; his four-seamer has lost a full tick of velocity, hinting at possible health issues. The Twins bullpen has fallen back to a 4.37 ERA while Detroit’s relief unit holds a respectable 3.74. Home/road splits reinforce the edge: the Tigers are 28-13 at Comerica; Minnesota is just 17-25 away from Target Field. Detroit’s bats have become legitimately dangerous—4th in MLB in runs scored and hitting .253 as a team. Kenny trusts Skubal to shove for six-plus innings, expects enough run support against the struggling Paddack, and is willing to eat the heavy price because he pegs Detroit’s win probability north of 75%.

For ESPN’s Sunday night showcase, Martin wants to ride Detroit and will likely play the –1 run line to cut juice. The Tigers are 51-31 overall and 28-13 at Comerica Park. Staff ace Tarik Skubal (9-2, sub-2.30 ERA) has won four straight starts, while Minnesota counters with Chris Paddack, who has been rocked for 16 earned and 23 hits across his last three outings. Martin also pointed out the Twins’ bullpen has cratered over the past month. Given Detroit’s home dominance, current form, and pitching edge, he recommends backing the Tigers and fading Paddack.

Matt Perrault laid out a run-line bet on Detroit largely because of Tarik Skubal’s current heater. Skubal owns a 2.30 ERA overall and is 7-0 at Comerica Park with opponents hitting just .213 against him (15 ER in 58.2 IP). Detroit has won each of his last four starts by more than one run, and the club’s broader pattern since 4 June is boom-or-bust: every Tigers victory in that span has cashed the −1.5 RL while losses have come outright. Perrault contrasted Skubal with Minnesota starter Chris Paddack and noted Skubal’s only home loss came two months ago versus Kansas City. With the market offering Detroit −1.5 at −125 despite a game total of seven, Perrault is comfortable swallowing juice on a home run-line play, projecting another multi-run win for the Tigers.

Scott Reichel targeted Kerry Carpenter’s home-run prop versus Bailey Ober, calling it the best way to monetize Ober’s current meltdown. Ober has surrendered 10 homers across his last four starts—eight in the past three alone—and left-handed bats own the bulk of that damage. Even though Carpenter is just 1-for-10 lifetime against Ober, Reichel noted that Carpenter’s power plays up at Comerica (10 of his 14 bombs there last season) and that Ober’s four-seam command has completely deserted him, with a 46% hard-hit rate during this skid. Carpenter’s underlying swing metrics (17.8% barrel rate in June) give Reichel confidence the poor head-to-head sample is noise. With Ober in “absolute freefall,” Reichel expects at least one mistake up in the zone and is betting Carpenter to leave the yard at +425 or better.

Scott Reichel advised backing Detroit –1.5 at +135 behind Casey Mize. Mize is 7-2 with a 2.88 ERA overall and a sparkling 1.84 ERA at Comerica Park, while the Tigers are 28-13 at home. Bailey Ober has cratered, surrendering 23 earned runs and 10 homers in his last four outings, and the Twins are just 17-25 on the road. Reichel called Ober an auto-fade right now and expects Detroit’s bats to exploit his home-run problem, giving Mize plenty of cushion.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed Detroit on the money line. Casey Mize’s splitter-heavy arsenal has produced steady groundballs, while Bailey Ober is reeling—yielding 7, 4, 7 and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. The Twins’ staff has allowed 6.6 runs per game over the past 10, whereas Detroit owns a 51-31 record and applies pressure to faltering pitchers at spacious Comerica. With the Tigers the more consistent club and holding home-field edge, the tout believes Detroit is the right side.

Kenny G leaned toward the Tigers at –145 behind Casey Mize. Mize is 7-2 with a 2.88 ERA and has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, including five innings of one-run ball versus the surging Rays. On the opposite mound Bailey Ober is spiraling, sporting a 4.90 ERA and coming off four consecutive rough outings—the latest a seven-run, three-homer disaster versus Seattle. Minnesota’s bullpen has cratered to a 4.33 ERA, and its offense ranks no better than middle of the pack (20th OBP, 15th runs). Detroit, meanwhile, owns a 28-13 home record, a 3.69 bullpen ERA, and sits fourth in MLB in runs scored with a .254 team average. Kenny expects the Tigers to bounce back from their series-opening loss and capitalize on Ober’s struggles.

The Bettor Mark backed Casey Mize and the Tigers at ‑1.5 (+135). Mize enters at 7-2 with a sub-3.00 ERA, and Mark believes his ground-ball profile matches up well against a Twins lineup that has surrendered runs in bunches all season (40-42 record, bottom-10 bullpen ERA). Bailey Ober’s rising HR/9 and 5.05 road ERA make him a fade candidate. Mark added that Mize to record the win is worth a sprinkle because Detroit’s bullpen has been stable in games Mize starts.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended Detroit to win and cover, highlighting the matchup edge versus struggling Twins swing-man Festa (14 ER last three starts, 12 ER in two road turns). Detroit owns a .271 AVG and .780 OPS against right-handers and has beaten Minnesota by an average of 4.4 runs across the last five victories. Minnesota endured a 4-hour rain delay Thursday, arrived late, and still hasn’t confirmed a starter; if they use a bullpen game, Festa is expected to log the bulk despite a 10.00 ERA over his last 18 IP with multiple walks each outing. Meanwhile rookie Jipson Long has a 2-run, six-inning home start on his resume and faces a Twins lineup slashing just .228/.303/.379 over the past 10 days. All signs point to Detroit jumping out early and cashing the run-line.

Eric Lindquist recommended the Tigers moneyline versus his hometown Twins. He expects Sawyer Gipson-Long to give Detroit four to five competent innings before handing things to a rested bullpen. Minnesota just slogged through a 4½-hour rain delay and burnt relievers in back-to-back games with Seattle, factors Lindquist thinks will show up late. Although the Twins have taken two straight, he still questions their offensive consistency, whereas Detroit—"first to 50 wins," as he noted—has been the steadier club. The play is simply trusting the Tigers to outlast an over-extended Minnesota staff.

The tout flagged Riley Greene as another hot hand worth a hit or total-bases play. Greene is 3-for-5 with a homer (.600) off David Festa and has produced hits in eight of his last 10 contests, reinforcing confidence in the matchup.

Kenny G leaned toward laying -158 with Detroit. He argued the Tigers’ top-5 offense (4th in runs, 10th in AVG .254, 5th in SLG) should eventually get to Jeffrey Sprague and, more importantly, the league-worst Oakland bullpen (6.00+ ERA). While Dietrich Enns is a 34-year-old spot starter and a bit of an unknown, Kenny noted Detroit’s pen still owns a respectable 3.74 ERA and plays far better at Comerica where the club is 27-12. Oakland’s lineup is scrappy, but its relief corps routinely coughs up late leads, making Detroit the side even if value is modest. He also mentioned a slight lean to the 8.5 over because the A’s are 19-15-5 to the over on the road, but his actionable advice was Tigers moneyline.

Just A Bet Outside backed Detroit to clear an alt team-total of 2.5 runs against Jeffrey Springs and the A’s. He noted the Tigers own the league’s best numbers versus left-handed pitching over the past three weeks (171 WRC+, No. 1 in ISO, batting average, and OPS) and have scored 3-plus in 17 of 22 games against southpaw starters this season, averaging five runs in those matchups. Springs has actually been worse against fellow lefties (.266 average, 4.73 xFIP) and has allowed 3-plus earned in four of his last six outings. With a bullpen that ranks bottom-three in ERA and FIP lurking behind him, the host called this a classic bounce-back spot after Detroit was shut out Wednesday and labeled the over 2.5 a “no-brainer” leg for parlays or straight bets.

Lonte Smith loves the full-game UNDER 7 in Tigers-A’s. He pointed out that Tarik Skubal has given up only three total earned runs across his last five starts and now gets an Oakland lineup that ranks bottom-five against lefties. On the other side, Luis Severino owns a 0.93 ERA in six road outings (2-0 record) and hasn’t allowed more than one earned run away from home all season. Despite Severino’s reduced strikeouts (never more than five on the road), Lonte thinks his contact profile plays in Comerica’s spacious outfield. He projected a 4-1/4-2 type final and advised bettors to avoid the –280 money-line tax by taking the under instead.