Andrew Geller worries that Spencer Torkelson may finally be breaking out the year he personally chose not to draft him. After investing heavily in Torkelson over the past three seasons without payoff, Geller avoided him this draft season—and now sees Torkelson's improved early-season hitting as potentially legitimate. Torkelson's noticeable advancements at the plate suggest he may finally fulfill the significant fantasy potential projected for years. Geller is concerned he got off at the wrong time, fearing he'll miss out entirely if his long-awaited breakout finally unfolds this season.

James Anderson sees Spencer Torkelson emerging as an impactful fantasy hitter this season. In mid-March, Torkelson seemed destined for AAA, but a sudden rash of injuries on the Tigers' big league club opened everyday playing time. Anderson highlights that Torkelson has capitalized on this unexpected opportunity, generating early fantasy value and potentially signaling the overdue breakout year many expected earlier in his career.

Chris Welsh enthusiastically backed Jack Flaherty's betting prop for outs recorded against the Marlins, expecting Flaherty to go at least six innings after consistently hitting that benchmark previously. Although Welsh acknowledged the betting price was somewhat juiced at -150, he asserted confidence in Flaherty comfortably reaching six innings against a favorable matchup. Welsh particularly called out Flaherty's strong historical performance in consistently pitching deep into games and viewed the Marlins lineup as an ideal situation for this wager.

Ryan Wormeli expressed strong interest in claiming Casey Mize as a waiver wire pickup, citing impressive pedigree as former consensus first overall pick. Now fully recovered from the injury that cost Mize all of 2023, Wormeli highlighted his strong initial outing (5.2 IP, earned first win) and noted he's adopting the trendy new sweeper pitch, which historically helps increase strikeouts—a current weakness in Mize's profile. Although cautious about overreacting to one start, Wormeli strongly believes Mize's pedigree and possible new sweeper pitch represent genuine upside worth speculating on immediately, especially given his minimal 15% roster rate.

Chris Welsh strongly recommended adding Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize following a promising 2025 debut in which Mize allowed just one hit with six strikeouts over five and two-thirds innings. Despite a slight dip in fastball velocity, Welsh pointed out beneficial changes in pitch-mix for Mize, specifically increasing a loopy slurve and sharply improved split-finger usage (generating 71% strikes in his start). These adjustments enabled more whiffs and strikeouts. Welsh highlighted Mize as higher priority than other widely-rostered waiver arms like Kris Bubic or Brady Singer, believing Mize's revamped repertoire potentially unlocks sustained breakout upside rather than just streaming-level value. Fantasy managers should be aggressive with FAAB bidding to ensure they land Mize for season-long upside as a breakout frontline starter.

Guy Boston targeted Javier Baez's under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs for today's matchup against Yankees left-hander Max Fried. Baez historically struggles against left-handed pitching, and Fried excels at neutralizing righty hitters. Baez also has notably high strikeout rates against Fried's primary offerings, specifically the fastball and curveball. Fried's diversified 5-pitch mix (fastball at 33%, curveball 21%, sinker 16%, change-up 14%, slider 12%) further amplifies Baez's strikeout risk. Guy Boston emphasized betting this early before odds worsen beyond his -165 threshold, citing a current favorable line at MGM (-160).

Jimmy Adams advocated betting on the Tigers as underdogs to complete the sweep against the Yankees. Adams highlighted Detroit's impressive recent form, winning five straight games and seven out of their last eight, noting they could easily have been on an eight-game win streak apart from one critical defensive error. Adams praised Tigers starter Jack Flaherty, emphasizing his strong pitching metrics from last season: a WOBA of just 288, a strikeout rate well above league average, and a below-average hard hit percentage against. Additionally, Flaherty has been strong in his first two outings of 2024—allowing just three runs across 11.1 innings against tough opponents including holding the Dodgers to only two runs. Adams believes Detroit offers fantastic betting value today at plus money due to their current form and Flaherty's pitching effectiveness.

Kenny G recommended betting the Tigers as an underdog (+122), spotlighting Jack Flaherty's impressive start to the season as a key reason. Flaherty carries a strong 2.38 ERA, highlighted by dominant outings against quality opponents like the Dodgers and White Sox, combining to allow just five hits and two earned runs in over 11 innings pitched. Kenny praised Flaherty's ability to perform against tougher offenses, expecting him to succeed against the Yankees' currently cold bats at home, where Detroit remains undefeated early in the season.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommends taking the Detroit Tigers to cover the spread as underdogs against the New York Yankees. Jack Flaherty has been effective early this season with a 2.38 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, and opponents are hitting only .154 against him. Meanwhile, Tigers hitters have posted an OPS of .829 in their last six games, averaging over five runs per game. The Yankees lineup has struggled significantly in the series, being outscored 11-2, making the Tigers an appealing choice behind Flaherty's strong start.

Kevin Thomas is betting on the Detroit Tigers at plus 125 moneyline value to complete their sweep against the New York Yankees. Despite acknowledging the difficulty of completing sweeps, he strongly questions the quality and consistency of the Yankees bullpen, which he emphasized as a serious vulnerability. Thomas also downplayed the Yankees' recent performances, noting they look overrated after beating a weak Pirates team that he believes might lead to an upcoming managerial change.

Kevin Thomas believes Spencer Torkelson is a good value for an RBI prop bet against the Yankees. Torkelson had largely underperformed as a highly regarded rookie, nearly sent down to minors last season, and previously went hitless before delivering two hits and an RBI the prior day. Thomas specifically noted Torkelson's favorable batting order position (hitting fourth behind Riley Greene) in Detroit's lineup as an additional positive factor, expecting opportunities despite facing a strong pitcher in Max Fried.

Data Skrive emphasized the ATS betting trend for Detroit Tigers this season, noting they have covered 63.6% of their games (7-4-0 ATS). Despite being underdogs (+1.5 at -140) against the Yankees, Detroit's ability to consistently cover offers bettors attractive value, especially since they have had recent success against New York, winning four of their last five head-to-head matchups.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the under on Jack Flaherty's hits allowed prop of 4.5. Flaherty has allowed just six hits across 11.1 innings this season, maintaining a stellar 0.88 WHIP. Dewey highlighted the Yankees' recent challenges offensively, emphasizing their mere 13 hits and two runs scored across the first two games of this series. Additionally, he referenced Flaherty's impressive past performance, where last season he gave up only 135 hits across 162 innings.

Data Skrive identified the Detroit Tigers as a solid underdog pick at +127 on the moneyline in the April 9 game against New York. Despite the Yankees' position as favorites (-152), the Tigers have a clear betting value, particularly given they've won three out of six games when listed as underdogs this season. The Tigers' projected win probability of 48% compared with implied odds from sportsbooks at 44.1% suggests a clear betting edge and implied value for those backing Detroit at plus money.

Data Skrive highlighted Spencer Torkelson as a strong candidate to perform well against the Yankees on April 9, noting he's hitting an excellent .310 with five doubles and three home runs already this season. Torkelson's strong start positions him as a good bet to exceed the relatively modest over/under of 0.5 total bases set at -180 odds. His consistent production and power make him attractive from a betting and DFS standpoint in this afternoon matchup against New York.

Greg Peterson advises betting the over 7 runs total in Yankees vs Tigers based on potent hitting and vulnerable pitching. The Yankees have been explosive offensively, averaging 7.1 runs per game and 2.3 homers per contest, despite a shutout yesterday. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is vulnerable, with a 4.36 ERA in recent starts and notably allowing over 1.6 HR/9 innings for the Dodgers and Tigers. Yankees' Max Fried may look good with a 2.61 ERA but has benefited from four unearned runs skewing his numbers. Peterson emphasizes this misleading factor, noticing Fried's underlying FIP (3.84) is significantly higher than the posted ERA. Given these offensive fireworks and suspect starting pitching matchups, he projects a higher-scoring outcome at 7.8 runs, providing clear over value at 7.

Brian Howard expressed caution against betting on Tarik Skubal against the Yankees despite considering Scoobel the significantly better pitcher compared to Carlos Carrasco. Howard highlighted recent results where the better pitching matchup hasn't translated into winning bets, creating trust issues. Additionally, Howard pointed out the Yankees were overeagerly defeated in their previous game, setting up potential bounce-back motivation. Ultimately, Howard advised avoiding the Tigers or cautiously backing the Yankees at plus-money in this specific scenario, viewing it as a potentially dangerous spot despite Scoobel's advantages on paper.

Kyle Purviance likes Kerry Carpenter's RBI prop bets due to his matchup against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco, who has noticeably struggled. Purviance specifically highlighted a value spot of Carpenter achieving two-plus RBIs at around +850, alongside betting one RBI at +220. He explained a ladder betting strategy here, suggesting betting both props to increase upside while keeping some safeguard. He emphasized Carrasco's struggles as the main factor, believing Carpenter is well positioned to benefit from this favorable matchup.

Peter Dewey sees good value in Riley Greene's odds to homer against veteran Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Greene has started the 2025 campaign hot, boasting a .317 batting average, .634 slugging percentage, and already hitting three home runs. He's notably stronger against right-handed pitchers, slugging 59 points higher against righties for his career. Carrasco, meanwhile, has started poorly this season, allowing a homer and six earned runs in just 7.1 innings. He has also had persistent trouble containing home runs, allowing at least 17 each of the previous three seasons. Although Greene has limited history against Carrasco (0-for-3), Dewey suggests taking a shot given the matchup and generous odds.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended betting on the Tigers to cover the spread against the Yankees given several key factors. Detroit pitcher Casey Mize had an impressive recent outing and performs well in cold, windy conditions as a ground ball specialist reliant on a strong splitter, making him difficult to hit for airborne contact. Conversely, Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon has a history of allowing fly balls and home runs, potentially problematic given forecasted windy conditions favoring hitters getting the ball airborne. While the Yankees possess bullpen strength, Detroit's expectation of an early lead leads to a positive outlook for betting the Tigers as underdogs covering the spread.

Derek Farnsworth highlighted the Tigers offense as a strong DFS target against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Farnsworth emphasized Carrasco's elevated 5.76 ERA and a troubling 4.84 xERA, alongside his tendency to allow high contact (32% HC rate). Detroit hitters such as Kerry Carpenter (.408 wOBA), Riley Greene (.382 wOBA), and Colt Keith were specifically referenced, benefiting from Carrasco's notable splits against left-handed bats (an elevated .361 wOBA allowed). Farnsworth noted the positive correlation of Detroit's favorable Vegas total (4.27 implied runs), and Carrasco's underlying metrics indicated home run potential, making the Tigers' left-handed hitters enticing DFS options on today's DraftKings and FanDuel slates.

B Wade highlights Colt Keith as a strong bet to draw a walk against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Keith has notably improved his plate discipline this year, earning walks in eight of the first ten games and totaling twelve walks overall, equating to a remarkable 1.2 walks per game. Even though last season Keith walked in just 25% of appearances, Wade points out he's more patient and disciplined at the plate now. Additionally, Carrasco had a poor previous season (3–10, 5.64 ERA) and doesn't appear to have improved significantly, starting 0–1 this year. Given Keith's newfound selectiveness and Carrasco's ongoing struggles, Wade confidently backs this pick.

Eric Lindquist pointed to Kerry Carpenter as an attractive target for his total bases prop against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Though Carrasco is someone he admires personally, Lindquist noted significant performance red flags including a 15.2% barrel rate allowed in early starts this year. Carpenter has been hitting well and Lindquist specifically highlighted Detroit's left-handed hitters including Carpenter as being in advantageous spots against Carrasco due to favorable splits and vulnerabilities Carrasco has shown thus far.

B Wade is backing Tarik Skubal to clear his 6.5 strikeout line against a Yankees team with MLB's fifth-highest strikeout rate (nearly 10 Ks per game). While Skubal had just two strikeouts in an early-season game versus the Dodgers, he rebounded strongly, recording eight strikeouts against Seattle recently. Last season, Skubal surpassed 6.5 strikeouts in 62% of outings, including a dominant 12-strikeout performance against these same Yankees, and finished the campaign averaging 13 strikeouts per nine innings against New York. Given Skubal's proven strikeout ability and New York's high strikeout frequency, Wade expects Skubal to capitalize and comfortably exceed his strikeout margin.

Mike Spector recommended betting on the Tigers' moneyline (+126) based on the pitching matchup between Detroit's Casey Mize and New York's Carlos Rodon. Mize was dominant in his first outing, allowing just one hit through 5.2 innings, showcasing a particularly effective arsenal (four-seam fastball, slider, and splitter) with each pitch registering a whiff rate over 40% and not conceding a single barrel. Meanwhile, Rodon struggled with command, walking four batters in his previous start, and even though he allowed just three hits, control remains a concern. Additionally, Spector noted the Yankee offense relies heavily on home runs, but they'll likely struggle given Comerica Park's spacious dimensions on a cold evening, providing further value for the Tigers.

Kenny G advised taking the Detroit Tigers as valuable home underdogs at +120 moneyline against the Yankees. Casey Mize impressed in his only start this season, going 5.2 shutout innings with just one hit allowed and six strikeouts against the Mariners. Kenny noted the Yankees, while potent offensively, were cooled off their last game and face potential weather challenges in Detroit. He pointed to Detroit coming off a three-game sweep versus the White Sox, rallying behind clutch hitting including Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. Kenny concluded the plus-money value on the home Tigers makes them a worthwhile bet given Mize's strong early form and playing at home.

Eric Lindquist strongly recommended steering clear of home run prop bets in the Yankees vs Tigers matchup due to the cavernous Detroit ballpark environment. He emphasized that the dimensions and conditions historically suppress home runs significantly, noting that after extensive analysis using Odd Chopper's proprietary data, he found zero positive EV (expected value) bets for home runs in Detroit games during early-season matchups. Lindquist highlighted that despite Kerry Carpenter recently overcoming these conditions, expecting sustained power outputs at Comerica Park is generally not smart betting strategy, and bettors are better off considering total bases or doubles bets rather than home-run props.

Just A Bet Outside spotlighted Casey Mize's strong potential to emerge as a dependable rotation piece this year thanks to his new split-finger pitch. Following a successful spring showing (9 hits allowed, 17 IP), Mize carried that form into his first regular season start, allowing just one hit in 5.2 scoreless innings against Seattle, showcasing good strikeout potential (6Ks) and command of the new splitter. Improved arsenal, positive spring momentum, and promising early results suggest Mize can consistently deliver quality innings going forward, making him a viable DFS and betting play against shaky offenses like this Yankees squad.

Just A Bet Outside calls the Detroit Tigers a great underdog moneyline play (+136) against Carlos Rodon and the New York Yankees. Rodon has struggled with control across his first two outings (six walks, five earned runs in 11.1 innings) and traditionally struggles on the road, evidenced by his 4.69 road ERA last season compared to a 3.11 home ERA. Casey Mize represents upside for Detroit, implementing a promising new splitter pitch after a strong spring training (17 innings, just nine hits allowed) and an outstanding 2024 debut (one hit, 5.2 shutout innings vs. Mariners). The Tigers have won five of six contests coming into this game, with Carpenter, Torkelson, Greene, and McKinstry all showing good offensive form. Combined with Yankees bullpen usage concerns and travel fatigue, JABO views the Tigers as offering appealing underdog value at home.

Scott Reichel backs Detroit Tigers at plus 126 moneyline against the Yankees primarily due to a scheduling and bullpen fatigue angle. The Yankees notably burned their key bullpen arms, notably Weaver and David Williams who pitched heavily on Sunday, making them likely unavailable. Additionally, Reichel expressed skepticism on Carlos Rodon's road performance, highlighting that his numbers were significantly worse away from home last season. With Detroit recently gaining momentum at home, he sees this as an advantageous underdog spot.

Malcolm Bamford sees opportunity backing Detroit and Casey Mize as an underdog against the New York Yankees. Bamford praised Mize’s recent performance against Seattle where he delivered 5.2 scoreless innings, and finds Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon’s inconsistencies—specifically control issues, seen by walking too many batters—concerning. Additionally, Detroit has impressed him with their early home performances. Bamford mentioned the Yankees were coming off a tough road loss against the Pirates and now have a quick turnaround that might impact them. His action involves backing Detroit for the first five innings and noting the total of 8.5 seems inflated, projecting a low-scoring contest due to strong pitching from both sides.

Scott Reichel likes the value on Detroit as a home underdog against the New York Yankees, citing several contextual reasons. Carlos Rodon last year had noticeable splits, performing considerably worse on the road compared to home, making this his first road start of the season a concern. Reichel also pointed out bullpen fatigue issues for the Yankees—they had a taxing extra-inning game on Sunday, using multiple key relievers such as Weaver for two innings and Williams, who took the loss. Conversely, Detroit had relatively limited bullpen usage in Sunday's dramatic comeback victory, likely leaving their high-leverage relievers fresh for this matchup. Reichel believes +125 is generous given Yankees' potentially weakened late-game relief situation.

Guy Boston advises caution against betting Detroit to sweep the White Sox, despite public leanings. Although Detroit's offense started the season hot, Jackson Jobe struggled significantly in his first start (3 earned runs, more walks than strikeouts), and Chicago's Martin Perez has surprisingly strong career numbers against Detroit hitters (.214 average, expected wOBA below .300 in 90 plate appearances). While Boston doesn't trust Chicago's offense enough to actively back the underdog, he explicitly warns against wagering heavily on Detroit continuing to dominate, suggesting caution due to pitching inconsistencies and potential regression from the Tigers lineup.

Bettor Mark highlights a significant pitching advantage for Detroit Tigers against the Chicago White Sox, suggesting the White Sox will struggle to generate offense against Job while Perez likely struggles. However, he refuses to recommend the Tigers money line due to the inflated -200 odds and distrust in their run line support, despite believing the Tigers will take an early lead. Mark thinks the optimal way to wager given the circumstance is to bet the Tigers 'to not bat in the ninth,' expecting them to hold a comfortable advantage late.

Ryan Wormeli selected Casey Mize as his preferred streaming option because of his two-start week, despite a tough matchup at home against the Yankees. Wormeli emphasized Comerica Park's pitcher-friendly environment compared to Yankee Stadium and highlighted Mize's second matchup against the Twins, a lineup that's off to a sluggish offensive start. He believes Mize is more than just a streamer and could become a long-term roster addition if successful in these starts.

JD Bets highlighted a compelling trend of Detroit Tigers scoring a run in the first inning in seven of their first eight games. Given this early offensive aggression, he strongly endorsed betting on the Yes Run First Inning (YRFI) market for their upcoming game versus the White Sox, particularly since the bet is offered at plus money (+105). Inspired by this consistency, JD speculated Detroit specifically would be a likely contributor to this first-inning scoring trend.

Dylan Rockford recommended backing the Detroit Tigers on the run line at plus money based on his expectation of a strong bounce-back game from starting pitcher Reese Olson. Olson's disappointing first appearance came against the formidable Dodgers lineup, an extremely challenging matchup. Rockford believes Olson is a better pitcher than that outing indicated, and he'll perform significantly better against Chicago's struggling offense. With Detroit returning home (after winning their first home game against the White Sox), Rockford forecasts a morale boost and a solid start from Olson.

Scott Reichel is advising bettors to take the White Sox, but specifically in the first five innings rather than the full game due to Detroit's shaky bullpen. Reichel noted Detroit's bullpen carries a concerning 5.66 ERA early this season. Although Detroit should win given the White Sox's struggling offense (losing three straight entering this matchup), Olson had a brutal first outing, and Davis Martin looked effective with 6 innings of scoreless pitching against the Angels. Given concerns about late-game performances, Reichel strongly preferred the first five innings, avoiding risk from Detroit's bullpen blowups.

Bettor Mark highlighted Reese Olson as someone much better than his rough first outing against the Dodgers suggested. Despite allowing 4 runs over 4.2 innings with a home run surrendered, Olson's stats may be misleading due to the difficulty of the Dodgers matchup. Bettor Mark believes Olson's talent exceeds what he showed, and this is partly why oddsmakers strongly favor Detroit at minus 215 versus the White Sox. Although Bettor Mark ultimately chose no official play here because of the steep odds, he implied there's value in Olson rebounding positively against a far weaker White Sox lineup.

Dan Palyo touted Reese Olson's strikeout prop over 5.5 (+110 at DraftKings), citing Olson's solid performance against the Dodgers where he achieved five strikeouts. Olson threw 93 pitches in that outing, proving he is well-stretched out, and now faces the White Sox—a weaker lineup striking out 22% of the time versus righties—highlighted by young, free-swinging hitters. Olson's strong Ks against left-handers further strengthens his potential. With Olson set to face multiple left-handed batters today, Palyo expects him to effectively exploit the matchup, seeing plus odds value in Olson getting through six innings with at least one strikeout per inning.

Action AI has identified a strong early-season trend backing the Tigers on the moneyline against the White Sox for Saturday, April 5. This unique betting model specifically targets teams in their first nine games of the season, finding patterns and edges based on historical data and team tendencies prevalent during early-season matchups. Given rigorous analysis and past performance results validating this system, AI recommends betting the Tigers to win outright on the moneyline.

ESPN Fantasy highly recommended using Kerry Carpenter as well as other low-rostered Tigers hitters Spencer Torkelson and Colt Keith when facing White Sox pitcher Davis Martin, who is a weaker starting pitcher compared to league standards. Carpenter, largely available and under 50% rostered in ESPN fantasy leagues, was listed as a 'must-add' hitter with significant upside given the favorable matchup against a softer pitching opposition.

ESPN Fantasy recommended Reese Olson as a solid streaming pitcher option for his upcoming start against the Chicago White Sox. Olson struggled in his season debut versus a strong Dodgers lineup, allowing several runs, but still showcased positive underlying metrics with five strikeouts and only two walks in 4 2/3 innings. ESPN expects Olson's peripheral skills and strikeout ability to lead to better success when facing weaker lineups such as the White Sox, emphasizing it as a prime opportunity for improved fantasy results.

Derek Carty flagged Luis Garcia Jr as one of the day's best home run prop bets, projecting a 12% chance of surpassing the 0.5 home run line (+900 odds) with an expected profit value of $23.20. His reasoning rests on Garcia Jr being an extreme flyball hitter who thrives against extreme groundball pitchers, favorably matched in this contest against Arizona's groundball-prone starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt.

Highlighting Wilmer Flores, Data Skrive emphasized his enormous value for home run bets at +900 odds. Flores has crushed home runs at a scorching pace, tallying 4 homers in his first 6 games, a homer rate of 66.7%—top in MLB early this season. Against Seattle's pitching, he presents an exceptional betting opportunity.

Data Skrive's computer prediction strongly favors the Tigers in their matchup against the White Sox. The Tigers are substantial favorites with a -248 moneyline, while the White Sox are underdogs at +203. Both teams are entering the game with identical records of 2-4 on the season. Additionally, the model points to scoring being above expectations, favoring the total runs to go over 7.

Mike Ianniello expressed strong confidence in pitcher Jack Flaherty, highlighting him as a favorite pitcher to support due to a high strikeout rate. Flaherty's resurgence following past injury issues was underscored by his league third-best 10.78 K/9 rate last season. Ianniello particularly emphasized Flaherty's excellent curveball, which generated a 43.6% whiff rate, as well as his effectiveness in pounding the strike zone with his fastball. These strengths create considerable betting value for Flaherty against a weak White Sox lineup.

Jimmie Kaylor highlighted the favorable betting situation for the Detroit Tigers, emphasizing their strong motivation playing their first home game of the season at Comerica Park. After bouncing back from being swept by the Dodgers, the Tigers won two of three games against Seattle, demonstrating improved batting form with a solid .269 team batting average. Leading hitter Riley Greene (.296 batting average, two home runs) and starting pitcher Jack Flaherty, who pitched 5.2 innings with just two earned runs and five strikeouts against the Dodgers, strengthen Detroit's case as hefty moneyline favorites at -253, which Kaylor implies could offer solid betting value despite the steep odds.

DraftCheat strongly recommends Skubal as a top pitching choice in DFS today in Seattle, given his swing-and-miss skills and an already high strikeout prop of 7.5. Despite an average opening start, DraftCheat is highly encouraged by reports of Skubal experiencing increased velocity and better-than-usual graded pitch data from his first outing. Against a strikeout-prone Seattle lineup in pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, DraftCheat considers Skubal an excellent DFS choice despite high ownership expectations at his $10,000 price tag.

JD Bets highlights Tarik Skubal's consistency and high pitching volume, noting his career average around 18.6 pitching outs per outing. Although Skubal started slowly in his first game this season with just 15 outs, JD attributes that to easing him in. JD predicts Skubal will pitch deeper into this game. He also pointed out Luis Castillo's struggles with earned runs and expects Detroit's offense, despite being generally weak, to capitalize here. Given Skubal's reliability and Castillo's vulnerability, JD confidently suggests backing the Detroit Tigers moneyline at minus 118 as the best play.

Jimmy Adams advocated betting on Tarik Skubal and the Tigers today, emphasizing Skubal's motivation after giving up four runs against the potent Dodgers lineup in his first start. Adams dismissed that outing as understandable, given Los Angeles' strength, and spotlighted Skubal's elite pitching metrics, notably ranking in the 100th percentile in pitching run value last season and winning the AL Cy Young. Adams considers him an ideal 'bet-on' pitcher today, especially against a Mariners offense that has struggled to produce runs, scoring two or fewer in four of their first six games, including just one run yesterday. Adams sees outstanding betting value in backing Skubal at a reasonable price against Seattle.