Chris Welsh said Tyler Glasnow once again looks like the borderline ace you pay up for. In his first start back he limited Milwaukee to one unearned run over 5.0 innings, allowing just four hard-hit balls while striking out five. Welsh highlighted the 96.8 mph average fastball (up roughly 1.5 mph year-over-year), a full 85-pitch workload and a pitch mix that featured both sinker and slider for strikes. Because many managers still view Glasnow as "injury-prone," Welsh believes the trade cost remains discounted and advised acquiring him now before two more tune-ups push his perceived value back into the clear top-15 SP range for the stretch run.

Francis grabbed the Dodgers at plus odds despite their six-game losing streak. He argued that chances to get LA at plus money are rare, the public will overreact to recent form, and the lineup is too talented to stay cold even against Giants ace Logan Webb.

Pisapia laid out a simple two-part case for backing the Dodgers ‑1.5 runs at roughly ‑102. First, Tyler Glasnow comes off the IL and immediately gives Los Angeles a massive pitching edge. Second, the club is desperate to avoid a three-game sweep, creating maximum urgency for Dave Roberts to deploy high-leverage relievers if the game is close late. Pisapia expects the Dodgers’ offense to give Glasnow cushion against a tired opposing bullpen and sees a multi-run victory as the most likely script.

Malcom Bamford saw the Dodgers listed at –115 with Clayton Kershaw on the hill and did not overthink it. Los Angeles is averaging 1.3 runs per game above the posted total and has cashed the run line in 62 % of contests. Kershaw comes in fresh off his 3,000-strikeout milestone, while rookie Jacob Misiorowski is still finding his footing after being knocked around by the Mets last start. Bamford trusts the Dodgers’ elite offense against a Brewers bullpen that has slipped to a 4.32 ERA over the past ten. He also reminded listeners that Misiorowski opened at a juicy underdog price in his debut, then swung to an inflated favorite in his second start and immediately got tagged—evidence the market may still be overrating him. With the better lineup, superior pen and Hall-of-Fame arm, Bamford called –115 ‘a gift’ and backed LA to win outright.

Although not an official wager, The Bettor Mark said he has a "weird feeling" the Dodgers jump on Brewers rookie Jacob Mizorowski and cash the −115 moneyline or their team-total OVER. Mizorowski’s ERA ballooned in his last start after giving up more hits in one game than in his previous three combined. Mark respects Milwaukee’s recent offensive surge but notes the Dodgers still own a top-5 wRC+ versus fastballs—the pitch Mizorowski throws 63% of the time. With Clayton Kershaw steady on the other side and L.A. undervalued because of mediocre road splits, he believes bettors will see closing money push the Dodgers closer to −130.

Eric Lindquist recommended backing the Dodgers on the moneyline against Milwaukee. He likes Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s ability to neutralize a Brewers lineup that suddenly lacks thump now that Reese Hoskins has hit the 10-day IL. Lindquist stressed that Milwaukee’s remaining core—Christian Yelich, William Contreras, and Brice Turang—puts the ball on the ground (average launch angle under 10°) and owns below-average barrel rates, which plays right into Yamamoto’s elite splitter/curveball mix. Conversely, Freddie Peralta has allowed a 9.7% barrel rate and an 18.5° launch angle this season, numbers Lindquist sees as a nightmare versus a Dodgers order that will now feature Miguel Vargas nearly every day alongside the usual lefty power of Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman. With the roof expected to be open at American Family Field—turning the park into what Milwaukee locals call a "sauna"—Lindquist expects the ball to carry for Los Angeles, giving the Dodgers both the pitching and hitting edge.

Rockford made L.A. a –150 favorite and happily laid –140 behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Japanese ace looks locked-in again, allowing just one total run his last two outings and only two earned across his past three road starts. Freddy Peralta, by contrast, has surrendered multiple runs in three straight and now faces a Dodgers lineup that still scored in a tough Houston series. Milwaukee’s offense worries Rockford even more—just a .227 average and 3.89 runs per game at American Family Field. He also likes the game under (projected 7.5) but the primary bet is Dodgers moneyline, expecting Yamamoto to win a low-scoring duel.

Kenny G advised laying –180 with the Dodgers against Houston even though Ben Casparius is making a bullpen start. He pointed to the Dodgers leading MLB in every major offensive category and averaging five-plus runs despite admitting they “haven’t even been hitting that well.” Lance McCullers Jr. brings a 6.61 ERA and back-to-back meltdowns (vs Cubs, vs White Sox), while the Astros lineup is merely league-average (18th in runs, 14th in OBP) and now faces the best offense in baseball in a park where LA is 32-14. Kenny respects Houston’s top-three bullpen but expects the Dodgers to build a cushion early and sees LA’s 28-16-2 home over trend as another sign runs—and a home win—are likely. He stopped short of labeling it his lock of the day but still called Dodgers ML his preferred wager.

Dylan Rockford locked in the Dodgers team-total over, projecting at least six runs. He argued that rookie opener Sean Burke has shown little swing-and-miss stuff and will be backed by a White Sox bullpen he called "whatever they trot out there," a unit that already ranks bottom-five in MLB ERA. With the full-game total sitting at 9, Rockford expects the Dodgers’ number to open around 5.5 and believes their top-three wRC+ offense clears it comfortably. He sees no realistic path for Chicago’s arms to suppress Los Angeles for nine innings and prefers isolating the Dodgers’ bats instead of laying the heavy money line.

Bamford advised a "little ladder" on the Dodgers’ team total, starting at 6.5/7.0 and adding alternate overs. L.A. has scored 6.5 runs per game while winning Clayton Kershaw’s last five starts and averages 6.18 runs per game at Dodger Stadium overall. Spot starter Sean Burke owns a 5.82 road ERA and now hands the ball to MLB’s 29th-ranked bullpen by FIP. Bamford expects Kershaw to keep Chicago’s anemic lineup quiet, creating maximum plate appearances for a Dodgers offense that already posts 7.2 runs per game against sub-.500 clubs. He projected double-digit runs for L.A. if Burke exits early.

Kenny G called Over 8.5 the best look in the Dodgers-White Sox nightcap. He trusts Los Angeles’ league-leading offense (first in runs, OBP, AVG, and SLG) to carry most of the load against Shane Smith, who owns a 3.38 ERA but was crushed in back-to-back starts versus St. Louis and Arizona. Chicago’s bullpen is a serviceable 4.10 ERA yet figures to be stretched because Smith rarely works deep. The White Sox lineup is MLB’s worst—29th in runs, 30th in AVG and OBP—so Kenny is not counting on them for much, but he noted the Dodgers’ own pen sports a shaky 4.24 ERA that could allow a couple of late runs to nudge the game over the number. LA is 28-14-2 to the over at home, while Interleague visitors Chicago are 25-14-2 to the under on the road, creating a clash Kenny expects the Dodgers’ bats to resolve. For more aggressive bettors, he mentioned the -1.5 run line but emphasized the total as the cleaner play.

Just A Bet Outside recommended betting Yoshinobu Yamamoto's strikeout over against the White Sox. Chicago carries the 10th-highest K-rate against right-handed pitching (22.9%), and Yamamoto has piled up 101 strikeouts across 89.2 innings. His most recent start was clipped by a rain delay, yet he still fanned six hitters on roughly 50 pitches—good pace for double-digits under normal conditions. Even with a quieter 23.6% K-rate in June, the rookie still posts a 27.2% mark at home and a 29.7% rate versus lefties, both favorable against a Sox lineup loaded with left-handed swing-and-miss. The tout projects seven or more punch-outs, making the over on his strikeout line a priority play.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the Dodgers on the money line, arguing that even with Shohei Ohtani limited to opener duties, Los Angeles’ star-studded lineup should overwhelm a Royals club stuck in an offensive slump. The Dodgers have reeled off wins "with ease" and hold a 6-4 recent edge in the series, whereas Kansas City’s lone bright spot is Seth Lugo’s 2.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. The tout decided the roster talent gap outweighs Lugo’s steadiness, especially given the Royals’ bottom-tier production at the plate during a brutal stretch.

Martin highlighted a massive offensive mismatch, calling Kansas City “the coldest lineup in baseball” while the Dodgers remain a top-tier attack. Royals lefty Chris Bubik owns a shiny 2.10 ERA overall, but Martin noted that stronger offenses – the Yankees among them – have squared him up, whereas he’s padded numbers against weaker bats. Provided L.A. isn’t laying an exorbitant number, Martin expects the Dodgers’ lineup to get to Bubik early and would look to play Los Angeles on the moneyline (or in parlays) over the ice-cold Royals.

Reichel grabbed the under 10 runs in Dodgers-Royals despite a nine-mph wind blowing out to left. Kansas City has scored fewer than three runs in five straight, and he sees little reason for a breakout against Shohei Ohtani (likely opening for one inning) and a rested Dodgers bullpen. Lugo has quietly kept the ball in the yard (0.9 HR/9) and should avoid a Los Angeles explosion for the first couple of turns through the order. Reichel compared the setup to Friday’s Rays-Royals game—similar wind, same park—where Kansas City was blanked. He suggested a secondary angle of Royals team-total under but made the full-game under his official play, projecting something like 6-2 at most.

Martin felt the ‑158 number on Los Angeles was surprisingly cheap given the matchup. The 51-31 Dodgers have ripped off four straight victories and share the best record in baseball, while Kansas City owns the league’s coldest offense by weighted runs created plus over the past week and sits bottom-three for the season. The Royals have dropped five in a row and are just 18-31 against winning teams. Seth Lugo has been serviceable, but Shohei Ohtani will open for an inning or two before Los Angeles hands the ball to its deep pen and lethal lineup. With those edges in pitching depth and offensive firepower, Martin urged bettors to swallow the juice on the Dodgers.

Mark played the Dodgers ‑1.5 at even money and suggested sprinkling Ohtani to record the win if books post it. The Dodgers have covered the run line in four of five, while Kansas City has lost six straight and cashed just two of those six run-line tickets. Ohtani’s unfamiliarity to the Royals’ lineup (no prior meetings in interleague play) and L.A.’s league-best +95 run differential in games started by left-handers make the spot attractive.

Drew Martin advised laying up to -132 with the Dodgers in Kansas City, continuing the show’s profitable one-week fade of the Royals. Rookie left-hander Noah Cameron owns a shiny 2.00 ERA but just 34 strikeouts in 47 innings and was tattooed for six earned by the Yankees, suggesting his soft-contact luck is primed to regress against an LA lineup that is 50-31 and 8-2 over its last ten games. Dustin May has logged consecutive quality starts (six innings, three earned each) and faces a Kansas City offense Martin has labeled his "fade city" target. Expecting LA’s bats to punish the low-K rookie while May controls a scuffling lineup, Martin endorsed Dodgers -132.

Bill Harrelson advised taking Freddie Freeman under 1.5 total bases. Freeman owns just two total bases over his last five games and has failed to reach two bases in 9 of his past 10 and 17 of his past 20 (85% under clip). On the full season he is under 56% of the time and was at 54% last year, so the recent drought is an acceleration of a longer-term trend. The matchup exacerbates things: Freeman’s average climbs from .262 versus left-handed pitching compared to .310 overall, and he draws Kansas City left-hander Nick Cameron, whose opponents are hitting .182 overall and a microscopic .154 when batting left-handed (54 lefty plate appearances). Books are leaning the same way—DraftKings –145, No-Vig equivalent –134, Caesars –130—all shading the under. Harrelson summed it up: massive cold streak, negative handedness split, elite opposing pitcher versus lefties, and unanimous sportsbook juice equals a strong fade.

Perrault paired the Dodgers moneyline with other legs in a parlay but said he would play Los Angeles straight as well, projecting a 7-3 Dodger win in Kansas City. He expects Dustin May to rebound from recent road troubles (5.94 ERA away from Dodger Stadium) against a Royals lineup that rarely tops three runs and has provided rookie left-hander Noah Cameron virtually no support—just five total runs in Cameron’s last three outings. Kansas City’s bullpen can keep totals low, yet Perrault believes the Dodgers’ league-best 30-14 road record and 120 wRC+ versus lefties will be too much. With L.A. sending May and getting into a soft middle of the Royals pitching staff, Perrault called it a comfortable Dodgers moneyline play.

The tout laid the run line with Los Angeles, citing a cavernous talent gap. Clayton Kershaw has allowed two or fewer runs in five of his last six starts and the Dodgers have won four of his last five. Austin Gomber, meanwhile, is fresh off a nine-run drubbing and owns a 5.89 career ERA versus L.A. Offensively, the Dodgers lead MLB with a .802 OPS and 125 homers; Colorado ranks 25th (.677 OPS) and 23rd in long balls. L.A. has swept all four meetings this season and covered three of the four spreads. With the Rockies just 8-30 at Coors, Cash Out Sports Picks expects another easy Dodgers cover.

Kenny G wants action on the Dodgers but refuses to lay the –295 moneyline, so he advised taking LA –1.5 instead. Clayton Kershaw looks "like his old self," riding a 3-0 record and 3.31 ERA while allowing three or fewer earned in five straight starts (Dodgers 4-1). Opposite him is Austin Gomber, who followed a six-scoreless debut with a 12-hit, nine-run implosion and now sports an 8.38 ERA. Colorado’s bullpen (4.65 ERA, fifth-worst) offers no safety net, and the lineup ranks bottom-five in runs, average (.229) and OBP (.292). LA, meanwhile, leads MLB in every major offensive category—first in runs, average (.265), OBP (.340) and slugging (.462). Kenny did flag the Dodgers’ own 4.32 bullpen ERA as a minor sweat and cautioned they might "take the foot off the gas" while going for a sweep, but the talent gap is so large he still expects a multi-run cushion. Because the run line chops the price down to a palatable range and LA has covered –1.5 in both games of the series (9-7, 8-1), Kenny made Dodgers –1.5 his preferred wager, calling anything on the full –295 moneyline “too rich for a daily card.”

Just A Bet Outside pointed out that Freddie Freeman owns Austin Gomber, going 6-for-14 with two homers in their previous meetings. With Gomber again on the hill for Colorado, the host called Freeman one of the seven strongest batter-vs-pitcher edges on the slate, recommending him for hitter parlays, home-run props, and DFS lineups built around Dodgers left-handed power.

Pages (transcribed as Pahez) was flagged for his 2-for-3 (.667) line and homer against Austin Gomber plus a nine-of-10 game hit streak. The tout views him as a high-upside yet inexpensive addition to hit parlays in Colorado.

Betts draws the same Gomber matchup and is 3-for-7 (.429) with a homer in prior meetings. He’s hit safely in seven of 10, giving bettors another reliable single-hit leg in the thin Denver air according to It's The Final Round.

The tout listed Ohtani as a preferred hitter at Coors Field against Austin Gomber. Ohtani is 3-for-8 (.375) with a homer off Gomber and has registered at least one hit in seven of his last 10 — 15 of his last 19 overall. Altitude plus favorable BvP lands Ohtani on the hit-prop card.

Kenny G conceded that a –320 moneyline is unplayable but still endorsed Dodgers –1.5 at Coors Field. LA’s offense tops MLB in every slash category and has exploded for 22 runs across the last two games. Rookie Chase Dollander (2-7, 6.19 ERA) now has to face Mookie, Ohtani and Freeman at altitude, while Colorado’s lineup is 27th in runs and dead last in OBP. Yoshinobu Yamamoto owns a 2.76 ERA and, despite LA being 0-4 in his last four starts, Kenny expects a bounce-back against a team he has yet to see. The Rockies bullpen is nearly as bad as the rotation (4.63 ERA), and their home record is a league-worst 8-29. Even with the Dodgers’ own 4.26 pen, Kenny thinks an early cushion and talent gap make the run line the only sensible angle.

Eric Lindquist warned that Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s fastball is down a half-tick and his breaking stuff has lost 1.5 mph, a red flag given last year’s injury history with Dodgers pitchers. Although Colorado carries the second-highest K-rate versus righties, Lindquist still labeled the Rockies a live dog at +265 because sustained velo loss often precedes either reduced effectiveness or an IL stint. He is not stacking Rockies props, but from a straight moneyline perspective he is willing to sprinkle on Colorado at the current price, arguing that the betting market is still treating Yamamoto as 100 % when the underlying data suggests otherwise.

It’s The Final Round said Teoscar Hernandez is an easy add to any hit-parlay tonight. The matchup is rookie right-hander Chase Dollander, who has been carved up by righties over his last three appearances, surrendering a .474 average. Dollander leans heavily on a four-seam fastball (50 % usage) that has yielded a .317 average, four homers and 13 hits in just 41 opponent at-bats. Hernandez has been productive against that exact pitch profile this year, posting 15 hits and three bombs on 51 four-seam fastballs (.294 AVG). He has recorded at least one hit in nine of his past 11 games, so the host expects Hernandez to keep the streak going and even hinted he could make the home-run card as well.

Echoing Bamford, Lonte Smith advised betting every angle of the Dodgers’ offense—FIRST-THREE, FIRST-FIVE, and full-game team totals—against German Marquez’s extreme contact profile in a ballpark where "the ball flies." Los Angeles has topped its closing team-total number in every game of the series to date and is a perfect 4-0 to the team-total OVER when playing at Coors this season. Marquez’s ground-ball rate has dipped from 51% pre-injury to 44% in his two rehab starts, a red flag in Denver. Smith likes the flexibility of splitting wagers across early innings to reduce late-inning variance while still keeping a piece of the inevitable bullpen meltdown if Colorado’s pen inherits traffic. He plans to plug LAD TT into parlays but will also attack the alt-lines for plus-money.

With German Marquez returning from Tommy John and Los Angeles still undecided on a starter, Malcom Bamford ignored the side and grabbed DODGERS TEAM TOTAL OVER (expecting 5.5 or 6). L.A. has averaged 6.1 runs per game at Coors Field across 2023-24 and faces a pitcher who is 9-5-1 to the OVER in Denver. Marquez has worked only two five-inning tune-ups since activation and historically owns a .320 opponent average and 1.37 HR/9 at altitude. Even if the Dodgers opt for a bullpen game, Bamford expects Dave Roberts to script two-inning stints that keep fresh bats in advantageous platoon spots all night. He called the matchup "one of those games where the line setters can’t hang a number high enough" and suggested layering full-game, first-five, and live team totals.

Eric Lindquist circled Max Muncy as Tuesday’s top long-ball ticket at Coors. Lindquist noted that Muncy’s strike-out rate has dropped to 22.3 % after sitting north of 30 % in April, a signal he is finally making more contact. He will face right-hander German Marquez, whose Statcast page is a mess – .295 xBA, 14.7 % K-rate and a 13-degree average launch angle that invites pulled fly balls. With Los Angeles now slotting Muncy fourth versus righties and forecasted mid-80s temps in Denver boosting carry, Lindquist is betting one well-barreled swing clears the short right-field fence. He is comfortable firing on any home-run number longer than +270 and called it a “lock-and-load” addition to his daily Lindy’s Long Balls card.

Even without a posted line, Kenny G said he will only consider the Dodgers at −1.5 on the run line in Colorado. He expects German Marquez (6.11 ERA) to regress after two fluky quality starts and reminded listeners that Marquez lasted just two-thirds of an inning and allowed seven earned the last time he faced L.A. back in April. The Rockies are a league-worst 18-60 overall and own MLB’s poorest offense, while the Dodgers’ bats continue to roll behind Shohei Ohtani and company. Given Colorado’s bullpen woes and Coors Field’s hitter-friendly environment, Kenny sees a multi-run victory as the safest way to attack the matchup.

Just A Bet Outside warned listeners that Walker Buehler is not in form and should be faded in betting markets. Buehler’s last outing in Seattle was disastrous: eight hits, eight earned runs, and four walks. The tout emphasized that getting rocked in the pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park is a red flag, and said, ‘Buehler just does not look good this year.’ Until the velocity and command return, Buehler unders on outs or earned-runs props and opposing team totals are in play.

Bettor Mark guaranteed the Dodgers’ team total would sail over versus the Nationals, even with Shohei Ohtani making only his second mound appearance. He expects Dave Roberts to cap Ohtani at 1–2 innings after a full workload as DH all series, forcing Los Angeles to lean on a bullpen that has already logged 11 innings this weekend. Washington counters with right-hander Jackson Rutledge’s 5.66 xERA, and Mark pointed out the Dodgers have topped their team total in seven of their last eight games following a loss. With a minus-300 money-line price offering no value, he views the TT over as the cleanest way to exploit the matchup and the Nats’ 5.05 bullpen ERA.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the chalk with L.A. on the run line. The Dodgers have won six of seven at home and face Michael Soroka, who has surrendered 11 runs in his last three road starts. Washington’s bullpen owns a bottom-three ERA, making it unlikely to survive against an offense that tops MLB in average, runs, and slugging. Shohei Ohtani is slated for only a couple innings, but the Dodgers’ rested bullpen ranks seventh in ERA and should protect a big lead.

Romanelli advised taking the Nationals at +1.5—and even sprinkling +2.5—because he cannot trust Shohei Ohtani on the mound yet. Ohtani’s lone pitching appearance this season lasted just one inning, yielding a run and three hard-hit balls, and he has logged zero rehab outings since. Ron worries about pitch count and command after only simulated work. While Mike Soroka’s surface ERA hovers above 5.00, his xERA and FIP are almost a full run lower, and he delivered a quality start two turns back before being nicked by a couple of mistake pitches in Colorado. If Soroka keeps the ball in the yard, Romanelli expects Washington’s lineup—top-10 in OBP against righties—to pressure a Dodgers bullpen that has carried a 4.50 ERA in June. All that made the Nationals runline his preferred play despite the star power on the other side.

Drew Martin plans to take the under on Shohei Ohtani’s strikeout prop against Washington. He reminded listeners that Ohtani is still building back from injury and did not get any minor-league rehab starts because the Dodgers want his bat in the lineup. In his first start back he threw just one inning with zero strikeouts, so Martin doubts he will be allowed to work deep enough Sunday to clear the inevitable lofty K number sportsbooks hang for a headline name. He recommends waiting until books post the prop closer to first pitch, then punching the under before it ticks down.

Razzle sees vintage flashes from Clayton Kershaw after two strong outings post-IL. Washington ranks 27th in ISO and has just a 6.5% walk rate against lefties, ideal for Kershaw’s command-first profile. His slider regained a 35% CSW last start, and the spacious Nationals Park suppresses homers. Razzle expects a 6-7 inning gem with strikeout upside, locking him in as a top-end pivot off Wheeler/Brown.

Malcolm Bamford is laying the –1.5 with Los Angeles, calling the matchup ‘like finding money in the street.’ Washington limps into Chavez Ravine on an 11-game losing streak that includes series defeats to the Marlins, Pirates and Rockies. Manager David Martinez publicly blasted his roster mid-week, a sign Bamford interprets as clubhouse turmoil. On the mound, Clayton Kershaw carries a pristine 2.16 ERA for June, while counterpart MacKenzie Gore draws a powerhouse Dodger lineup that historically mashes left-handers. Bamford projected a 7-1 final and noted the run line is still plus-money (+105), making it his preferred way to attack a game where the money-line sits near –200.

Kenny G expects Los Angeles to win comfortably and would rather play the –1.5 run line than swallow a –200 moneyline. Clayton Kershaw owns a 3.25 ERA, has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings, and blanked the Giants over seven frames his last time out. The Dodgers are 4-1 in those starts and still lead MLB in runs scored. MacKenzie Gore continues to pitch well (2.89 ERA, no start over two earned runs in his last five) but gets zero help from a Nationals offense ranked 22nd in AVG/OBP and a bullpen that is second worst in ERA. Meanwhile, L.A. is 28-12 at Chavez Ravine and routinely punishes inferior pens late. With Kershaw in form, the league’s No. 1 offense, and Washington’s relief woes, Kenny prefers the safer run-line angle while noting over 8.5 is only a lukewarm lean given both starters’ quality.

Lindquist leaned toward the Dodgers moneyline even with Dylan Cease on the hill for San Diego after Cease dominated L.A. at Petco last week. He trusts the Dodgers’ elite offense more in the rematch at Chavez Ravine and noted rookie right-hander ‘Gasparious’ (Gavin Stone’s spot) has quietly earned his rotation turn with a 29.5 % hard-hit rate, sub-5 % walk rate and 26 % K-rate. Lindquist thinks Cease’s slider-heavy approach is less scary the second time through in a week and prefers backing the deeper Dodgers lineup at home at anything near a pick-em price.

Just A Bet Outside warned bettors not to chase Shohei Ohtani strikeout or outs props in his first MLB appearance on the mound since August 23, 2023. Dave Roberts has publicly stated Ohtani will be used strictly as an opener, and the tout projects no more than two innings (roughly 35–40 pitches). With such a limited workload, any traditional pitcher markets—Ks, outs recorded, or win odds—are heavily capped. He recommends passing on all Ohtani pitcher props and fading DFS ownership, treating the two-way star as nothing more than a novelty arm in this spot.

Scott Reichel laid the –1.5 run line with the Dodgers, calling it a classic regression spot for Dylan Cease. Cease is winless on the road (0-3, 5.65 ERA) and has allowed at least three earned in each of his last three away starts. Although he blanked L.A. last week, Reichel pointed to Cease’s five walks that outing and the tendency for hitters to adjust in a quick rematch. Los Angeles averages a league-best 6.22 runs per game at Chavez Ravine and owns a 27-9 home record, while San Diego has dropped seven of ten and just suffered a bullpen implosion Sunday. Even if L.A. opts for a bullpen game, Reichel trusts its deeper relief corps and elite lineup to win comfortably, pricing Dodgers –1.5 at –110 as value.

Kenny G prefers taking the Giants at +150 over laying –178 with Clayton Kershaw, arguing the market is still pricing the 37-year-old like peak Kershaw. The left-hander is fresh off a five-inning, one-run effort against St. Louis, but Kenny emphasized that Kershaw has not topped six innings all season and that exposes bettors to a Dodgers bullpen carrying a 4.03 ERA. In contrast, San Francisco brings baseball’s best relief unit (2.51 ERA) and has locked down multiple comeback wins this month. Starter Landen Roupp has flashed a 3.29 ERA and already navigated tough lineups like Atlanta; Kenny expects five solid innings before turning it over to that shutdown pen. The Giants’ offense has woken up—posting 6, 7, 10, 6, 4, 3 and 5 runs in its last seven—while the Dodgers’ bats remain lethal but are priced into the line. Given Los Angeles’ 22-12 to the over record at home, Kenny could see a case for a total play but believes the sharper angle is riding the superior bullpen at a juicy dog price. He labelled San Francisco a “significant lean” and a better investment than trusting Kershaw to defy age for a full night.

Guy Boston Sports recommended Dodgers TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 runs despite Landon Rupp’s recent surge. He noted Rupp’s worst start of 2025 came last time out and expects at least some regression as he enters Dodger Stadium with 75-degree temps and a breeze blowing out. Los Angeles has scored 5-plus in 60 % of its home games and a staggering 64 % when facing right-handed pitching. Clayton Kershaw’s shorter outings lately could expose a middling LA bullpen, so backing the offense directly avoids late-inning variance. The tout added that San Francisco’s relief corps may be tired after heavy usage Friday, increasing the chances LA tags the pen if Rupp survives the first trip through. With the Dodgers coming off a loss and owning clear lineup superiority, he prefers TT-over 4.5 at standard juice and would consider an F5 run-line play if books hang –130 or better.

In a late audible, Guy Boston Sports added OVER 0.5 strikeouts for Michael Conforto at –150. Conforto has recorded at least one K in 42 of 62 games this year (68%), despite a recent 4-for-10 stretch. The tout pointed to pitch-type data: Conforto owns a staggering 44.4% strikeout rate versus curveballs and 24% versus sinkers. Landon Rup deploys those two offerings as his primary weapons, making the matchup ideal. Season-long whiff metrics (25.4% overall K-rate, .279 wOBA against Rup’s arsenal) outweigh the hitter’s modest recent improvement. Even with only a 40% cash rate over the last 10 games, the tout believes Rup’s pitch mix and Conforto’s susceptibility create solid value at the current juice.

Guy Boston Sports recommended UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs for Michael Conforto at –140 on DraftKings. Conforto has failed to clear this line in 7 of his last 10 outings (0.9 H+R+RBI per game) and in 42 of 62 overall this season (68%, 1.13 per game). At home, he is even colder, staying under in four of the past five with only 0.4 combined events per game. The tout highlighted Conforto’s .172 AVG and 77.6 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, numbers that sink further to .156 AVG and 68.8 wRC+ versus Landon Rup’s pitch mix (heavy curveball/sinker). Rup’s splits versus left-handed bats show reduced AVG, HR/9, and wOBA allowed, reinforcing the fade. With the Dodgers’ lineup scuffling (6-2 loss last night) and Conforto profiling poorly against both pitch types he’ll see most, the tout expects another quiet night at the plate.

The Bettor Mark locked in Dodgers over 4.5 runs at –125, framing it as a classic bounce-back spot after LA mustered only two hits in Friday’s 6-2 loss to Logan Webb. With Clayton Kershaw on the mound Saturday, the Dodgers are –174 favorites, but Mark prefers the team-total angle to avoid laying a heavy moneyline. He expects the offense to "get back to hitting the baseball at home very well" against a Giants staff that will not have Webb’s elite command on short rest. In his view, if the Dodgers win—as he anticipates—they do so by lighting up the scoreboard, making the over 4.5 a better value than the moneyline.

Just A Bet Outside recommended locking in Freddie Freeman for DFS lineups because of his strong history against Giants ace Logan Webb. Freeman is 14-for-37 lifetime (.378) versus Webb, the best mark among Dodgers highlighted. The host noted that Betts (10-for-29) and Muncy (9-for-27) also hit Webb well, but Freeman’s sample is both the largest and most productive, making him the preferred high-salary Dodger in cash builds and stacks.

The tout noted Shohei Ohtani’s 4-for-11 (.364) history versus Logan Webb and his nine hits over the last ten games, calling it another strong "record a hit" angle for bettors.