Kenny G was willing to lay the –175 with Minnesota, hinting it could become his ‘massive lock of the day.’ His conviction centers on Joe Ryan’s consistency (6-2, 2.91 ERA) and the Twins’ 18-9 record at Target Field. While Ryan did allow four earned to Oakland last time out, Kenny dismissed it as a blip in an otherwise dominant stretch. In contrast, Bowden Francis enters with a 5.84 ERA and fresh off a seven-run implosion in Philadelphia, and Kenny doubts the right-hander lasts deep enough for Toronto’s excellent bullpen (3.27 ERA, 5th best) to matter. Minnesota’s own relief unit sports a 3.38 ERA, and both clubs trend under in these splits (16-11-1 each), so Kenny leans under 8.5 but prefers the safer moneyline play. He acknowledged the Jays’ recent 9-1 run but cited their 12-16 road mark and still-middling run production (16th) as reasons they are due for regression. With the Twins possessing both the better starter and home-field dominance, Kenny is comfortable paying the juice rather than chasing the run line.