Dana Lane advised grabbing the Athletics +1.5 runs at –131 despite 90 % of early tickets riding Toronto’s money-line. Lane noted that left-hander Jeffrey Springs has quietly settled in after the Jays shelled him for six earned back in mid-May, posting a 2-2 record with a 2.76 ERA and holding opponents to three or fewer earned runs in all seven outings since. Oakland has rewarded run-line backers in three straight and four of its last five, while Toronto’s shiny 11-of-13 straight-up surge hides a 6-7 ATS mark over that span. With the market overwhelmingly on the road favorite, Lane is fading the public and taking the extra run with a resurgent Springs and a quietly profitable A’s club.

Chris Welsh advised fantasy managers to scoop up Lawrence Butler immediately, expecting another trademark July-August tear. Welsh reminded listeners that Butler was a "stud" during those exact two months last year and is already heating up with two homers and three runs scored against Atlanta. What really impressed Welsh is that Butler is doing it without selling out for pull power: only one true pull-side homer all season and an 11 percent pull rate, yet he is still posting premium hard-hit numbers. With the weather warming in Sacramento (the A’s Triple-A affiliate location where Butler historically torches pitching) and no obvious playing-time threat on Oakland’s big-league roster, Welsh sees a perfect window to buy before the rest of the market prices in another mid-summer binge.

Rockford scooped Oakland at +115, asking “who’s still backing the Braves?” Bryce Elder owns a 5.92 ERA, has surrendered four-plus earned in four consecutive starts, walked seven over his last two, and coughed up six homers in his last three outings. Mitch Spence is no ace, but his 4.06 ERA and above-average ground-ball rate give him a clear edge. The ball carries at Sutter Health Park, where the A’s slash .261/.333/.419, and Atlanta’s lineup has cratered to 3.2 runs per game since June 15. With Oakland 25-19 to the over at home and Atlanta hemorrhaging value as a brand-name road favorite, Rockford sees the A’s as mis-priced; he would play them down to +105.

Eric Lindquist circled Brent Rooker’s home-run prop and would bet anything north of +255 despite Tuesday’s bomb likely shortening the price. He’s attacking Bryce Elder’s 0.530 expected slugging, 47.4 % hard-hit rate, and 10.7 % barrel rate—numbers that stay red across both lefties and righties. Rooker’s own batted-ball profile (19 ° average launch angle, 15 % barrel) perfectly leverages Elder’s low-whiff, sinker-heavy approach, and Truist Park’s summer weather adds extra carry. Lindquist warned Atlanta occasionally deploys an opener, but with Oakland essentially mailing in the season he expects Spence straight up, giving Rooker at least two cracks at Elder. He set his fair odds at +255, anything longer is “fire it.”

Malcom Bamford is done waiting on Atlanta’s offense and happily laid –112 with Oakland. The Braves have dropped three straight series and were just swept by Baltimore, managing two runs or fewer in six of their last eight. Didier Fuentes has not made it past the fourth inning in any of his recent starts, and Bamford notes the show has cashed multiple tickets fading him. By contrast, Jeffrey Springs has led Oakland to victories in three of his last four turns and owns a 3.18 ERA over that span. With the Athletics slugging well at home and Atlanta’s lineup still MIA, Bamford refused to back the Braves at any price and took Oakland to win outright.

Ron Pick Dawgz is rolling with Oakland as a home underdog. He detailed how Didier Fuentes has struggled at the major-league level and now pitches in one of the league’s more hitter-friendly parks, giving the A’s a tangible edge early. Jeffrey Springs has won three of his last four starts and owns strong recent peripherals. Importantly, Ron highlighted Atlanta’s severe drop-off versus lefties over the past month—23rd in team OPS, 29th in ISO, with an elevated strikeout rate—making Springs a favorable matchup. Expecting 5–6 effective innings from Springs and early damage against Fuentes, Ron labeled the Athletics money line his play.

Drew Martin took the Oakland Athletics at –105 in the series opener. He emphasized that Atlanta’s offense has cratered to bottom-10 status and the club is 2-8 in its last 10 games, more than 10 below .500 overall. Rookie Dieter Fuentes fills an injury-ravaged Braves rotation and owns a 9.00 ERA, surrendering 18 hits and 12 runs in 12 innings. Oakland counters with Jeffrey Springs, who has spun a 2.20 ERA over his last four starts—including quality outings versus Tampa Bay and Detroit. The A’s are a top-10 lineup over the past week and above-average on the season, giving them edges both on the mound and at the plate. Martin called this a "fade city" spot on Atlanta and fired on the hotter Athletics at a pick’em price.

It's The Final Round targeted Lawrence Butler to tally a hit versus Atlanta rookie Didier Fuentes. Fuentes has made three big-league starts, reaching five innings only once and giving up six hits and four earned runs in that outing. Scouts noted good control but minimal pitch movement, and left-handed batters are punishing him for a .360 average. Butler, a lefty, is swinging well—five hits in five games last week (.313) and a .268 season average against right-handers compared to .194 versus southpaws. Expect Butler to cash his hit prop early, and pairing him with Juan Soto yields even-money odds on most books.

Brad Pick Dawgz played the A’s team total over 4.5. His reasoning: San Francisco starts Mason Birdsong, "who just hasn’t been great this season," and the park is one of the more hitter-friendly environments in MLB. Oakland has cashed this exact number in five of its last six contests, and Brad sees no reason the hot bats cool off against a struggling arm.

Lonte Smith said to lay the –1.5 with San Francisco and give the full-game Over a look because Luis Severino simply cannot keep the ball in the park at the Coliseum. Severino has surrendered multiple home runs in three of his last five home starts and carries a 7.38 ERA in Oakland this year. Smith conceded that Logan Webb is never elite on the road, but his 3.81 away ERA is the best of his career and the Giants have averaged 5.2 runs of support in his last six road turns. Webb’s high contact profile (6-plus hits allowed in seven of his last eight outings) actually helps the Over, but Smith expects most of the damage to come from a Giants lineup that should feast on a pitcher who has given up 15 earned runs in his last three home appearances. He is comfortable laying up to –120 on the run line and will bet the total at nine or lower.

Scott Reichel singled out Brent Rooker’s home-run prop as his favorite dart for Friday’s Bay Bridge matchup. Reichel admitted Justin Verlander is not an extreme gopher-ball pitcher but stressed that the veteran’s stuff no longer misses many bats, giving up plenty of loud contact while still searching for his first win of the season. The Coliseum’s weather is expected to play much warmer than usual, and Rooker brings the A’s most legitimate power bat with a 13.5% barrel rate since June 1. With Verlander’s average fastball velocity down nearly a tick, a fly-ball-leaning profile (38% FB rate) and a Giants bullpen that has already surrendered 14 homers in its last 20 games, Reichel believes Rooker has multiple cracks at taking one deep. He recommended betting Rooker “to hit a HR” at anything +500 or better rather than laying a steep Oakland moneyline, calling it the best way to monetize Verlander’s continued struggles.

Scott Reichel wants the Athletics as likely home underdogs against Justin Verlander. The Giants are 0-5 in Verlander’s starts this year and have dropped eight of the last ten he’s appeared in. Verlander’s strikeout rate is down, he allows plenty of contact, and he rarely works deep into games. JP Sears enters off 5⅔ scoreless at Yankee Stadium, and while his home ERA is an ugly 6.68, Reichel believes the market will still over-price Verlander’s name value. With Oakland returning from a 4-5 road trip and facing a San Francisco club stuck in poor form, he projects the A’s closer to +100 than the likely +120/+125 opener and will grab the value early.

Brad targeted the A’s team total over 4.5 runs because the neutral-site Sacramento ballpark has played as a launching pad. Justin Verlander usually works in pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, but this start comes in a much smaller, offense-heavy venue. Brad expects the Athletics to jump Verlander early and push at least five across in what he views as a drastic park-factor swing favoring hitters.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Athletics money-line as sizeable underdogs. He pointed out starter Joey Spence’s terrific June (25 H, 8 ER over 26.2 IP) and an even better 2.31 ERA with a .211 opponent average across 35 road innings. Meanwhile, Tampa has dropped games recently despite Ryan Pepiot’s solid 3.36 ERA and 1.15 WHIP, so the tout thinks the market is over-valuing a slumping Rays club. The combination of Spence’s form and Oakland’s sneaky win rate makes the A’s the value side.

Jay Yang said the Oakland Athletics are a live money-line underdog against Tampa Bay. His edge centers on the pitching matchup: Joey Spence (OAK) owns a 3.07 ERA over his last seven starts and has kept hitters off-balance by mixing speeds, which Yang believes will let him "limit damage" again. On the other side, Ryan Pepio (TB) has the better raw stuff but has shown early-inning volatility, including a shaky first inning the last time he faced Oakland. If the A's offense swings as well as it did versus the Yankees earlier in the week, Yang thinks Spence will keep them in striking distance and the plus odds create positive expected value. He therefore recommends taking the Athletics on the money line as his free pick.

Just A Bet Outside recommended looking at Jacob Lopez’s strikeout props despite the southpaw pitching on the road in Tampa. Lopez owns 55 Ks in 43 innings this season and has struck out six or more in four of his last five outings, recording exactly nine punch-outs in three of them. The host noted Tampa Bay’s lineup carries the seventh-highest K-rate against left-handers over the past three weeks (25.2%). While Lopez’s road strikeout rate (22%) lags behind his home mark (35.4%), that split is skewed by one zero-K dud in Toronto—the hardest team in baseball to whiff. In his two most recent road starts at Detroit and Kansas City he racked up nine and six strikeouts, respectively. With a 34.3% K-rate against lefties versus 27.7% against righties overall, the tout sees enough ceiling to attack the over again in this spot.

Razzle loves leveraging Jacob Lopez against Tampa Bay’s notorious struggles versus left-handers. Lopez has surrendered just one earned run over his last 23 innings, showing improved command and a whiff-heavy change-up. Walks and homers make him volatile, but at $5.8K he unlocks expensive stacks. The only hesitation is potential rain in St. Pete; if the radar clears, Lopez will be one of Razzle’s highest-owned lottery tickets.

Kenny G circled Oakland at +140 as a potential dog of the day. Left-hander Jacob Lopez has quietly found a groove, logging a 1.86 ERA over his last three starts (Athletics 3-0 in those games) and limiting Houston to one earned run across six innings his last time out. Detroit trots out Jack Flaherty, who has been rocked for 15 ER in his last 7 IP and owns a 4.83 season ERA. The normally reliable Tigers bullpen has ticked up to 3.81 ERA, while Oakland’s relief unit remains bottom-three—so Kenny expects runs late—but he trusts the A’s lineup that sits top-10 in slugging and 11th in batting average to give Lopez support. Given Flaherty’s current form, Kenny believes the +140 price is simply too generous to pass on the visiting Athletics.

Eric Lindquist’s favorite homer prop Wednesday is Max Muncy at Coors Field. Rockies starter Dahlinder (a rookie still "working through some things" per Lindquist) owns a 14.7 % barrel rate and a fastball graded "1" – the worst possible – yet throws that heater 50 % of the time at altitude. Even though the average launch angle he allows sits only around 11–12 degrees, the combination of low-quality velocity and the thin Denver air makes Muncy’s pull-side power profile extremely attractive. Lindquist is rerunning the bet after utilizing it Tuesday, explaining that the math still works as long as bettors maintain the same unit size.

Malcom Bamford agreed on a low-scoring script but chose the FIRST-FIVE UNDER instead of the full-game total to keep Oakland’s league-worst 5.94 bullpen ERA out of the equation. He cited Severino’s sparkling 0.93 road ERA and Skubal’s "untouchable" form as the key reasons the first five innings should stay quiet. Bamford noted that Detroit snapped a three-game skid Sunday and believes both starters can work clean frames before managers turn it over to volatile pens.

Romanelli took Oakland outright, simply fading a Cleveland lineup that ranks near the bottom of the majors in virtually every key metric versus southpaws over the past month. Jeffrey Springs nearly no-hit them in the series opener, and JP Sears gets a similar soft landing even after a rough 2025 season to date. Ron believes Sears will be "good enough" and that rookie Slate Sikoni is vulnerable to an A’s offense that’s been pesky at home.

Malcolm Bamford backed Brent Rooker to go yard against Tanner Bibee, noting the Guardians rookie has already surrendered 11 homers in just eight road starts and a 4.84 ERA away from Cleveland. Rooker, meanwhile, remains Oakland’s premier power threat with 19 bombs and a .570 slugging percentage versus right-handed pitching. Bamford said the A’s temporary Sacramento venue has played small all month and Friday’s forecast calls for a stiff breeze blowing out to left, further boosting Rooker’s chances. Given Bibee’s 1.6 HR/9 and Rooker’s penchant for punishing belt-high fastballs, Bamford expects sportsbooks to hang a generous +350 or better that he believes should be closer to +275.

Lonte Smith singled out Brent Rooker as his favorite long-ball bet for Thursday’s Astros–A’s matchup. Smith noted that Houston rookie Spencer Gordon, a left-hander, has been bitten by the gopher ball in two of his last three starts and owns an elevated 1.43 HR/9 on the season. Oakland Coliseum has quietly played homer-friendly in the warmer June weather, and Rooker has already taken advantage—he’s left the yard four times in his last three games, including two multi-homer efforts. Even during Oakland’s earlier slump Rooker’s barrel rate remained north of 15 percent, which Smith believes positions him perfectly to punish Gordon’s high spin four-seam that tends to leak over the inner third to right-handed hitters. With books dangling +425 or better, Smith is firing on Rooker to go deep and would sprinkle the two-plus-homers ladder given Gordon’s recent fly-ball spike.

Lonte Smith is grabbing the Athletics at roughly +115, pointing out that Oakland has quietly won four of five after ending its brutal skid. Starter Mitch Lopez (10 consecutive scoreless innings, 9-plus strikeouts in two of his last three) appears to have figured something out, while Houston’s rookie Spencer Gordon has allowed multiple homers in two of his last three turns and sports an elevated 1.43 HR/9. Even during their losing streak the A’s hit the ball hard, and Smith expects them to put traffic on Gordon early. He admitted Houston is 11 games over .500 and capable of winning in any style, but the Astros’ lineup has occasionally been homer-reliant, something the spacious Coliseum can mitigate. Because Oakland’s bullpen remains shaky he may sprinkle some over 10.5, yet the main play is a straight moneyline stab on a home dog that is swinging the bats well and facing a fly-ball pitcher with gopher-ball issues.

Kenny G admitted Jeffrey Spriggs and the Oakland bullpen are "not pretty," but he still prefers the Athletics at +140 over laying –165 with punch-less Kansas City. The Athletics’ lineup, while cooling, is still 13th in runs and 7th in batting average, and they have already taken the first two games of the set. By contrast, the Royals have dropped five in a row and rank 28th in scoring, 27th in slugging, and 26th in OBP, posting just nine total runs in their last six contests. Noah Cameron’s 2.17 ERA is impressive, yet he was shelled by the Yankees his last start, and Kenny worries Kansas City’s middling 3.45 bullpen ERA won’t protect a slim lead. Given the Royals’ 22-15 under record at home and the offense’s inability to create separation, Kenny is happy to grab the dog price and hope Oakland’s bats do just enough.

Kenny G recommended grabbing the Athletics at +134, arguing the Royals have no business laying –158 in their current funk. Oakland’s bullpen is a dumpster fire (ML-worst 6.11 ERA), but Kenny thinks Jacob Perez can keep them close long enough for the A’s sneaky-good lineup – 13th in runs, 9th in batting average, 10th in OBP – to do damage. Kansas City has dropped four straight and six of seven, and Michael Lorenzen’s 4.94 ERA looks worse once you discount his most recent start versus the anemic White Sox. The Royals’ offense ranks bottom-three in both runs and slugging and has produced 4, 0, 3, 2, 7, 1, 2 runs the past week. Even with a solid 3.45 bullpen ERA, Kenny thinks the slumping bats and a pricey money-line make KC fade material, noting Oakland’s 14-21 road record is still easier to stomach than paying chalk for a free-falling club.

Guy Boston Sports took Denzel Clark over 0.5 total bases at –155 on BetMGM. The rookie has cashed this in 7 of his last 10 games and 10 of 18 overall (56%), averaging 0.9 total bases per game. After opening the season 1-for-6 on the prop, he has hit in 9 of his last 12. Versus right-handed pitching—tonight’s matchup against Michael Lorenzen—Clark owns a .279 AVG and .550 BABIP (45 PA sample). Lorenzen is scuffling against righties with a 5.70 ERA, .276 AVG allowed and elevated slugging and extra-base percentages. Because the hits market is priced worse, the tout prefers the total-bases angle for the same outcome at a better number.

Eric Lindquist circled Nick Kurtz as a juicy home-run prop on Wednesday afternoon at Dodger Stadium. He wants anything better than +350 because the matchup checks every box: Kyle Hendricks owns just a 14.7% strikeout rate, lives at the top of the zone with a sinker that generates far more fly-balls than grounders, and will be pitching in daytime conditions before the Marine Layer settles in. Lindquist compared the bet to Tuesday’s identical number versus Jose Soriano—a ground-ball arm—and argued this spot is materially stronger because Hendricks gives hitters lift and does not miss bats. With Kurtz locked into the cleanup spot and LA’s stackable right-field power alley boosting left-handed pull shots, Lindquist views +350 as at least 40 cents short of fair value and is comfortable pairing the HR ticket with single-game DFS lineups that lean into Dodgers power.

It’s The Final Round recommended betting Jacob Wilson props (hits, total bases, HR/RBI) versus Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks has been crushed by righties in his last three starts (.385 AVG) and his primary sinker (40 % usage) is yielding a .327 opponent AVG. Wilson is sizzling: .531 AVG in 34 PA vs RHP over the last 10 days, hits in 9-of-10, over 1.5 total bases in 8-of-10 and multi-hit games in 7 of the last 9. By pitch type, Wilson owns a .388 AVG vs sinkers, .364 vs changeups (Hendricks’ No. 2 pitch at 36 % usage), .325 vs four-seamers and .500 vs curveballs (11 % usage). The tout called it a perfect storm of a faltering pitcher and a locked-in hitter, flagging Wilson as one of the best Wednesday player-prop spots on the board.

It's The Final Round backed Lawrence Butler in the same Angels–A’s matchup. Soriano has been even worse versus lefties (.342 BA allowed last three starts). Butler owns a .382 average vs right-handers across 40 PA in the past 10 days, clearing his hit prop, Hits+Runs+RBIs and 1.5 total bases in 9 of 10 and scoring in all 10. Seven of his last 10 have been multi-hit efforts, and his 35.2% launch-angle sweet-spot rate ranks 113th. Butler is 3-for-8 with a homer (.375) against Soriano. The tout likes all Butler hit-related overs Tuesday.

It's The Final Round said Jacob Wilson is one of Tuesday’s best prop targets. Jose Soriano has allowed right-handed hitters a .333 average his last three starts, while Wilson owns a .500 mark against righties over the past 10 days (38 PA) and has delivered a hit in 9 of those 10 games. He’s cashed 7/10 on 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs and 8/10 on 1.5 total bases, with multi-hit efforts in 7 of his last 8. Even with a modest 32.6% launch-angle sweet-spot rate (161st in MLB), Wilson is defying expectations and is 1-for-2 lifetime off Soriano. The tout recommended betting Wilson’s hits, total-bases or combo markets in Angels–A’s.

Just A Bet Outside recommended backing Lawrence Butler’s hitting props against Jose Soriano on Tuesday. Butler has at least one hit in 17 of his last 20 games and has cashed the 1.5-total-bases number in nine of his last ten. The rookie owns a .296 average, 149 wRC+, and .879 OPS versus right-handed pitching, compared with a .575 OPS against lefties, and he is already 3-for-8 with two extra-base knocks off Soriano. Given that platoon edge, Soriano’s modest strikeout profile, and Butler’s current heater, the tout likes the over 1.5 total bases and hits-runs-RBIs props, or simply using 1+ hit as a parlay anchor.

Kenny G leaned toward taking Oakland at +140, framing the game as much closer to a 50-50 proposition than the price implies. He admitted the A's 5.49 bullpen ERA is brutal, yet pointed to two factors that keep them live: (1) the lineup has finally woken up, hanging 7-3-8-5-9-4-7 runs in its last seven outings, and (2) Mitch Spence has been serviceable enough that a middling Angels offense should not run away with things. On the other side, Jose Soriano has been merely "okay, but not dominant" and an L.A. pen sitting 14th in ERA offers no clear edge. Ballpark splits reinforce the value angle—Oakland is 14-18 on the road but 15-12-5 to the over, suggesting variance, while the Angels are just 12-16 at home and trend 14-12-2 to the under, pointing to tighter games. With little conviction on the nine-run total and both clubs showing wide performance bands, Kenny thinks the plus money attached to Oakland is worth a small bet rather than laying ‑165 with an inconsistent favorite.

Lindquist tagged Brent Rooker as a LIKE for a home-run prop versus left-hander Yusei Kikuchi. He highlighted Kikuchi’s 16.5-degree average launch angle and long-running tendency to give up loud contact to hitters from both sides. Although Oakland’s park usually suppresses right-handed power, this game is at Angel Stadium, which is far more neutral and still friendly enough for Rooker’s pop. Despite a recent mini-slump, Rooker owns elite hard-hit metrics, and Lindquist believes the matchup plus park change make him too good a value to ignore at typical +450 to +500 HR odds.

It's The Final Round said Lawrence Butler is a go-to prop option against Zebby Matthews. Matthews has only three big-league appearances but is already surrendering a .310 average to left-handed bats and an ugly 38.9% sweet-spot launch angle that ranks 314th of 368 qualified pitchers. Butler is destroying right-handers over the last 10 days with a .435 average on 29 plate appearances and has cashed his single-hit prop in 8 of those 10 games. He has also cleared hits+runs+RBIs, runs, and total-bases props in at least 70% of that span. The tout plans to play whichever of those markets open at a reasonable juice (he drew the line at anything worse than –175), noting the matchup provides ceiling across the board.

Lonte Smith plans to attack the yet-to-be-lined Twins–Athletics matchup by taking Oakland in both the first-three and first-five innings behind Jeffrey Springs. Springs was torched for six earned his last time out but had allowed only seven total runs across his previous five starts and still flashes a swing-and-miss changeup that plays up early in games. Opposing rookie Zebby Matthews has been shaky—ten earned runs in his first three MLB outings and an 8.71 ERA the second time through the order—prompting Smith to fade him before Minnesota’s hot lineup can dig in a third time. The A’s are hitting .250 over their last ten and profile better versus right-handers, while Springs owns a 3.30 ERA the first two trips through a lineup despite a bloated 5.88 mark at home overall. Lonte expects Oakland to be leading 2-1 or 3-1 by inning five and prefers isolating the early frames to avoid the A’s shaky bullpen.

Zerillo grabbed Over 9.5 (would play Over 10 to –105) in Twins-A’s at Sutter Health Park, making the game 10.3 runs once he layers in hitter-friendly variables. Sacramento’s minor-league yard is already inflating power numbers and Tuesday brings 83-degree temps with a 10-mph breeze out to left. Umpire Alfonso Marquez is another boost; his career 53% over rate and +3% run-environment delta nudged Zerillo’s projection up almost a half-run. The pitching matchup screams offense too. Oakland opener/long-man Jacob Lopez owns no pitch above a 93 Stuff+ and carries a 3.90 xERA across two starts plus relief work; Stuff-model grades label him a “gas can.” He rarely tops five innings, meaning an early-door bullpen game for an A’s relief corps that ranks bottom-five in xFIP. On the other side, Pablo Lopez is surrendering more air contact than ever (ground-ball rate below 40%) and historically struggles in heat and humidity, evidenced by the homer spike he showed in Tampa. Zerillo believes the market is still hanging outdated 9.5s at a park whose totals routinely close 10. He will keep ‘banging the over’ until books adjust, recommending Over 9.5 to –120 or Over 10 to –105.

Romanelli leaned Twins moneyline because Oakland is rolling out Jacob Lopez, who was torched for seven runs in his last start and owns a 6.54 ERA over his past four. Even if Pablo Lopez coughs up a homer or two in homer-happy Sacramento, Minnesota’s lineup should feast on Jacob plus a bullpen ranking bottom-five in WHIP. The Twins carry a sizable late-inning advantage and have plated 15 runs over their last two games, making the current road price palatable for Ron.

Todd Zola recommended streaming Luis Severino despite the right-hander’s 6.20 ERA at Sutter Health Park. Severino’s home xFIP is actually lower than his road mark, and the visiting Twins own a below-average offense versus righties—especially away from Target Field. With park-adjusted metrics suggesting positive regression, Zola put Severino 'in play' for Monday spot-starts in standard leagues.

Zerillo grabbed the Athletics at +140 (good to +130) even though Oakland has dropped 15 of 16. He prices Minnesota at only -119. Joe Ryan owns the better underlying numbers (3.18 xERA, 26% K-BB) but remains homer-prone (career 1.40 HR/9) in a park boosting runs by 25% and homers by 18%. Luis Severino’s new sinker has curbed his own long-ball issues, a key fit for the Coliseum. Oakland’s offense is quietly legitimate—7th in MLB wRC+—while the Twins sit 19th. Minnesota’s bullpen is superior, but overall projection and matchup factors (park, offensive splits, Ryan’s fly-ball profile) make the home dog attractive at +130 or better.

Eric Lindquist said he is leaning toward both the Oakland moneyline and the full-game Over 9.5 runs in Monday’s neutral-site matchup being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field. He reminded viewers that the spring-training/AAA yard plays as a launching pad, just like other minor-league parks that have produced crooked scores all season. With books still hanging totals and sides as if the game were in a standard MLB stadium, Lindquist expects mis-pricing. The smaller dimensions and generally hitter-friendly backdrop should juice offense, adding variance that favors the underdog Athletics. He hinted that anything +120 or better on Oakland and any 9.5 total juiced to the under will land on his official card, telling listeners to watch his X feed and premium Discord for the final post.

Guy Boston Sports recommended taking Lawrence Butler to record at least one hit (-215 DK alt line). Butler has hit safely in 9-of-10 and 14-of-20, and owns a 71% season hit rate (37-for-52) while averaging 1.02 hits per game. Outlier flags a 10-of-11 run (91%) with 1.4 hits per game in that span. In four career meetings with Toronto he’s 6-for-4 on the prop, averaging 1.5 hits. The matchup sweetener is Chris Bassitt: Butler is 3-for-3 lifetime off the right-hander and his numbers spike versus RHP (BA, BABIP, hard-hit %, wRC+ all up). Bassitt is giving up a .323 average and .404 BABIP to lefties, so the tout views Butler’s single as a high-probability second leg in the parlay.

Cash Out Sports Picks played the over. Both teams are starting rookies likely to see early hooks, exposing two bottom-tier bullpens (A’s 28th in ERA, Jays thin behind the opener). Hoganland has been rocked for 12 runs and five bombs in his last 15 innings, while Oakland games have gone over in seven of ten. Toronto is 6-4 to the over as a home favorite of late, and the series has already produced 23 runs in two games. Expect another slugfest once the soft middle-relief units enter.

Guy Boston Sports said the only way he can attack Blue Jays–A’s is to grab Oakland at +145 and pair it with the full-game under. Jeffrey Springs gives the Athletics a left-handed look against a Toronto lineup that already puts a ton of balls on the ground versus southpaws. On the other side, Chris Bassitt’s home splits (1.2 ERA, 2.3 FIP, 28 % strikeout rate, 1.7 GB/FB) scream run suppression in Rogers Centre. Toronto owns the better offense, the better starter and the better bullpen, but at this number the market has over-corrected; he is willing to fade all three edges. He expects both starters to lean on ground-ball heavy arsenals, the chilly Toronto weather to keep the ball in the park and a grind-it-out game that finishes below the posted total while giving the live dog a path to cash.

Kenny G prefers the Athletics at +140 to the Blue Jays at −165, calling it a classic let-down spot for Toronto after Thursday’s 12-0 romp. He trusts Jeffrey Springs (5-3, 3.97 ERA) far more than Chris Bassitt, pointing out Springs has been "excellent" overall and has yet to face the Jays, while Bassitt’s last outing yielded nine hits and five earned in just four frames versus Tampa. Toronto’s bullpen is solid (3.52 ERA), but Kenny expects the A’s to scratch out runs against Bassitt and a unit that has been worked heavily of late. Oakland’s offense has slipped (0-3-1-5-6-3 runs in its last six), but still ranks 14th in MLB scoring and draws a pitcher trending the wrong direction. On the other side, he reminded listeners that Toronto is only 25th in runs and 24th in slugging despite the 12-run explosion, posting game totals of 2-0-2-1-1 before that outburst. With Sacramento (Oakland) a respectable 12-11-5 to the UNDER on the road and the Jays 16-12 to the OVER at home, Kenny leans slightly to the over 8 but says the actionable edge is the plus-money dog. "I’d rather have the Athletics at +140 than the Jays at −165," he concluded.

Lindquist wants UNDER 4.5 Ks (or 3.5 if the books hang that) on Jeffrey Springs as long as the juice is ‑125 or better. His own model shows Springs with an extremely low strike-out projection because Toronto owns the lowest K-rate in baseball against left-handers and just erupted for power after returning home. Springs also has to navigate a lineup that now features six righties with sub-20% K-rates. Given the opponent profile and his recent dip in swinging-strike rate, Lindquist says to slam the under as soon as the line opens.

Lonte Smith joined Scott on the same wavelength, betting first-five AND full-game unders in Oakland-Toronto. He acknowledged Bassitt’s sparkling home ERA but warned his xERA and .299 xBA hint at regression—one reason he prefers isolating the early frames. Even so, the matchup still leans under because the Jays’ bats are ice-cold (two runs or less in six straight) and the A’s, though more competitive at the dish, have dropped nine of ten. Springs’ road ERA (2.45) and recent run of four starts with <3 earned runs strengthen the case. Lonte noted Bassitt is 4-1 his last five despite a 4.33 ERA, which he views as noise that is already baked into a total of 8/8.5. His official card: F5 under 4.5 and full-game under 8 at standard juice.

Scott Reichel said the best angle in A’s-Jays is the first-five under. He trusts both starters more than either offense right now. A’s lefty Jack Springs owns a 2.45 ERA on the road and has allowed fewer than three runs in four of his last five turns. Chris Bassitt, meanwhile, sports a 1.61 ERA at Rogers Centre and had strung together five straight quality home outings before getting tagged at Tampa. Reichel pointed out that Toronto has scored two runs or fewer in six consecutive games while Oakland, losers of nine of ten, is at least taking good ABs but still sits middle-of-the-pack in wRC+. With two starters capable of working into the sixth and both pens rested after Thursday’s off-day, he projected a 1-1 or 2-1 board through five and recommended playing the F5 under 4.5 at anything minus-120 or better.

Peterson grabbed the Athletics Moneyline at +145 (he made it +131). He trusts Jeffrey Springs’ drastic road/home split—2.45 ERA and just 0.9 HR/9 away from Oakland versus a 5.88 ERA and 2.1 HR/9 in the Coliseum. Toronto counters with Chris Bassitt, whose 3.38 ERA masks shaky recent form (three or more earned runs in three of his last five starts). The Blue Jays lineup has been equally uninspiring, ranking 25th in both home-run rate and overall scoring at 3.8 runs per game, giving Springs the support edge despite the big price.

Kenny G tagged the Athletics at +122 as his "dog of the day." He likes Jacob Lopez’s trajectory—2.57 ERA through two big-league starts and seven shutout innings against Philadelphia last week—and thinks the rookie can keep Toronto’s sputtering bats quiet. The Blue Jays are 25th in runs, 24th in slugging, and haven’t won any of Jose Berrios’ last four starts (4.22 ERA, 0-4 team record in that span). While Kenny admits Oakland’s bullpen owns a gruesome 6.03 ERA and the offense has cooled (14th in runs after a torrid April), he trusts Lopez more than Berrios and sees value because Toronto’s only clear edge is a middling 3.68 bullpen ERA. With the Jays laying –145 despite a 16-12 home record that barely tops .500, Kenny argued the plus-money A’s are worth a straight moneyline stab on a short slate.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Athletics moneyline in Toronto. He liked Frankie Lopez’s momentum after seven dominant innings (1 ER, 8 K) versus Philadelphia, while Toronto’s lineup is batting just .206 over its last ten and has scored four total runs in its previous five games. Jose Berrios owns a 5.19 ERA and 0-1 record in five Rogers Centre starts, surrendering too many long balls. With Oakland’s bullpen trending up in strikeouts and the Jays mired in a slump against lefties, he sees value on the underdog A’s.