Shawn Childs continues to advocate for stashing Jose Cabellero in 12-team fantasy leagues despite his limited early-season opportunity (only three starts in the Rays' first seven games). Citing Cabellero’s elite previous speed production (70 stolen bases combined over his previous 672 at-bats) and ability to play multiple positions, Childs believes Cabellero has significant bench value as a potential stolen-base specialist. Fantasy managers needing speed upside can benefit from rostering Cabellero in hopes the Rays expand his role to unlock that potential.

Joe Orrico strongly recommends betting the Tampa Bay Rays at around +800 odds to win the AL East, even after Shane McClanahan's recent injury news. McClanahan is expected to miss about one and a half to two months, not the majority of the year, softening the injury impact. Orrico highlights Tampa Bay's incredible rotational depth, capable of using a six-man staff featuring Ryan Pepiot, Taj Bradley, Drew Rasmussen, Shane Baz, and Zack Littell. He also loves their talent-rich lineup including Josh Lowe, Junior Caminero, Danny Jansen, and Yandy Diaz. Though acknowledging bullpen concerns, he trusts Tampa Bay's consistent history of developing strong relievers like Mason Montgomery and Joe Boyle. With Fangraphs projecting a tight AL East (81-85 wins for every team), Orrico views Tampa's odds as significantly undervalued given their depth and ability to thrive through adversity.

Michael Savio expressed significant skepticism regarding Ryan Pepiot of the Tampa Bay Rays ahead of the matchup against the Boston Red Sox, despite Pepiot's acceptable 3.38 ERA this season. Savio noted Pepiot's high WHIP of 1.50, pointing out that he has benefited from matchups against very weak offenses (Angels, Pirates, Rockies), which may have masked his actual vulnerability. Additionally, Savio observed signs of improvement from Boston starter Walker Buehler, who rebounded impressively against a strong Toronto lineup after early-season difficulties. Given Boston's offensive potential, Savio recommended betting on the Red Sox moneyline despite their recent struggles, driven by the likelihood of exploiting Pepiot's weaknesses and the probable continued rebound from Buehler.

Jim Sannes recommends betting the under on Ryan Pepiot's 6.5 strikeout total, noting multiple reasons behind the call. Pepiot's projection sits around just 5.54 strikeouts, historically translating to a strong 77.4% probability of unders when considering similar projections. Pepiot's pitch count also works against high strikeout totals, with his maximum pitch count this season at 91 and limited outings eclipsing mid-90's in the past year. Additionally, Pepiot is transitioning from matchups against poor offenses to facing the Boston Red Sox, whose active roster rates 2nd in wRC+ against right-handed pitchers since the start of last season, indicating a much stiffer challenge. These factors combined lead Sannes confidently toward the under at -144 despite the juice.

Peter Dewey highlighted Brandon Lowe as an appealing home run prop pick at +475 for Tuesday's matchup versus Boston Red Sox starter Walker Buehler. Lowe has hit at least 21 homers in three of his last four seasons and already has three this season. Buehler has struggled significantly with home-run prevention recently, surrendering three home runs in three starts this year and 16 homers across 16 starts last year, resulting in an ERA nearing 6.00. With Lowe boasting solid career numbers (.252 average, .833 OPS) versus right-handers, Dewey expects Tampa Bay's slugger to capitalize on this vulnerable pitching matchup.

Kenny G is cautious about Ryan Pepiot despite a solid 3.38 ERA so far. Pepiot has faced weaker lineups with starts against Rockies, Pirates, and Angels. Kenny sees Pepiot as a pitcher likely due for regression when facing tougher competition. Considering the Red Sox rank sixth in runs scored (inflated by two outlier games), Pepiot's performance tonight will test how genuine his strong initial outings have been. Though he slightly favors Tampa Bay at home due to Boston's inconsistencies, Kenny highlights Pepiot as a distinct regression candidate moving forward.

Kenny G advises backing the under in the Red Sox-Rays matchup after yesterday's 16-1 blowout game, emphasizing that Tampa Bay's offense will likely see significant regression. Prior to Monday's explosion, the Rays' offense was ranked only 18th in the majors in runs scored. Kenny notes the outlier offensive performance, suggesting that back-to-back double-digit run totals are very unlikely. Given Walker Buehler's significantly improved last outing (6.1 innings, one earned run vs Toronto), along with Ryan Pepiot's consistent start to the year (3.38 ERA), Kenny sees real value on betting under the total set at nine runs.

Kenny G recommends betting Tampa Bay Rays at minus 120 against a slumping Boston Red Sox team. The primary reason cited is Shane Baz's excellent early-season form with a 1.38 ERA and dominant performances (10 strikeouts vs Pirates, solid outing vs Angels). Kenny highlighted Baz's ability to succeed even without his best stuff as key to his confidence. Contrasting Baz, Red Sox starter Tanner Houck has struggled with inconsistency and a subpar 4.41 ERA. Boston's offense is in crisis, scoring just one or two runs in multiple recent contests, including a bleak series at Chicago. While Kenny acknowledged Tampa's bullpen struggles (4.17 ERA), he positively noted their offense picking up steam—highlighting Brandon Lowe's hot start and their top 10 ranks across batting averages and slugging metrics. Kenny G also strongly advocated taking Under 8.5 runs given both team's offensive question marks heading into this matchup.

Just A Bet Outside recommends betting on Shane Baz to surpass 17.5 outs recorded, based on multiple supportive factors. Baz has gone over this number comfortably in both starts this year, recording 18 and 21 outs. Notably, he executed exactly 96 pitches in both starts, reinforcing predictable usage. Historically, when exceeding 85 pitches last season, Baz cleared this line in seven out of eight appearances. His current season whip of 1.08 indicates he's efficiently limiting baserunners, aiding pitch count. Although he surrendered four walks last start, his impressive strikeout ability (16 strikeouts in 13 innings) and favorable matchup against a Red Sox team that ranks average (19th WRC+, 14th OBP, 12th-lowest walk rate against righties) strengthens confidence. Additionally, Boston's exceptionally high rate (35.6%) of swinging at first pitches could lead to quick, efficient outs. Four of the last five right-handed starters facing Boston have also cleared this line, highlighting a consistent trend. Lastly, Baz historically pitches well at home, achieving this line in six of his last eight home outings.

Cash Out Sports Picks expects another low-scoring battle as Shane Baz's elite pitching meets Boston's struggling bats. The Red Sox offense has ground to a halt, scoring only three runs over their past two games and hitting the under in five of their last six losses. Meanwhile, Baz sports a dominant 1.38 ERA with 16 Ks, likely limiting Sox production further. Both teams have historically trended towards unders in similar divisional matchups, especially Tampa Bay at home during AL East contests (under hitting in 8 out of 12 recent division home games). The scenario strongly supports an under for this matchup.

Cash Out Sports Picks is backing the Rays' moneyline behind starting pitcher Shane Baz against Boston. Baz boasts a stellar 1.38 ERA and 16 strikeouts early in the season, having allowed two runs or fewer in each start. Boston enters the matchup reeling after dropping five of six games, including struggling significantly offensively with just three runs in their two recent games against the White Sox. Historically, Red Sox starter Tanner Houck has struggled against Tampa, holding a disappointing 1-4 record and 4.18 ERA. Given these pitching dynamics and Boston's recent offensive slump, Cash Out Sports Picks recommends confidently betting the Rays' money line.

Drew Martin strongly backed the Rays at home against the Red Sox, highlighting Shane Baz's dominant early performance. Baz, a former first-round pick, has a 1.30 ERA and 16 Ks early on and had notable success facing Boston previously. Drew also emphasized Red Sox pitcher Tanner Houck's struggles this season, with a high ERA and poor 10:7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Tampa's offense is red-hot, ranked number one in team OPS over the past week, which further fuels his confidence. Drew specifically likes the Rays' team total over, given favorable hitting conditions with 10 mph winds blowing out and priced the Rays winning at -116 as his best bet of the day.

Data Skrive highlighted Jonathan Aranda as a strong option heading into the Rays' matchup against the Red Sox, based on his recent hot streak at the plate. Aranda has maintained a batting average of .395, with six doubles, two home runs and a solid approach with five walks. He's currently riding a two-game hitting streak, and notably over his past five games, he's posted a .500 average with a double, a home run, three walks and five RBI. Facing a Red Sox pitching staff that carries a recent ERA of 3.71, Aranda's current form positions him favorably for productive DFS lineup usage or prop bets involving hits or total bases.

Data Skrive recommended a play on the under (8.5 runs) in Monday's Rays vs Red Sox game, citing Tampa Bay's recent struggles offensively. The Rays have scored just 3.8 runs per game and own a 3-7 record over their last 10 contests, coupled with a disappointing .210 average from Yandy Diaz, a key offensive player. The Rays' overall struggles at the plate, including an inconsistent hitting lineup, support the projection of a lower-scoring, closely contested game. Tampa Bay is also 5-5 hitting overs recently, further establishing the likelihood of a low-scoring contest and propositions the total under as a solid bet.

Data Skrive identifies strong betting value on Tampa Bay Rays (-115) against the Red Sox, guided by the impressive early-season form of Shane Baz (1-0, 1.38 ERA). Boston's starter Tanner Houck has struggled with consistency (0-1, 4.41 ERA), in contrast to Baz's dominance. The Rays have a favorable projection to edge Boston by a 4-3 margin, lending additional support to placing a wager on Tampa Bay as a slight favorite at home.

Jason Fragomeni recommended betting the Rays moneyline (+105) against the Braves on Sunday, highlighting a significant pitching mismatch. Shane Baz has impressed to start the season with a 1-0 record, 1.38 ERA, and a strong recent outing against the Angels, pitching 7 innings with only 2 earned runs allowed and 6 strikeouts. Conversely, Braves' starter Chris Sale has struggled significantly early in the season, posting an 0-1 record and a problematic 6.75 ERA over 3 starts. Although Sale faced quality opponents (Phillies, Dodgers, Padres) in his first few games, Fragomeni emphasized that Sale has not looked sharp or comfortable on the mound, projecting that the Rays' offense (.269 average with 7 home runs in the past week) would exploit this weakness early in the game.

Kenny G highlighted value on the Tampa Bay Rays as slight home underdogs (+105) against the Braves, citing Shane Baz's excellent start (1.38 ERA, 16 strikeouts in two starts) and the weakness of opposing starter Chris Sale (poor season form thus far). Despite concerns over Tampa Bay's bullpen (4.53 ERA), he liked the Rays' starting pitching edge, particularly Baz's recent dominant outings. Kenny tempered enthusiasm slightly due to inconsistent Rays offense (22nd in runs), but believes the pitching mismatch offers sufficient betting appeal at positive odds.

Chris Morgan recommended Shane Baz as a strong DFS pitching selection because of a red-hot start with a 1.38 ERA and impressive 11.08 K/9 through two appearances. Although Baz has historically battled injuries and saw strikeout rates dip last season, his current form appears elite. Also mentioned is that Baz faces an under-performing Atlanta lineup that's failed to reach the 50-run milestone, making this a favorable opportunity to capitalize on Baz's ceiling.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommends backing Tampa Bay on the Money Line, citing a clear advantage in starting pitching consistency. Drew Rasmussen has been sharp for the Rays, allowing only five hits and one run through his first 10 innings of work. In contrast, Atlanta starter AJ Smith-Shawver has struggled early in his career, permitting 13 hits and five runs in less than nine innings so far. The Braves have provided zero run support in his starts, while also losing key offensive contributors and sitting tied for fewest wins in MLB. The Rays' recent form improvement also makes them the reliable pick in this matchup.

Sean Zerillo explained that the wind direction and strength at Steinbrenner Field, Tampa Bay, is highly influential on run totals, yet sportsbooks aren't adequately pricing it into totals yet. Zerillo cited Fangraphs research confirming that average wind speeds at Steinbrenner Field exceed those at even Wrigley Field, making it possibly the most wind-affected stadium in MLB. He mentioned earlier games where the wind significantly enhanced or reduced batted ball distances by as much as 60 feet, leading to improbable home runs or outs. Early in the season, particularly at night, the wind tends to blow outward offering a large advantage to hitters. Zerillo noted that totals still routinely open at around 8-8.5, not fully accounting for wind-induced variance, creating consistent value opportunities for bettors.

Joe Pisapia recommended confidently fading Rays pitcher Taj Bradley by betting the Braves team total over 4.5 runs (+money). Pisapia explained his betting strategy of targeting visiting offenses in Tampa's favorable hitting environment, underscored by recent performances of Braves hitters such as Matt Olson, Marcell Ozuna, and Bryan Reynolds showing promising signs of heating up. The favorable hitting scenario combined with Bradley’s matchup makes Atlanta a strong target to exceed their team total today.

Derek Farnsworth recommends stacking the Tampa Bay Rays hitters in DFS tournaments, as they draw a favorable matchup against Braves pitcher Bryce Elder. Elder has struggled badly against left-handed batters, allowing a massive .419 wOBA and holding a concerning 8.68 expected ERA (xERA). While Tampa's lineup boasts several left-handed bats with solid advanced metrics, including Brandon Lowe (.487 xwOBA, .445 xISO vs RHP), the Rays hitters collectively have a high projected run total of 4.47, further underlining their upside in DFS contests.

Kenny G likes Tampa Bay Rays starter Taj Bradley to bounce back after an inconsistent start to the season. Bradley was strong against Colorado but had issues against Texas in his last outing, allowing four earned runs and two homers. Despite these hiccups, Bradley has recorded seven strikeouts in each of his starts, indicating his stuff remains strong. Kenny G points out this matchup is ideal for Bradley as he's facing a Braves lineup that's not only struggling offensively (20th in majors in runs scored, injury issues with Ronald Acuna Jr.) but also dealing with fatigue from a difficult travel situation following a rain delay in Philadelphia. He sees value on Tampa Bay at -115 due to Bradley’s bounceback potential and the Braves’ negative situation.

Drew Martin likes backing Rays pitcher Taj Bradley (24-year-old from Stone Mountain, Georgia) against his hometown team, the Braves. Highlighting the Rays' home-field advantage (their five wins this season have all come at home, specifically noting their minor-league ballpark environment favorable to their style of play), Drew emphasizes Bradley's elite fastball velocity (97-98 mph), solid finish last year, and strong underlying numbers this season despite allowing two home runs his last outing. Drew argues this is unlikely to repeat and notes that the Rays also possess the better overall lineup against right-handed pitching and a stronger bullpen. He suggests betting the Rays at the slight home favorite price (-110).

Data Skrive identified Brandon Lowe as an attractive betting option on hitting props. Lowe leads Tampa Bay in home runs (3), RBI (8), and batting average (.289 at the time) and carries a five-game hitting streak into the Braves matchup. During the streak, Lowe owns a .286 batting average with a home run and two RBI in those contests. Given his consistent recent production and leading team metrics, taking his total bases or hits over is a promising betting or DFS prop choice.

Greg Peterson recommends playing the Rays moneyline (-110) and the under at 8.5 runs in their matchup with Atlanta. Peterson cites Rays starter Taj Bradley's high strikeout upside, with 11.5 K/9 despite a couple of rough outings, as a key advantage. The matchup especially favors Tampa considering Braves pitcher Bryce Elder's subpar performance since 2024 (6.54 ERA, 1.7 HR/9). The Braves' offense, averaging just 3.1 runs per game entering Thursday, further supports the under. Peterson handicapped Tampa at -138 and the total at 8.2, indicating good betting value.

Guy Boston likes Zach Littell and the Rays today at home against the Angels primarily due to pitching matchup concerns. Although Littell has had mixed early-season performances (impressing against Colorado but struggling unexpectedly against the low-powered Rangers offense), his best performance came at home. Boston noted Littell's heavy use of sliders, a pitch the Angels lineup historically struggles against. He also added that while Angels hitters do handle the splitter well, they perform poorly against sinkers and sliders overall and have not been impressive against right-handed pitchers generally. Despite recent Angels scoring trends, Boston remains skeptical of this line-up's true quality, offering a lean toward Tampa Bay as the better side to back at home.

Andrew Geller expressed frustration with repeatedly drafting Danny Jansen, describing his performances as consistently terrible. Drafted again late as a second catcher option in two main events, Jansen has delivered essentially zero value with dreadful hitting results ('0 for 40'). Geller regrets this habit deeply, emphasizing it's an avoidable mistake negatively impacting team standings early and lamenting the lack of viable replacement options in deeper leagues.

Malcolm Bamford sees value fading the Rays early in games, highlighting that Tampa Bay is currently 0-5 during the first five innings against right-handed pitching. Considering Zach Littell's recent five-run outing against a struggling Rangers lineup, and Angels' surprising early success against right-handers (6-3 record) and as road underdogs (2-1), Malcolm recommends backing the Angels' first-five innings at plus money rather than repeatedly paying negative juice for Tampa Bay favorites.

Kenny G sees Zack Littell bouncing back after giving up five earned runs over seven innings, including a home run, in his previous outing against the Rangers. Though Littell (0-2, 4.15 ERA) struggled lately, Kenny believes the matchup against an Angels offense that's had inconsistencies presents a rebound opportunity. He pointed out the Rays bullpen's reliability, ranked around top 10 in MLB so far this season, and expects them to provide strong support for Littell when needed. Kenny also mentioned expecting regression from the Rays offense following their recent explosive performances, making it likely this game stays lower scoring, further supporting Littell to have an effective start.

Data Skrive identifies Brandon Lowe as a solid home run prop selection, noting Lowe's strong early-season power, hitting 3 home runs in the first 10 games, a 30% per-game homer rate. At favorable odds of +470 against the Angels, Lowe offers bettors significant value given his proven power potential.

Joel Bartilotta endorsed Zack Littell as a strong DFS pitching option against the Angels, highlighting Littell's consistency with a 3.80 ERA and 1.22 WHIP from 2023-2024, and even stronger home splits (3.27 ERA and 1.08 WHIP). Bartilotta pointed out Littell's previous success against the Angels, posting a 3.60 ERA and an impressive 9.9 K/9 rate in two appearances last season. The Angels were notably weak offensively, ranking among league-worst teams (27th or 28th) in runs, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA last year.

ESPN Fantasy recommended Ryan Pepiot as the top streaming pitching option for Wednesday's matchup against the Los Angeles Angels. Pepiot has demonstrated effectiveness with 11 strikeouts in his first 11 innings thus far, although he's also walked four and surrendered 11 hits due to a high and potentially unsustainable .313 BABIP. The Angels' offense features a slightly below-average weighted on-base average (wOBA) alongside a strikeout rate slightly above league average, creating a favorable situation for Pepiot to build upon his early-season success.

ESPN Fantasy identified Ryan Pepiot as the top streaming option for Wednesday's fantasy baseball lineup. Pepiot has accumulated 11 strikeouts over his first 11 innings this season. His early performance has been solid despite allowing 11 hits, largely due to an inflated .313 BABIP, and maintaining his career average with four walks issued. He draws an attractive matchup against the Angels, whose offense has a slightly below-average wOBA and an above-average strikeout rate. With these favorable conditions at home, Pepiot is expected to continue his strong start to the season and makes for an excellent streaming or DFS option.

Cash Out Sports Picks backs the Rays money line against the Angels, citing the Angels' struggles against solid pitching, notably facing Tampa’s Ryan Pepiot (2.45 ERA). Kikuchi, starting for the Angels, struggles with high pitch counts early and unreliable bullpen support behind him. With Tampa's superior bullpen and lineup structure that capitalizes on opponents’ mistakes, betting the Rays money line holds strong value.

Drew Martin advised betting on the Rays at home (-135) against the Angels, highlighting major matchup advantages. Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi is making his third consecutive road start, a typical red flag for pitcher valuation. Kikuchi previously allowed six earned runs in his last 12 innings and exhibited control issues with five walks in his last outing. Conversely, Rays starter Ryan Pepio boasts a 2.40 ERA this season and last year dominated the Angels lineup (one earned run over six innings). Tampa Bay's lineup is notably powerful against left-handed pitching, ranking in MLB's top 10, and their bullpen holds a significant edge over Anaheim's, firmly positioning Tampa as the better side at a short price.

Ben Burns backed the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) against the Angels, driven by a clear pitching edge. Tampa's Ryan Pepiot faced Los Angeles last season and excelled, striking out seven and allowing only one run over six innings. Pepiot opened 2025 strong with a 2.45 ERA across two starts. Conversely, Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi walked five batters in his last outing and has struggled recently at Tropicana Field, posting a concerning 5.68 ERA and 1-2 record across his last four starts there. Burns believes Tampa Bay will rebound from yesterday's setback and win comfortably.

JD Bets strongly recommends betting Shane Baz over 5.5 strikeouts against the Angels. Baz has demonstrated solid consistency in recent appearances, including a 10-strikeout performance against the Pirates. He typically reaches six innings pitched reliably, making him a solid candidate to surpass 5.5 strikeouts. JD also mentions the added comfort of taking the alternate line down to 5.5 instead of 6.5 for extra security and sees this bet as the optimal play of the matchup.

Beermakersfan highlighted Shane Baz as a strong DFS pitching target, appreciating his lower ownership and favorable price compared to other premium pitchers. Baz flashed his strikeout potential in his first start and now faces an Angels lineup that struggles against righties, holding the 8th highest strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching. The projected Angels lineup features six hitters with strikeout rates of over 25% last season against righties, and overall the Angels ranked bottom six in most offensive categories (ISO, wOBA, batting average, WRC+) against right-handed pitching last year. Baz is well positioned for a big DFS performance tonight.

Brad Francis advises betting the Nerfee (No Runs First Inning) in the Rays' matchup with the Angels, due to Tampa Bay's exceptional streak of no-run first innings occurring in their last 10 games as home favorites against American League teams dating back to last season. Despite recent volatility in Nerfee bets, he sees strong value in relying on this particularly robust historical trend.

Beermakersfan identified Jonathan Aranda as an enticing value play with big power upside against Kyle Hendricks. Aranda has opened the season red-hot, already having three multi-hit games while dominating right-handed pitching with a .496 wOBA and a massive .400 ISO. Hendricks is very hittable, having registered just a 14.5% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters along with a .374 wOBA allowed last season. Given Aranda's very affordable price points across DFS platforms, this sets up as an excellent bargain opportunity tonight.

Guy Boston is backing Shane Baz and the Tampa Bay Rays on the first five innings line against the Angels. Baz comes off an impressive start versus Pittsburgh, tossing six innings with 10 strikeouts and no walks or earned runs. Though he allowed seven hits, he showed strong resilience, getting crucial strikeouts to keep runners stranded. Contrasting Baz's strikeout ability and velocity with Kyle Hendricks' pitch-to-contact style offers Tampa Bay a distinct early advantage. Boston sees value specifically in isolating the first five innings due to uncertainty around the Rays' offense and Angels bullpen performance late in games.

Chris Bennett finds affordable value in Tampa's hitters facing Angels starter Kyle Hendricks, who is unlikely to overpower the lineup. He specifically highlights Yandy Diaz ($2,700) and Junior Caminero ($2,800) as attractive budget options due to their slow early season starts likely suppressing their roster percentages, while still possessing upside in this matchup.

Jamie Calandro identifies Tampa Bay Rays hitters as a strong contrarian DFS stack option against a declining Merrill Kelly, citing Kelly's troubling early-season results including decreased velocity and command problems. Calandro emphasizes leveraging warmer weather conditions early in April, potentially boosting offensive output. Recommended core stacking players include left-handed bats Brandon Lowe, Junior Caminero, Jonathan Aranda, and Kameron Misner, maximizing platoon advantages against Kelly.

Chris Bennett recommended Shane Baz as a high-upside pitching option at a lower price ($9,500), drawing attention to Baz's excellent season debut where he struck out 10 batters over six innings against Pittsburgh. Although the Angels have a slightly lower strikeout rate (21.9%) compared to the Pirates (22.9%), their modest .176 ISO and 45.4% ground ball rate should mitigate risk, particularly at Tropicana Field with its friendly dimensions for pitchers.

Jamie Calandro endorses Jonathan Aranda as a strong value hitter due to his favorable matchup with Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks has seen increasingly diminished velocity and reduced strikeout capability, especially against left-handed hitters, allowing a low K rate of 14.5%. Aranda typically hits near the top of the order for Tampa Bay and offers considerable savings in DFS lineups, making him a key piece against Hendricks.

Kyle Purviance detailed his 28-to-1 season-long future bet on the Rays having the longest losing streak in MLB. He reasoned that Tampa Bay's current situation, already riding a four-game losing streak, has upcoming series matchups against the Angels, followed by tough opponents like the Braves. Purviance feels strongly the Rays' difficult schedule could snowball this slump into a lengthy losing skid, creating ideal conditions for his sizable preseason bet to hit. Though not advising singular bets on the Rays' immediate games, he provides strategic perspective on the broader betting market regarding Tampa's upcoming struggles.

Peter Dewey is bullish on Brandon Lowe’s chances to homer against Angels veteran pitcher Kyle Hendricks. Lowe is off to a productive start in 2025, hitting .306 with three home runs. Lifetime, he's performed exceptionally against right-handed pitching, slugging .495 with 99 career home runs against righties. Hendricks, on the other hand, has struggled limiting the long ball recently, surrendering 21 homers in 29 appearances in 2024 and giving up another homer his first start of 2025. Despite only limited head-to-head at bats versus Hendricks (1-for-5), the matchup is appealing enough for Dewey to back Lowe hitting a homer on Tuesday.

ESPN Fantasy highlighted Shane Baz as an ideal streaming candidate while his roster percentage remains under 50%. Baz had an impressive 2025 debut, striking out 10 and walking none in six shutout innings against the Pirates. While his upcoming opponent, the Angels, pose a tougher challenge at George Steinbrenner Field, ESPN Fantasy still views Baz as primed for another solid outing based on his dominant initial performance.

B Wade is taking the over of 17.5 outs for Shane Baz against the Los Angeles Angels. In his first start this season, Baz completed exactly 18 outs against Pittsburgh. Historically, last season he finished six innings or more (18 outs or more) in 57% of his starts and ended last year strongly against quality teams such as the Red Sox and Blue Jays. B Wade highlights that the Rays' coaching staff shows a pattern of leaving Baz in to pitch deeper into games, noting one instance from last year against Oakland where he nearly completed eight innings. Given Baz's historical success hitting this prop and the Angels matchup, Wade feels confident Baz should comfortably complete at least six innings.

Despite acknowledging a lack of clear trust in Tampa Bay's streaky offense, Guy Boston implied value on their team total over, due to Kumar Rocker's bad MLB debut. Rocker previously struggled substantially against Cincinnati, a lineup Boston sees as formidable specifically in their home park. While not his favorite matchup, Boston views a Rays team total over as a sneaky valuable bet given expected good pricing and the favorable pitching matchup against Rocker in Texas.